Russian Invasion of Ukraine Megathread

How well is the war this going for Russia?

  • ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ Blyatskrieg

    Votes: 249 10.6%
  • ⭐⭐⭐⭐ I ain't afraid of no Ghost of Kiev

    Votes: 278 11.8%
  • ⭐⭐⭐ Competent attack with some upsets

    Votes: 796 33.7%
  • ⭐⭐ Stalemate

    Votes: 659 27.9%
  • ⭐ Ukraine takes back Crimea 2022

    Votes: 378 16.0%

  • Total voters
    2,360
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No I get you, I don't believe any side would win, or can win. Its unwinnable for either party. Just that the US can not hit every part of Russia with what we have while Russia could hit nearly all of the US with what they have. That both side admit to having. After the first one flies it becomes a moot point.
not to mention the other countries with nukes. you just know that china's gonna hit japan and all of SEA. DPRK always has its sights on seoul, india and pakistan might launch theirs. oh and israel's going to take that opportunity to light up the whole middle east. its gonna be one big nuclear bukkake party for everyone, oh the joy!

 
Yes, because parliament did not have the authority to make this decision and after Ukraine made changes to their constitution that gave Crimea greater autonomy, which was the entire thing with Donbass. It's funny how history repeats itself and yet most people don't repeat positive actions.

But don't think Crimeans were context with it either. Here is a 1994 Crimean referendum about greater autonomy and dual citizenship with Russia.
Which again received almost unanimous agreement
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1994_Crimean_referendum
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I usually trust Wikipedia less than I would a booger-saturated napkin with a thot’s act of contrition but even these scumbags admitting that most people wanted to be Russians seems like an undeniable fact.
 
A new video from Patrick Lancaster, 150 meters from Azovstal. Sniper fire from Azovstal, residents of Mariupol in slippers receiving humanitarian aid, and burning bodies in the ruined city.

A good time was had by all.​

I dont quite understand why the guy has no ear-pro (or eye-pro but slavs generally dont seem to use that) in the most active war zone around right now.
If your company can afford an HD cam, they can afford a set of used peltors or whatever the ruski equivalent is. Hell, the cheapo disposable ear-plugs would be an improvement already.
War is loud as fuck times two and not preparing will mess up your hearing permanently. Or worse because this is as disorienting as it gets and that can be lethal in such places.
Range-day gun safety logic still applies to guns outside the range for the most part.
Also would make the guy at least 50% less jumpy if every shot fired didnt hurt his ears in what i imagine is rather painful fashion.

And it would be a fine analysis if you could judge the Russian economy using GDP. They have eschewed most standard macro economic measurements, even before they decided to become gold niggers. Purchase parity metric puts their economy at a scale larger than Germany.

They knew this was coming and prepared accordingly.

It’s why sanctions don’t do any significant damage to their economy.

It isn’t just me, this has been know for years and put out on many military papers since the 2000s.
Its also not like there is not a shit-ton of precedents for the Anglo-Empire and its colony states sanctioning even countries that do comply back to the stone ages.
Although i still think the Russians were surprised by the severity going from 0-100 within like a week.
They probably naively assumed that western politicians would not instantly snap to sacrifice their own countries and people to decrease the Russian GDP by 0.05$.
 
not to mention the other countries with nukes. you just know that china's gonna hit japan and all of SEA. DPRK always has its sights on seoul, india and pakistan might launch theirs. oh and israel's going to take that opportunity to light up the whole middle east. its gonna be one big nuclear bukkake party for everyone, oh the joy!
No Brits creaming French for good measure and visa versa? For good ole time's sake?

if this is something they do frequently
Yes.
 
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And it would be a fine analysis if you could judge the Russian economy using GDP. They have eschewed most standard macro economic measurements, even before they decided to become gold niggers. Purchase parity metric puts their economy at a scale larger than Germany.

They knew this was coming and prepared accordingly.

It’s why sanctions don’t do any significant damage to their economy.

It isn’t just me, this has been know for years and put out on many military papers since the 2000s.
It would also matter if GDP mattered at all as a metric. If you still believe GDP in 2022 is a real and valid metric you simply haven't been paying attention for the past decade. It's mostly determined via made up numbers and has been for awhile.
 
