Russian Invasion of Ukraine Megathread

How well is the war this going for Russia?

  • ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ Blyatskrieg

    Votes: 249 10.6%
  • ⭐⭐⭐⭐ I ain't afraid of no Ghost of Kiev

    Votes: 278 11.8%
  • ⭐⭐⭐ Competent attack with some upsets

    Votes: 796 33.7%
  • ⭐⭐ Stalemate

    Votes: 659 27.9%
  • ⭐ Ukraine takes back Crimea 2022

    Votes: 378 16.0%

  • Total voters
    2,360
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Broke: supporting Ukraine
Woke: supporting Russia
Bespoke:
chefsessionz_20220322_141151_0.jpg
 
Like I've said before, there are two options: either the Russians, on an institutional level, got so convinced of a swift win that they forgot to plan for an extended campaign, or they did have a plan and fucked it up so hard that the outside observer can't tell the difference.
There's simply no way the current Russian plans had a protracted campaign in mind, from starting the war right when mud season was about to begin, to only sending no more than 200,000 troops (Desert Storm for instance had 750,000 US troops alone, with the entire coalition numbering almost 1 million, these are occupying force numbers, not invasion numbers), to that hilarious article that was auto posted from a Russia owned media outlet that celebrated the capture of Kiev like 3 days after the war began.

Literally the only reason I think Russia captured the ground it did was because Ukraine didn't mobilize until after the invasion began.
 
I decided to dig a little deeper into the Ukrainian neo-Nazis and found an article called "US Tried to Impose Nazi Leader on Ukraine" (Archive). I've never heard of The Constantine Report before, but, judging by some of the other articles, the guy kind of sounds like a hard-left nutcase. Not sure if he's trustworthy, but it lines up with what I've read from other sources. This same article was also posted on Infowars on the same day.

I just fucking hate the CIA with every fiber of my being (Hello to the glowies watching this thread!) so I automatically believe any accusations of them doing truly heinous shit. That's my bias, and I'm sticking to it.

Article text:

US Tried to Impose Nazi Leader on Ukraine: CIA Leak

The U.S. has long had a hand in numerous projects intent on destabilizing Ukraine’s governments.

Published 23 May 2016

A recent declassification of over 3,800 documents by the Central Intelligence Agency has revealed it operated two major programs intent on not only destabilizing Ukraine but ‘Nazifying’ it with followers of the World War II Ukrainian nationalist leader and nazi collaborator, Stepan Bandera.

The documents, which were released earlier in the year, said that the programs spanning over four years provided funding and equipment for such anti-Soviet Ukrainian resistance groups as the Ukrainian Supreme Liberation Council, among a host of others.

The papers gave details of the AERODYNAMIC program which intended to destabilize Ukraine, using exiled Ukrainian agents in the West who were infiltrated into the Ukrainian Soviet Socialist Republic.

“The purpose of Project AERODYNAMIC is to provide for the exploitation and expansion of the anti-Soviet Ukrainian resistance for cold war and hot war purposes,” the formerly top secret document dated July 13, 1953 says of the project.

“Such groups as the Ukrainian Supreme Council of Liberation (UHVR) and its Ukrainian Insurgent Army (OUN), the Foreign Representation of the Ukrainian Supreme Council of Liberation (ZPUHVR) in Western Europe and the United States, and other organizations such as the OUN/B will be utilized,” the document continued.

The CIA documents show that under the AERODYNAMIC program the CIA operated an affiliate project codenamed CAPACHO.

According to the Signs of the Times magazine CAPACHO “took on more of a psychological warfare operation veneer,” with the CIA setting up a propaganda company in Manhattan that “catered to printing and publishing anti-Soviet ZPUHVR literature that would be smuggled into Ukraine.”

The AERODYNAMIC and CAPACHO projects continued in operation through the Richard Nixon administration during the 1970s.

But the U.S. continues to implement destabilizing projects in Ukraine.

Former U.S. agent Scott Rickard told Russia Today in 2014 that United States foreign aid agencies pumped US$5 billion into the groups protesting against Ukraine’s democratically elected former president Viktor Yanukovych, who was ousted from office in early February 2014. The head of state had indicated his intent to move closer to Russia instead of the EU and the West.
There's also a page on Wikispooks about Project AERODYNAMIC. (archive)

And here's a Yahoo article from January 13th, 2022 on the possibility of CIA-trained Ukrainian paramilitaries taking control of Ukraine if Russia invades.
The one is pretty long:

CIA-trained Ukrainian paramilitaries may take central role if Russia invades​

Zach Dorfman
·National Security Correspondent
January 13, 2022

The CIA is overseeing a secret intensive training program in the U.S. for elite Ukrainian special operations forces and other intelligence personnel, according to five former intelligence and national security officials familiar with the initiative. The program, which started in 2015, is based at an undisclosed facility in the Southern U.S., according to some of those officials.

