- Pro-choice people will not acknowledge the humanity of a fetus and deny the term “baby”
- Pro-migrant people will deny that immigration has any impact on housing price, despite common sense and significant published scientific material saying otherwise
- Pro-gun people will deny that gun control is effective in reducing mass shooting events or associated gun deaths
- Pro-porn people will proclaim that pornography is free speech, and that banning porn is the thin edge of the free speech wedge.
I think the majority of people simply has not thought through their opinions.
It goes back to "opinions are like assholes, everyone has one". Realistically you cannot be very informed on every opinion you hold, and you will have to rely on shortcuts to decide what to think about certain things.
Social media and woke culture has massively contributed to making people think they need an opinion about everything.
It's a bipartisan problem, although one side is more open to use violence to enforce their groupthink opinions.
It is also not fully about IQ. The difference is that smart people will have more opinions that are based on reality (at least in their fields of expertise), whilst dumb people don't. A stark example is how many smart people support the idea that a man can become a woman - the majority are experts in fields that have nothing to do with anything medical or classic philosophy (/logic).
You are severely overestimating how much research people do.
- Pro-migrant people will deny that immigration has any impact on housing price, despite common sense and significant published scientific material saying otherwise
How many people have read any scientific publication on the impact of immigration? I would guess it is about 0.1% of the people who vehemently argue about it, on both sides.
I think arguing "common sense" is disingenuous, especially when paired with "peer reviewed articles". You could argue that immigration would increase labor supply, thus decreasing cost of building a house. Or making some areas less desirable, thus lowering prices. Any analysis on prices would be complex, to account for other things that happened across the years, therefore it is entirely possible that "common sense" would lead you to the wrong conclusion.
Also, one may argue that immigration may not increase housing prices if there are enough new houses being built and if you also have a decreasing native population (which would accelerate housing supply).
I agree that immigration has contributed to housing costs, in some places it had more of a role than in others. However, just because in this case the common sense explanation is supported by research, it does not mean that it is good evidence when trying to explain some complex phenomenon
- Pro-choice people will not acknowledge the humanity of a fetus and deny the term “baby” -- pro lifers will not acknowledge the impact of giving birth to the body of a girl/woman. Both side don't go into the details of what it means to take a pill the day after vs induced birth - and many more technical details.
- Pro-migrant people will deny that immigration has any impact on housing price, despite common sense and significant published scientific material saying otherwise -- I did this one above.
- Pro-gun people will deny that gun control is effective in reducing mass shooting events or associated gun deaths -- anti-gun will deny the culture of the US and how many guns there are, especially illegally owned ones by gangs, which is not comparable to what happened in other countries that banned guns (e.g. higher trust society in Australia - also an island, not bordering a country where organized crime is rife, like Mexico).
- Pro-porn people will proclaim that pornography is free speech, and that banning porn is the thin edge of the free speech wedge. -- anti-porn people will ignore that banning porn would require a series of draconian laws to enforce it. Only a fascist government, spying every second on its citizens could come even close to banning porn. Porn has also been used to enact spying/anti-privacy laws like the Online Safety Act in the UK.
I want to sperg about left-leaning parties losing voters a bit. It will make sense, I swear.
Hopefully, I brought up valid counter-arguments and examples of how both sides have arguments that are weak. Where does that leave us? How do we then decide what our opinion is?
We have to agree that it is okay to have nuance, admit you don't know everything, and that discussing detailed policies is better than discussing headline statements (e.g., do you agree with this law to prevent minors from accessing porn? If no, what would you change?). Also, we have to accept that morality may be based on religion, and that's that for some people.
Realistically, the majority of people don't have time to argue the details in a policy and are simply not interested in politics that much, which is fine at it is also not their job to discuss the details of policies.
This brings me to my claim about left-leaning parties. A lot has been said about how these politicians (in the US, UK, France, and the many countries where the centre-left / left has lost) are unable to inspire people. They don't have the slogan that fits on a hat ("I am with her", or somehow worse, in 2024: "Together, We Will Defeat Trump Again", "Finish the Job", "Let's Go Joe").
The final nail in the coffing is that they cannot even discuss the policies in detail. They have tied themselves to big statements that are not supported by evidence
at all: cultural topics (e.g., puberty blockers are safe and reversible; diversity is our strenght), crime (defund police; abolish prisons), and economy (just tax the rich more; increase the minimum wage).
This is why they are perceived as souless. They have no fucking clue about what they are saying. The big claims are not appealing to most people, but they cannot even explain how they would implement these things (where will rapists go, if not in prisons?) to try to win people over. They don't know what the details of the policies would be and you cannot actually argue for something like "abolish prisons" for more than 5 minutes without relying on arguments that are fully based on ideology. Even politicians with zero charisma would have more favorable ratings than what they have now.
The support for trans ideology is what it is because it is the most obvious example. Every argument made to support anything trans is based on a disingenous claim. Everything reverts to it in our current climate. Conservatives will use it as a out-of-jail card (well, you believe men can give birth), and liberals will keep losing elections because the majority of the public does see how batshit insane it is.