Gross Aella Martin / Rachael Antier Slick / Abigail Glass / @Aella_Girl / @Aellagirl / @Miss_Aella / u/Sweatywoman / RedVerse / Apostate Slick / Knowingless - Rationalist LessWrong poly libertarian hooker girl throwing rape orgy parties. Former $100k/month OnlyFans star and $3,000/hour prostitute. Would rather come up with gross hypotheticals than shower.

  • 🐕 I am attempting to get the site runnning as fast as possible. If you are experiencing slow page load times, please report it.

How many people will show up to Aella's birthday gangbang?


  • Total voters
    168
  • Poll closed .
Nate Silver Is a retard and it was funny when last election random twitter assholes were getting the actual numbers instead of him and his model. Again
A third of the book is interesting stuff about gambling, a third of the book is complaining that nobody understands the unique way he sees the world and his models and the last third is name dropping how he can talk to people like Sam Bankman-Fried even when they're facing prison. The premise is that there's two types of people in the world: The Village (people from Twitter, well Bluesky now I guess, that Nate hates and are always wrong) and The River (people who see the world mathematically and understand risk) with all the good people obviously in the latter.

The funniest part, and I've only seen one review that mentions this, is that a number of people he interviews like Peter Thiel tell him his framework for the book and explanation of the world is stupid because people in the first group use models all the time they're just often shitty and people in the latter group (like say SBF or Yud) use models that seem rigorous but are wrong all the time too.

Nate also seems to be unaware of the knowledge problem even through probably two-thirds of the book could be used as evidence for it. (Though part of this depends on if you think SBF really thought FTX's shit could work or if it was nothing but an outright scam he knew had zero chance.) Which probably explains why he falls for Yud's stuff about AI.

That last line, holy crap...


Does she not realize the shelf life of an OF prostitute and how close she is to expiring? She's stopped saving and is spending it all now because of some vague idea the world is going to end? Not the wisest of financial moves for someone in her line of work, methinks.
Are you saying it's not rational?

I have to mention that she's trying to be all edgy and out there again but it's just her ignorance of standard intellectual class knowledge, it's literally the same position the most famous economist of the 20th Century, Keynes, took: "in the long run, we're all dead."
 
Does she not realize the shelf life of an OF prostitute and how close she is to expiring? She's stopped saving and is spending it all now because of some vague idea the world is going to end? Not the wisest of financial moves for someone in her line of work, methinks.
I have to mention that she's trying to be all edgy and out there again but it's just her ignorance of standard intellectual class knowledge, it's literally the same position the most famous economist of the 20th Century, Keynes, took: "in the long run, we're all dead."
I think this is related to her desperation for a stable marriage and children. She cannot bring herself to change--a necessity to attract the traditional man she wants--nor can she bring herself to settle for a Rationalist fruit. She sees that her future holds no hope and no children, so she consoles herself via consumption because it's something she can control. In a way, she's denying herself her own future happiness. This--not having her dream because she's broke--does not hurt her vanity as much as accepting her other personal failures. Spending her savings also removes the possibility that she'd easily afford being a single mom. She's really self-defeating.

You might be right that she's alluding to Keynes, but everyone always forgets that he was the antithesis of a nihilist. He was all about fiduciary responsibility to mitigate cycles of crippling poverty. He'd tell her to save.
 
You might be right that she's alluding to Keynes, but everyone always forgets that he was the antithesis of a nihilist. He was all about fiduciary responsibility to mitigate cycles of crippling poverty. He'd tell her to save.
No, no, I don't think she has any idea who Keynes is. I think she's saying it because she thinks its edgy and out there not realizing one of the most famous economists ever took the same ethical position especially in his personal life.
 
The "risk-pilling" Rachael is referring to is the AI Apocalypse her Rationalist buddies are obsessed with. From her point of view, AI will surely end humanity (at least as we know it) within her lifetime, so why bother contributing to a 401(k) or taking care of her health? And since she believes the end will actually come even sooner, why even bother socking away money in a rainy day fund or making medium-term decisions to improve her economic position like buying a house and building equity?

Of course, AI fever dreams aside, many people would disagree with the premise that shortsighted pursuit of pleasure is a desirable way to spend your last months or years. In my opinion, the AI fears serve as a post hoc justification for their preexisting hedonism, which they realize at some level is morally bankrupt and does not provide their lives the meaning we all desire.
 
