Ukrainian Defensive War against the Russian Invasion - Mark IV: The Partitioning of Discussion

It's frankly confounding as to why US officials are stumbling over themselves to send Israel shit it doesn't even need,
It's not because the Israel lobby is massive in comparison to other lobbies in the US. They're very organized and many jewish people have a strong in-group bias and are very invested in Israel's existence.
 
Shahed drone factory gets ack'd; Tatarstan, the city of Yelabuga, 1200 km from the border with Ukraine:


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Nizhnekamsk refinery (1100km away from Ukraine) also got droned:
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These refineries either directly fuel or fund the war, even those facilities refining for the civil sector, while the US cannot supply anything much for now, altho higher octane refineries foe missiles or aircraft are too far east to hit now. Hopefully Ukraine politely ignores an unreasonable request (and seems to have). Russia's customers are increasingly its minor turd world clients, with even the pajeets not able to take Russian crude. Euros don't rely much on its natural gas too much now. Cheap Russuan gas was always a false economy promoted by gimps like Gerhard Schroeder.
You guys reckon this might be one of the primary reasons they refuse to give Ukraine long-range missiles?
 
You guys reckon this might be one of the primary reasons they refuse to give Ukraine long-range missiles?
Could be, yet Ukraine again hit a campus with refinery and drone factory in Tatarstan yesterday - they seem intent on hitting what they can, but also defueling jets and missiles seems more relevant than depriving Pyotr of gas for his Moskvitsch. Russians might be cowed but they won't like it if they cannot drive. Perhaps leaders fear regular hits on Moscow and St Petersburg and what might result. Honestly, it could be just timidity, confusion and uncertainty over any poat Putin era. Hopefully Speaker Johnson puts the Ukraine-Taiwan-Israel aid to a vote as he promised very recently after praying about, altho it might be a way to swat away Ms Missing Link aka MTG.
 
The first results of Russia's Easter attacks are in. Replacing these will just increase the Russian GDP. Another victory for the Russian people.
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A visualisation of advances as of April 1st.
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Russian industrial output continues to flatline outside of government funded defense industries, and the output of those starts to stagnate as well due to worker shortages and existing production lines reaching their limit.
This private information is unavailable to guests due to policies enforced by third-parties.
link (kommersant)

This is in line with the descriptions in a policy brief released by the Bank of Finland last December.
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The January 2024 report on the overall situation by the Estonian Foreign Intelligence Service is interesting. Estonia has historically had excellent intelligence networks inside Russia.
That report contains some interesting information on various topics. Here's the contents and summary:
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Some interesting tidbits:
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For reference, according to the Federal State Statistics Service the median monthly salary in Russia was 40,368 RUB in 2022. That's somewhere in the ballpark of 550 USD (exchange rate of 73 RUB = 1 USD).
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Heck.
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One million RUB is about 10,000 EUR.
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From what I remember the "Bidenflation" pro-Russian Americans complain about is pretty similar actually.
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Russian World headline:
The Taliban (Taliban movement banned in Russia) have been invited to participate in the Russia-Islamic World forum in Kazan, the Russian Foreign Ministry said.
source: TASS

Context:
[...]
Officially, the Taliban movement is recognised as a terrorist movement and is banned in Russia, but Russian authorities maintain contacts with its representatives on an official level.
[...]
In May 2022, while EU countries were discussing an oil embargo against Russia and major oil traders were planning to refuse Russian supplies because of the invasion of Ukraine, the Taliban offered to buy Russian oil and gas, and a month later the movement's representatives were guests at Russia's main economic forum.

In February 2023, the Taliban and the Russian Federation agreed to create an investment alliance worth one billion dollars.
source
Perhaps Taliban led Afghanistan will become a member of BRICS and show the degenerate Anglo-Saxons the quality of life that can be found in the multipolar world.
The Taliban are at war with the Islamic State, another thing in common.
 

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It looks like a Cessna, because it's a Ukrainian-produced copy; an Aeroprakt A-22 "Foxbat".
I dub this "Pulling a Mathias Rust".
I think that trash website article is talking about this deal that went through the news a couple weeks ago.
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Wild seeing Zunis mentioned as like, an ongoing combat thing. But the Soviets were all about stuff like the S-13 so it makes sense.
 
Do you know where it is from?
Looting of the wounded is a common practice in the Russian army, but they usually leave them behind to die on their own instead of killing them.
This one is a fairly old video, from last year; he walks off with some comrades who were hiding in the treeline. They knew what he was doing.

Another Ukrainian DIY fagmentation sleeve for drone munitions.
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This one is a fairly old video, from last year; he walks off with some comrades who were hiding in the treeline. They knew what he was doing.

Makes a certain kind of sense. If the way the Russian army operates is to leave the wounded behind to die I could see this being seen as a sort of mercy to kill them so they don't suffer needlessly before you strip them for parts.
 
A new jamming/anti-drone complex has been showing up on Russian tanks, or at least I haven't seen any from before Avdiivka was retaken; it's the UFO-looking thing mounted on top of this one's cope-patio.
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So far I've spotted them on at least 4-5 tanks & a few IFV/APCs, although some could be the same vehicles imaged from different angles & platforms. They obviously don't work with the vehicle powered down, but it could be a reason why we haven't been seeing as many FPVs & drop-drones chasing down moving/operational targets at low altitudes lately.

