Bossman Austin Curtis Peterson / BossmanJack / AustinGambles / Austin_07 / irondollah - Gambling addict, convicted felon, scammer, and raging manchild that hates his fucking life, FAKE MONEY

BossmanJack live chat for stream commentary.

Duration of Rehab Saga Mk. IV

  • < 1WK

    Votes: 315 20.9%

  • < 3 WK

    Votes: 439 29.2%

  • < 6WK

    Votes: 218 14.5%

  • Completed Successfully

    Votes: 532 35.4%
  • Total voters
    1,504
Around 5 AM BMT, Bossman decided it was time for the BossmanJack Giveaway Discord Guess Heads or Tails Show, so he shot a few video clips for general chat. He also swears that's not blood on his ceiling, dude. Here's all of the vids he shot with his phone for this momentous occasion.




Instead of going live, he then sent a few more videos. We can see that the gold coins and silver bars are back in their natural home on the nasty ass desk, and we get a round of Bossman Trivia.



 
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Juhlonduss said:
Around 5 AM BMT, Bossman decided it was time for the BossmanJack Giveaway Discord Guess Heads or Tails Show, so he shot a few video clips for general chat. He also swears that's not blood on his ceiling, dude. Here's all of the vids he shot with his phone for this momentous occasion.
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Instead of going live, he then sent a few more videos. We can see that the gold coins and silver bars are back in their natural home on the nasty ass desk, and we get a round of Bossman Trivia.
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I haven't seen the chain till now and I'm sorely disappointed. I expected a CHAIN chain, not some trailerpark I bought 14k gold that's probably fake with my welfare check shit. What would Derrick Christmas think of that skinny weak flaccid chain?
 
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510 said:
apropos of nothing I realized that I have never once seen this dude drink water, only body armors
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He has drank water about a dozen times on stream since we started following him here, and at least a third of those times were empty Body Armor bottles filled with water.

ETA: Quick balance update: he lost it all! Except he has around $3.5k in his PayPal right now and no one will lift a little finger and sell him crypto, and our boy refuses to learn how to buy it himself.
 
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postfeetpls said:
Blows my mind every time I open the thread. The chance of landing 3 consecutive successful toss predictions is 1/8. And 4 is 1/16.
This man keeps on betting 4 and 5 digit numbers on 12.5% chance of success and is in awe every time it doesn't work. And if luck has his back this one time and it does work, he then bets it all on 6.25% and blames the CEO when it fails.
Fucking lmao


Is it possible his brain is so fried from the crack he thinks every flip is a 50/50 chance? Like, does he think winning 5 times in a row is 50/50 because the coin is either heads or tails every time and he should always be winning half the time? I'm starting to suspect that's what he thinks and that's why he's on the toss so much, and that's why he's disappointed when he loses.
Am I underestimating him? Does he know what he's doing?
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That is not how stats work. Bernoulli trials are independent and thus 50% would be the correct probability assuming it's a fair coin. Another way to think about it is assuming you had 3 heads in a row, HHH, then the next outcome is HHHT or HHHH, in other words 50/50. So while it is true the probability of HHHH is low from the outset (i.e., no flips have occurred) that changes with dependent probabilities since we are computing via Bayes theorem P( X | HHH).

How the casinos make their money is through expected value, dependent on the RTP. For the coin flip it's around 96%, implying a biased coin toss. So instead of 50/50 it's more like 48/52, over repeated trials (e.g., a crack addict gambling all day) any pool of money a player has will trend towards zero.
 
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Juhlonduss said:
He has drank water about a dozen times on stream since we started following him here, and at least a third of those times were empty Body Armor bottles filled with water.

ETA: Quick balance update: he lost it all! Except he has around $3.5k in his PayPal right now and no one will lift a little finger and sell him crypto, and our boy refuses to learn how to buy it himself.
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My boy needs to break for a actual water bottle, a Stanley or some shit. Can't have him passing out in the middle of a gamba sesh.
 
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postfeetpls said:
The chance of landing 3 consecutive successful toss predictions is 1/8. And 4 is 1/16.
This man keeps on betting 4 and 5 digit numbers on 12.5% chance of success and is in awe every time it doesn't work.
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postfeetpls said:
Is it possible his brain is so fried from the crack he thinks every flip is a 50/50 chance? Like, does he think winning 5 times in a row is 50/50 because the coin is either heads or tails every time and he should always be winning half the time?
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To be absolutely fair to BMJ, applied statistics is a very abstract concept that is not that intuitive or easy. And I got ninja'd but you got it wrong. He's losing because of something called the law of large numbers with a house edge.

Were bmj to keep playing for an infinite period he'd get 48 bucks out of every 100. What you are refering to is the additive luck of picking correctly a 50/50 random choice. Null also confused additive luck with casino statistical law.