It’s why sanctions don’t do any significant damage to their economy.
17% Interest Rates (Basically bribing people to hold Rubles by giving them more rubles)

Russian's who get foreign currency income are required now to convert 80% to Rubles within a month or so. (propping up the Ruble)

Days away from a national default on foreign debts, potentially causing many decades of very expensive borrowing rates.

Block people from leaving the country with any sizable amount of foreign currency, no matter how clean the money is.

Much higher transaction fees on exchanging between Foreign Currency and Ruble.

Imports into Russia from the west on goods Russia can't make, which is most things that require more than a high school education. Those Imports are down from either foreigners blocking those imports into Russia or foreigners not willing to front the capitol before those imports are sold. Causing Russian oil exports to generate a large trade imbalance.

Foreigners not being able to sell stocks they legally own on the Russian exchange, which is theft. Probably causing people who have a lot of money to never trust Russia again, looking else where to generate money. Property rights are a massive deal to rich people in sketchy countries.

Anyone with a few thousand dollars and a desirable skill are leaving Russia, going so far as to fly to Mexico to get asylum in the US. This is a massive brain drain on the scale of the 1990s.

Russia waking up Europe to the reality that Russia doesn't give a shit about nation boarders, and Europe depending on Russian fuels didn't stop Russia from expansionism. So Europe is on course away from the interdependence model and onto the independence model away from Russia. Which will absolutely screw over a petro state like Russia, even if they only manage partial independence.

All is fine in Russia, nothing to see here.
 
Nuclear winter theories are based on the flawed assumption that the fires from the Japanese cities would happen in Western cities.
The oil fires from Desert Storm and the Siberian fire of 1915 essentially deboonked nuclear winter.
The real danger would be the spread of nuclear particles in the air and water. As well as it's effects on crops and livestock.
 
  1. Despite being unremembered they cause decrease of GDP by 1/3 in one year
  2. That means on average single Russian can buy 1/3 less of goods and services
Fail.

What this literally means is that US dollars are worth 1/3 less for goods and services in Russia. It doesn't mean the average Russian is buying 1/3 less of goods and services. For that, you have to use GDP Purchasing Power Parity (PPP).

Redo your analysis and come back with your findings.
 
Here is an update on the Hohol War effort against the Putler and his Huns and Chechen ammosexuals.

While President Lets go Brandon and his cokehead advisor, also apparently is his son as well but who cares at this point, are working on giving away free shit, I mean hard earned American taxpayer money, to the hohols, the Nigger of the Dnieper has been sent ahead to defeat the Orcs and his barbaric horde of rapists, thieves, liberators and rapists.

Here is he in action, pointing out Kalibr missiles, I guess in a clam and collected manner.

 
We have more than enough to nuke them. Russia may have more, but we both have about the same amount of active nukes.
This was a paper written before Ukraine caught the eye of our covetous neocons and may have been scaremongering on behalf of contractors eager to whip up business, and I take such reports with a grain of salt (a heaping spoonful tbh). Everyone lies in DC, to the point you really have to familiarize yourself with the weasel words particular to each faction.
The real danger would be the spread of nuclear particles in the air and water. As well as it's effects on crops and livestock.
Some have extraordinary long half lifes and it doesn't take much to kill you quickly or slowly, as well as painfully. I remember reading wildlife is thriving in the Chernobyl Exclusion Zone but critters are larger but with smaller brains. Kind of like scaled down Super Mutants. So we could have literal room temperature IQ humans as the norm, the niggerfication of humanity, if you will.
Here is an update on the Hohol War effort against the Putler and his Huns and Chechen ammosexuals.

While President Lets go Brandon and his cokehead advisor, also apparently is his son as well but who cares at this point, are working on giving away free shit, I mean hard earned American taxpayer money, to the hohols, the Nigger of the Dnieper has been sent ahead to defeat the Orcs and his barbaric horde of rapists, thieves, liberators and rapists.

Here is he in action, pointing out Kalibr missiles, I guess in a clam and collected manner.

View attachment 3197582
Here you see can what I'm talking about: a nigger speaking authoritatively on Russian missiles he learned about yesterday, yelling "Stand by!" as if he has a platoon of fellow dumb niggers to command, checks his watch to indicate he is computing something, complies with the terms of the product placement agreement he secured before leaving to defend the honor of people who would shoot him on sight if he wandered away from the safety of his globohomo enclave and looks concerned and somber as befits a media hound posturing in a war zone. All of this is done in the expectation we will rise up and follow his example and demand the right to die for a skeevy cabal in Ukraine, Europe and America who have bled Ukraine dry and need more warm bodies niggers to continue their grift.
 