The CIA-trained forces could soon play a critical role on Ukraine’s eastern border, where Russian troops have massed in what many fear is preparation for an invasion. The U.S. and Russia started security talks earlier this week in Geneva but have failed thus far to reach any concrete agreement.

While the covert program, run by paramilitaries working for the CIA’s Ground Branch — now officially known as Ground Department — was established by the Obama administration after Russia’s invasion and annexation of Crimea in 2014, and expanded under the Trump administration, the Biden administration has further augmented it, said a former senior intelligence official in touch with colleagues in government.

By 2015, as part of this expanded anti-Russia effort, CIA Ground Branch paramilitaries also started traveling to the front in eastern Ukraine to advise their counterparts there, according to a half-dozen former officials.

The multiweek, U.S.-based CIA program has included training in firearms, camouflage techniques, land navigation, tactics like “cover and move,” intelligence and other areas, according to former officials.

How to characterize the program is a matter of dispute. The U.S. over three presidents has debated whether to provide military assistance to Ukraine, and how much, with discussions often focusing on whether that help is offensive or defensive in character.

U.S. officials deny that the CIA training program is, or was ever, offensively oriented. “The purpose of the training, and the training that was delivered, was to assist in the collection of intelligence,” said a current senior intelligence official.

But just what intelligence support entails, in the paramilitary context, can be ambiguous. And how this training will be applied by the Ukrainians may change rapidly with facts on the ground.

The program has involved “very specific training on skills that would enhance” the Ukrainians’ “ability to push back against the Russians,” said the former senior intelligence official.

The training, which has included “tactical stuff,” is “going to start looking pretty offensive if Russians invade Ukraine,” said the former official.

One person familiar with the program put it more bluntly. “The United States is training an insurgency,” said a former CIA official, adding that the program has taught the Ukrainians how “to kill Russians.”

The program, which does not appear to have ever been formally aimed at preparing for an insurgency, did include training that could be used for that purpose. Another former agency official described technical aspects of the program, like showing Ukrainians how to maintain secure communications behind enemy lines or in a “hostile intelligence environment” as potential “stay-behind force training.”

The current senior intelligence official strongly denied that the program was designed in any way “to assist in an insurgency.”

“Suggestions that we have trained an armed insurgency in Ukraine are simply false,” said Tammy Thorp, a CIA spokesperson.

Going back decades, the CIA has provided limited training to Ukrainian intelligence units to try and shore up an independent Kyiv and prevent Russian subversion, but cooperation “ramped up” after the Crimea invasion, said a former CIA executive.

The CIA paramilitaries in Ukraine have “a very small footprint,” said the former agency executive, and are helping train Ukrainian forces in “potential critical nodes the Russians may focus on” if Moscow seeks to push farther into the country.

Though the agency’s paramilitary resources have been otherwise stretched thin in Afghanistan and on other counterterrorism missions, the U.S.-based training program has been a “high priority” for the CIA since its Obama-era inception, said the former senior intelligence official.

The program did not require, or receive, a new presidential finding, which is used to authorize covert action, and has been run under previously existing authorities, according to former officials.

The Trump administration — partially at the urging of Congress — later expanded funding for the initiative, increasing the number of Ukrainian cohorts brought over yearly to the U.S., according to former officials.
Training forces that could take part in an insurgency is not the same as actively supporting an insurgency if one takes place following a Russian invasion.

The Biden administration has reportedly assembled a task force to determine how the CIA and other U.S. agencies could support a Ukrainian insurgency, should Russia launch a large-scale incursion.

“If the Russians invade, those [graduates of the CIA programs] are going to be your militia, your insurgent leaders,” said the former senior intelligence official. “We’ve been training these guys now for eight years. They’re really good fighters. That’s where the agency’s program could have a serious impact.”

Over the years, the CIA training programs have been “very effective,” said the former CIA executive.
It has helped “turn the tide,” said the first former CIA official, who said he or she was briefed that “gains were being made on the battlefield” as a “direct result” of the program.

Both U.S. and Ukrainian officials believe that Ukrainian forces will not be able to withstand a large-scale Russian incursion, according to former U.S. officials. But representatives from both countries also believe that Russia won’t be able to hold on to new territory indefinitely because of stiff resistance from Ukrainian insurgents, according to former officials.