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Well, this is...... different.
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Online Press Briefing with Ambassador Julianne Smith U.S. Permanent Representative to NATO

On the topic of a new Secretary General:
SMITH:
So first and foremost, let me state again how appreciative we are of Jens Stoltenberg’s leadership over 10 years here at NATO Headquarters.
[...]
And there are two official candidates. As you know, we have Mark Rutte from the Netherlands and President Iohannis from Romania. There is ongoing debate across the Alliance on the qualifications of both of these very impressive leaders, and we will continue to debate the pros and cons of those two individuals until we reach consensus on one of them, hopefully, in the weeks ahead.
[...]


Question:
[...] Do you consider the option when Congress approves the new assistance package for Ukraine as a real one? Do you think that this will happen? [...]

SMITH:
Well, first and foremost, let me say that we do have an expectation that the supplemental will be passed, hopefully sooner rather than later. [...]


Question:
[...] If Russia keeps – continues to advance in Ukraine in the upcoming months, will this tarnish NATO’s reputation? [...]

SMITH:
Well, we don’t spend much time here in the Alliance talking about the prospect of NATO’s reputation being tarnished. [...]

Our friends in Europe, in Canada, have been remarkably generous with the assistance that they have provided, whether it’s economic, humanitarian, or military assistance. We salute all of those efforts, and we continue to work with our friends in Europe and in Canada to ensure that that support will keep flowing.


Question:
[...] Russia keeps increasing the targeting of Ukraine’s energy infrastructure, and there were reports recently that the U.S. was against Ukraine hitting back inside Russia on Russian energy infrastructure. I was wondering – just wanted to ask you directly that are there any constraints placed upon Ukraine in how Ukraine fights back or takes the fight back into Russia? [...]

SMITH:
[...] In terms of actually going after targets inside Russia, that is something that the United States is not particularly supportive of. We are focused on Ukrainians’ right to defend its territory and to push Russians out of its territory [...]


Question:
So my question is about the warning that Ukrainian President Zelenskyy and U.S. President Biden had, that if Russia advances in Ukraine and Ukraine somehow fails, falls, the next target might be the Balkans. How serious is this threat?

SMITH:
Well, we do consider the Russian threat to the NATO Alliance to be the preeminent threat that we’re grappling with. If you go back and read the Strategic Concept from 2022, it was no accident that we listed Russia as a direct threat to the Alliance. So that is what we spend most of our time here across the Alliance, is grappling with this particular threat that Russia poses.

We have also seen many times in history where if a dictator is not stopped, or an authoritarian leader, they keep going. And that’s why it’s so important that we all help Ukraine push Russia out of its territory and end this unprovoked aggression. Because if they do not succeed, of course the concern is that Russia will feel compelled to keep going.

Now, that said, what I want to say to our friends in the Baltic states is we do not see an imminent threat to NATO territory, either in the Baltic region or really, frankly, in any region. But it remains a top concern. We’ve taken many, many steps over the last two years to enhance deterrence and defense, particularly up and down the eastern flank. We take the security concerns of our friends in the Baltic states very seriously, and we’re taking active steps to enhance our posture there – more exercises, more training – to ensure that we’re ready for all possible contingencies. We also have new regional plans in place that will enable us to know exactly what we have to do to protect every inch of NATO territory.

So NATO is not sitting on its hands; it’s not waiting for any possible contingency. Instead, it’s preparing for all contingencies. But I don’t want to give our friends in the Baltic states the impression that somehow war is coming to NATO territory overnight. We take it seriously, but we do not see this to be an imminent threat.
[...]
Right now we see Russia all in and engaged with this unprovoked war of aggression inside Ukraine, but we do not have indicators and warnings right now that a Russian war is imminent on NATO territory, and I really want to be clear about that.


I skipped topics I thought were not relevant.

Also
SMITH:
Armenia and Azerbaijan also are looking for ways to deepen their relationship with the NATO Alliance. This speaks to the value of these partnerships, where not every partner is necessarily seeking membership per se, but many countries around the world find great utility in meeting with NATO Allies to discuss some of our shared security challenges, whether it’s the challenge of disinformation or cyber attacks or maritime security issues. There are a whole array of topics that we discuss with our partners around the globe, and for our friends in the Caucasus, it’s clear that they find real value in their partnership with the Alliance, and there’s no question in my mind that NATO Allies find value in those partnerships as well.
 
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Estonia has historically had excellent intelligence networks inside Russia.

Estonian Intelligence has been spot on this entire war Extra Special Military blunder Operation. I don't think they'd had any bad calls.

They called Russian invasion and the approximate time line,they called out the impending fuck up of Russia, and Ukraine actually resisting.
So I'll believe that glowie pamphlet.

Makes a certain kind of sense. If the way the Russian army operates is to leave the wounded behind to die I could see this being seen as a sort of mercy to kill them so they don't suffer needlessly before you strip them for parts.
It is in a slav's nature to steal, but I'm still going to give that zigger the benefit of the doubt and say that in a combat zone with zero hope of medevac, he did a mercy killing on a guy who wasn't going to make it and who had already sold or shot up all the morphine.
 
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