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Going to specify this one, because anyone who actually believes the results of the referendum is very very exceptional.
Gallup conducted an immediate post-referendum survey of Ukraine and Crimea and published their results in April 2014. Gallup reported that, among the population of Crimea, 93.6% of ethnic Russians and 68.4% of ethnic Ukrainians believed the referendum result accurately represents the will of the Crimean people. Only 1.7% of ethnic Russians and 14.5% of ethnic Ukrainians living in Crimea thought that the referendum results didn't accurately reflect the views of the Crimean people.[36]

In May 2014, Washington, D.C., pollster Pew Research published results of a survey that encompassed Crimea, Ukraine, and Russia, in which it was reported that 88% of Crimeans believed the government of Kyiv should officially recognize the result of Crimea's referendum.[37]

More:

Between December 12 and 25, 2014, Levada-Center carried out a survey of Crimea that was commissioned by John O'Loughlin, College Professor of Distinction and Professor of Geography at the University of Colorado in Boulder, and Gerard Toal (Gearóid Ó Tuathail), Professor of Government and International Affairs at Virginia Tech's National Capital Region campus. The results of that survey were published by Open Democracy in March, 2015, and reported that, overall, 84% of Crimeans felt the choice to secede from Ukraine and accede to Russia was "Absolutely the right decision", with the next-largest segment of respondents saying the decision to return to Russia was the "Generally right decision". The survey commissioners, John O'Loughlin and Gerard Toal, wrote in their Open Democracy article that, while they felt that the referendum was "an illegal act under international law", their survey shows "It is also an act that enjoys the widespread support of the peninsula's inhabitants, with the important exception of its Crimean Tatar population" with "widespread support for Crimea's decision to secede from Ukraine and join the Russian Federation one year ago". Their survey also reported that a majority of Crimean Tatars viewed Crimea's return to Russia as either the "Absolutely right decision" or the "Generally right decision".[38]

From January 16 – 22, 2015, Germany's GfK Group, with support from the Canada Fund for Local Initiatives, followed-up their pre-referendum survey of Crimeans' voting intention with a post-referendum survey about how satisfied Crimeans are with the outcome of their referendum. GfK's post-referendum survey found that 82% of Crimeans "Fully endorse" Crimea's referendum and return to Russia, while another 11% "Mostly endorse" it.[39]

From February 9 – 18, 2015, Russian public opinion research centre, VTsIOM, carried out a door-to-door survey of 1,600 Crimean respondents. The VTsIOM survey asked how people would vote if the same referendum on Crimea's identity that was held in March 2014 were held again at the present time (February 2015). VTsIOM reported that 97% of ethnic Russians, 91% of ethnic Ukrainians, 49% of ethnic Tatars, and 92% of all other ethnic groups would vote for Crimea to join Russia, while 1% of ethnic Russians, 4% of ethnic Ukrainians, 26% of ethnic Tatars, and 2% of all other ethnic groups would vote to remain an autonomous region of Ukraine.[40]

In November 2017, German pollster ZOiS published the results of a survey which reported that 85.3% of Crimeans excluding Tatars, and 61.8% of Crimean Tatars excluding other Crimean demographics thought that Crimeans would either vote the same or that the majority would vote the same as they did in 2014 if the same referendum were held at the present time (November 2017). 3.8% of Crimeans excluding Tatars, and 16.2% of Crimean Tatars responded that most Crimeans would vote differently if the same referendum were held again at that time in 2017. The ZOiS survey also reported that, among the Crimean population apart from Tatars, when asked what was the reason Crimea became a part of Russia in 2014, 32.9% of respondents said that Crimea became a part of Russia as a result of Kyiv's neglect of the region over many years, 25% of respondents said it happened because of the mobilization of the Crimean population, 24% respondents said it happened as a result of the Euromaidan, and 17.4% said it happened as a result of Russia's action. When the same question was asked of Crimean Tatars, excluding all other demographics in Crimea, 36.3% of respondents said that Crimea became a part of Russia as a result of the Euromaidan, 32.9% said it happened as a result of Kyiv's neglect of the region over many years, 24% of respondents said it happened as a result of Russia's action, and 7.8% said it happened because of the mobilization of the Crimean population.[41]