Working so closely with the Ukrainians has presented unique challenges, according to former officials. For years, U.S. officials have believed that, because of Russia’s web of spies within Ukraine’s intelligence services, the program has very likely been compromised by Moscow.

Senior Trump administration officials discussed worries about Russian penetration of the program with their Ukrainian counterparts, according to a former national security official. The Ukrainians, well aware of the issue, have tried to vet the U.S.-bound trainees to weed out moles, according to former officials.

Still, Trump-era National Security Council officials established a rule not to tell the Ukrainians anything they weren’t comfortable with the Russians subsequently learning about, recalled the former national security official.

A small number of trainees in the earlier U.S.-based cohorts were sent back to Ukraine for breaking security rules, like possessing unauthorized electronic devices, according to the first former CIA official.

CIA officials also believed their trainees were being targeted by the Russians once they returned to Ukraine. “Russians and traitorous Russian loyalists within the Ukrainian security services were seeking out graduates of those classes to assassinate,” said the former CIA official.

Russian penetration of Ukrainian intelligence has been a long-standing problem for the CIA, according to former intelligence officials. For decades, the agency has tried to work only with special select Ukrainian units — some created at the agency’s insistence — that have been isolated from the rest of the country’s intelligence services in order to prevent Russian compromise, according to former officials.

Even though the CIA assumes some Russian compromise when working with the Ukrainians, the agency still believes the training program has been, on balance, highly valuable, according to former officials.

If the Russians launch a new invasion, “there’s going to be people who make their life miserable,” said the former senior intelligence official. The CIA-trained paramilitaries “will organize the resistance” using the specialized training they’ve received.

“All that stuff that happened to us in Afghanistan,” said the former senior intelligence official, “they can expect to see that in spades with these guys.”
And one more article from Coercion Code called "Key Flashback: CIA Secretly 'Nazifying' Ukraine Since 1953" (archive)

Key Flashback: CIA Secretly “Nazifying” Ukraine Since 1953​

March 17th 2022, 1:08 pm

Projects continued in operation through the Richard Nixon administration during the 1970s

From a recent article by the Intercept , while Senate Democrats consider a way forward to send Ukraine hundreds of millions of dollars so it can buy new weapons, some of the most influential advocates are neglecting measures to make sure they don’t wind up with the country’s notorious neo-Nazis.

Last month, Sen. Bob Menendez, D-N.J., introduced legislation to give Ukraine $500 million for arms purchases and impose what he’s called the “mother of all sanctions” on Russia if it invades. The bill mandates a number of reports on U.S. defense equipment transfers and Russian intelligence threats as well as the expansion of American news propaganda. But it makes no mention of reports to oversee whether U.S weapons go to white supremacists like the Azov Battalion, a unit in the Ukrainian National Guard with ties to the country’s far-right, ultranationalist National Corps party and Azov movement. Last year, Rep. Elissa Slotkin, D-Mich., called on Secretary of State Antony Blinken to label the Azov Battalion a foreign terrorist organization, saying it “uses the internet to recruit new members and then radicalizes them to use violence to pursue its white identity political agenda.”
Then, it reposts the Infowars/Constantine Report article.
 
My old man told me that Russian national TV is showing our casualties during evening news. Not the numbers, mind you, but like a one page presentation and the presenter is telling how heroically the person died.

@Keystone thank you for that 'светящийся негр'. Was unexpected. Gave me a laugh.

Barely related, but still, check this out:
 
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The Ukrainian Army published a picture of a strange container they managed to get their hands on in the Kiev area. OSINT autists believe that this is the command post for a Krasukha-4 electronic warfare system. If true, I will preempt @JosephStalin and say that Langley will be chomping at the bit to get their hands on it.
View attachment 3097625View attachment 3097627
They're going to crack that thing open and it will be full of dildos from some redditor who had them shipped in to supply the frontline.
 
At least we got some gems from this war. Well, some of the niggas were ahead of their time.(2015)
 
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Russia may be getting bogged down and tripping over their own dicks, but all the initial circlejerking over Zelensky and the Clapping Einsteins of Kiev has pre-emptively made me doubtful of anything that sounds like good news for Ukraine.

It bears reposting:

 
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What in the everloving fuck is that mish mash AK looking thing next to the muskets? It looks like a Browning semi auto shotgun, an AK, and a Wilkinson carbine had a rape baby. Also fucking hell I hate the fact these nigs have PPSHs and Thompsons. How the fuck are these retards poor? Could make a good 10k just selling that shit under the table at the very least.
You literally have the mindset of post soviet former bureaucrats and party apparatchiks.
 
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