Again, this shit may seem simple but it is very abstract and a lot of thunk by people who do numbers for a living were given into this. Pascal created the Roulette for example. I also find it a bit mind bending at times. Had to take statistics at college and was confused most of the time. Still am tbf.
 
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Were Bossman (or anyone else) to start with any amount of money and play for an infinite number of coin tosses, then he would always end up with 0. There is no way around that 0.99 return to player.

Using the numbers shown in the videos today and assuming a fair coin, were Bossman to start a million separate games, each time with 100 dollars and bet it all on one coin toss, then around 500,000 times he would end up with 0 (he chose wrong), and around 500,000 times he would end up with 198 dollars (he chose right). For an expected return of 0.99. From watching Bossman's streams and the payout return data he has shown previously, I do think the casinos he plays on are fair, i.e. they are not rigged and do return the amount to player that they advertise.

Anyone with the barest understanding of probability should be able to make a fortune from Bossman's situation (at least 1000 dollars a day free, plus ten thousand dollars a month from subs). Luckily for us, Bossman is a retard.
 
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This Machine Milks Cows said:
Anyone with the barest understanding of probability should be able to make a fortune from Bossman's situation (at least 1000 dollars a day free, plus ten thousand dollars a month from subs)...
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What are you talking about, RAT? Don't you understand? THEY. HATE. HIM. THEIR RIGGERY CAUSED HIM TO HAVE NOTHING, MAN. HE HAS FUCKING NOTHING, AND HE GIVES SO MUCH MONEY AWAY, BRO.

This shit ain't right. And nobody does anything. They just like to watch him lose and no one lifts a finger.
 
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Bossman just went on a half hour string of posting voice clips to his discord, with topics varying from the Kick situation:

to, well, everything. Some rat calls him a sensitive bitch and he goes off. He calls his dad a rat around 7:50 in this video before ranting about how he wants to move into his own place soon. His attention is then diverted to continuing the ratquisition. Two supposed rats enter the voice channel and that's where our video ends. Some one else will have to post the voice call, it's mostly discord spergs trying to yell over Bossman but Bossman always wins when it comes to Bosscord Blood Sports (BBS).

(apologies for leaving my restream overlay visible, I didn't realize it was still on until I was like 17 minutes into the long video, and I am lazy and have been up all night restreaming this exceptional individual. Time for bed.)
 
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This Machine Milks Cows said:
Anyone with the barest understanding of probability should be able to make a fortune from Bossman's situation (at least 1000 dollars a day free, plus ten thousand dollars a month from subs).
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That's why they only give these deals to degenerates. Anyone thinking how much better they'd do in Austin's position is ignoring the fact they are actively avoiding finding themselves in a similar position. If you do decide to destroy your life with gambling addiction, make sure you stream it.
 
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Misery Niggas said:
they need to unban this nigga already.
these discord clips and reposts on youtube are just not hitting the same when watching the raw streams themselves...
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he's talking about streaming on youtube right now so that might happen
edit: according to him he's going to be streaming on there until twitch unban once he gets people modded
 
Justtocheck said:
What are you talking about, RAT? Don't you understand? THEY. HATE. HIM. THEIR RIGGERY CAUSED HIM TO HAVE NOTHING, MAN. HE HAS FUCKING NOTHING, AND HE GIVES SO MUCH MONEY AWAY, BRO.

This shit ain't right. And nobody does anything. They just like to watch him lose and no one lifts a finger.
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Dude! Oh my fucking God. Oh my fucking God. DUDE! OH MY FUCKING GOD! I'm gonna k. I'm gonna fucking. DUDE! I'M FUCKING A DUDE!
Oh, I've lost it all again. :lossmanjack:


break these cuffs said:
That's why they only give these deals to degenerates. Anyone thinking how much better they'd do in Austin's position is ignoring the fact they are actively avoiding finding themselves in a similar position. If you do decide to destroy your life with gambling addiction, make sure you stream it.
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The funny thing about gambling is, if you start with 100 dollars, win 50% and then lose 50%, then you are left with only 75 dollars.
However, if you start again with 100 dollars, lose 50% and then win 50% afterwards, then you are still only left with 75 dollars.
A strange game. The only winning move is not to play.




I absolutely love the way that the door is arranged now with Bossman physically lifting it up. Every bit as good as the old curtain.
 
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You know I'm shocked BMJ hasn't got a dedicated alogging cult trying to ruin what's left of his life yet. I know there's plenty of rats making fun of him but I'm talking about honest to God insane alogs. That's not a call to action or anything but given how badly he reacts to everything you'd think that the crazies (probably former fans) would have latched on to him.
 
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