Which forums?

I'm specifically thinking of Baseball Think Factory in the aughts, which has since been shuttered for two years. A hangout for smug boomers & GenXers.

And to a lesser degree places like Baseball Prospectus which featured a lot more primary literature baseball statistical analysis rather than an article clearinghouse like BBTF was.

Not so much that Nate Silver himself was hanging out in the comments, but more so that his work & others like him was driving content discussion.

Apologies for bringing the thread off topic & getting political, but a final thought is that I find it fascinating that mainstream professional sports is another domain that has largely become completely co-opted by SJW politics when I would've considered it to be more right-coded with their target demographic being beer-guzzling, overweight middle-aged working class men.

AFAIK, such old hat, 00s anti-Bush sportsball types (the insufferable fans, not Silver himself) have migrated to Fangraphs and r/baseball.

Though the Reddit crowd seems a lot younger & likely more in the Millennial & Zoomer strata AFAICT. By they are certainly the spiritual successors to the SABR hangouts of previous decades.

But much like corporate America, mainstream TV, movies, comics, video games, social media before Elon, YouTube, cable news, etc, pro sports is another online space where only a certain, ever-changing PC worldview is allowed.

My snarky comments about Nate Silver and some of the other Bill James, Moneyball, initially amateur sabermetric acolytes of the aughts are more about the community at the time more than the leaders themselves and what was the cultural fallout two decades later.

Looking back years later after being mostly a lurker in those circles, you realize how so much of the fake & ghey political & culture war schisms already existed in many of those supposedly apolitical spaces even if you didn't realize it at the time.
 
Last edited:
Apparently Aella is doing gangbangs for people with good tweets… anyway this guys good tweets were drawing outrage for suggesting they start killing political opponents and having sex with animals

IMG_1343.webp
 
Apparently Aella is doing gangbangs for people with good tweets… anyway this guys good tweets were drawing outrage for suggesting they start killing political opponents and having sex with animals

View attachment 7453064
I assumed that guy was a faggot. Are we to believe he is merely soy?

I know they are doing the meme but bis body language is giving me extreme ick like he’s a retard who can’t consent to sex.
 
Apparently Aella is doing gangbangs for people with good tweets… anyway this guys good tweets were drawing outrage for suggesting they start killing political opponents and having sex with animals

View attachment 7453064
is this the rippling standard of manhood that represents the rationalist movement? Wow girls, line up...
 
Not an awful lot of diversity there...isn't that the whole point of the Pornhub meme? What are the odds this really happened? Will the Rationalists ever invite a heckin' PoC into their elite circles, or will they remain lily white while lecturing you about tolerance and degeneracy on Xitter?
 
In the replies of that tweet aella and her friends decide it would be good to use orgies as a bounty to reward good things. They decide they will give an orgy to whoever solves AI alignment (lol)
This is, in true Aella fashion, so close to getting the point while managing to come to the exact opposite of the right conclusion.

1) Men get shit done. The overwhelming majority of significant accomplishments and advancements being made by men is not a coincidence or a result of discrimination or societal factors. Abnormally high (and low) IQ appears to be sex-linked.

2) Men are sex-motivated. Men will go to great lengths to access sex, particularly from attractive women, especially a variety of attractive women.

Historically, these two facts cooperated to build civilization through women restricting sexual access based on social status. Want one, plain wife from your hometown? Get a job and be halfway decent at it. Want your pick of your region's hotties? Achieve excellence in some area of art, science, politics, what have you. Want an endless stream of primo slant slit day and night? Lead your Mongol hordes in conquering all of Asia.

The advent of ubiquitous pornography derailed this. Why write a sonnet, or a book, or achieve some impressive physical feat, or any other standout act to attract a mate, when you can type "booba" into Google, have a functionally infinite selection, jerk off, and then go suck at league of legends for another six hours today?

"Rewarding 'good' tweets with Rationalist orgies" is an absolute perversion of this model. Guarding sexual access through social status was a strategy by women to increase their own security. Rewarding good boys with cummies to solve problems you deem worthy requires a social class of women that are essentially sex slaves with no personal protection or social mobility. In short, this appeals only to you and your retarded friends.
 
Back