In March 2019, Russian public opinion research centre, VTsIOM, published the results of a new survey of Crimea in which 89% of respondents said they would vote to "reunify" with Russia if a referendum on the matter were held next week. The same survey reported 93% of Crimeans viewed Crimea's "reunification" with Russia in a positive light, while 3% viewed it in a negative light. 86% of respondents said they believed that Crimea is developing more successfully as under Russian control, while 72% said that the "reunification" had a positive effect on their lives and that of their families. 59% of respondents said they had "noticed positive changes on the peninsula in the last year".[42]

In December 2019, Levada-Center was again commissioned by John O'Loughlin, College Professor of Distinction and Professor of Geography at the University of Colorado in Boulder, and Gerard Toal (Gearóid Ó Tuathail), Professor of Government and International Affairs at Virginia Tech's National Capital Region campus, to carry-out a survey of Crimea's attitudes towards their referendum and living as a part of Russia. The survey aimed to repeat the questions of their 2014 survey. The 2019 survey found that 82% of Crimea's population supported Crimea's accession to Russia, as opposed to 86% in 2014. The survey also found that 58% of Crimean Tatars now supported Crimea's accession to Russia, as opposed to 39% in 2014.[43]
 
It would be rather tough for them, as during my entire life I've met only 2 blacks who were native polish speakers. One I meet at party and was doctor, other was studying at my year. Every single other black was tourist or foreign exchange student.

There is only one sizable minority in Poland: Ukrainians. And in period of one generation, they are no longer Ukrainians, but fully integrated into polish society. Other minorities are belarusians, some from region of Caucasus, Turkmenistan, Kazakhstan and so forth. All of those aren't exactly sizable. It is difficult to play race card here.

One belarusian girl I know speaks polish so well, I could not believe that she wasn't polish. And she learned it rather late in life, half a year before end of high school exam.

What are you on about? We have a large SE Asian population. Our Vietnamese population is the 4th largest in the EU. They have been settling here since the 90s and while their children could have been born here and speak fluent Polish I'd never call them fully integrated. They mostly keep to themselves and aren't problematic but still they are a large minority.

Furthermore, my husband and I live in Warsaw and the influx of visible minorites is through the roof right now. Try renting an apartment in one of the old downtown buildings and you'll see who lives there.

Polish people don't deliver Uber eats, it's mostly Indians/Africans etc.

The truth is, that as an immigrant you can only ever integrate fully into Polish society / culture if youre a Slav or at least look like one. Poland is like Japan in that regard.
If you're white, born in Japan, raised in Japan, only speak Japanese, never left Japan etc you're still not gonna be considered Japanese.

Our culture and national identity are strongly connected to physical appearance. We are a mono ethnic, homogenous nation where the only exception is given to Polish Jews or Polish Gypsies.

It doesn't change the fact that different races are arriving in Poland and many will chose to stay.
 
View attachment 3197371
A Chechen engaging in a joyous dance before. . . discharging his firearm into the air. Then another Chechen discharges his firearm into the air. I'm a big time Chechen enjoyer, but if this is something they do frequently then I'd be amazed if someone hasn't died yet. Also, watching him dance I couldn't help but think of this:
View attachment 3197381
At ten seconds is he doing the bouncing tits motion lol they seem like fun to hang out with. They are so joyous, I don't think I've seen a video of them in the war where they aren't smiling. Also you forget any bullets they shoot up in the air won't fall down on them because Allah protects them. ALLAH ACKBAR!
 
US military representative named "Kim Garden" has been geolocated by the DPR; she is currently at Volodymyrska Street, Kiev.

kim garden, US representative in Kiev.png


Was fully expecting some high-pitched, foreign-ish accent. Got a Latina-American voice instead, lol

 
1. I left legally.
2. I left before the 24th.
3. Arakhamia of the Servant of the People said that they're not voting for the jail time return law and they will "seek other ways to punish government officials who abrogated their duty during the war".
4. I have been planning to settle in Europe at some point anyway, so the war just accelerated my plans.
Ukraine isn't a nation of laws, it's a nation of mobs (ochlocracy). I imagine whatever Ukrainian state survives this, every bar in every town will be packed with war veterans sniffing out every fighting-age male looking for more potential "Russian infiltrators". Better work on your accent if you ever plan to go back.
 
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