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There are reasons besides just dropping the incumbent that all those incumbents you mentioned had bad things happen to the party overall and the two you mentioned as exceptions benefitted from times of relative prosperity.The ruling party has always been punished for dropping the incumbent. Happened in 52' with Truman, happened in '68 with LBJ, happened with James K Polk, happened with James Buchanan. Only times it didn't happen were Coolidge and Rutherford B Hayes
Yes, but dropping the incumbent generally is a sign that either the incumbent personally or their party political apparatus view their situation as untenableThere are reasons besides just dropping the incumbent that all those incumbents you mentioned had bad things happen to the party overall
So when do we get to see the "M. Night Shyamalan's The Visit" version of Biden?Biden's extra terrible performance in the debate was because of sundowning
You can be punished for dropping an untenable incumbent but also for not dropping them. Gotta fight the battle you are in today and figure out which situation is MORE untenable.Yes, but dropping the incumbent generally is a sign that either the incumbent personally or their party political apparatus view their situation as untenable
Well, in this situation, the Democrats are screwed either wayYou can be punished for dropping an untenable incumbent but also for not dropping them. Gotta fight the battle you are in today and figure out which situation is MORE untenable.
I think right now what we're seeing is that they don't actually have to die first, power just falls right out of their arthritis weakened hands.No, they destroyed their upcoming crops of new talent, while at the same time they utterly refuse to give up even an inch of power they have clawed onto over the past 50 years. This ends when the fucking boomers like Schumer / Pelosi / McConnel / etc die and they're finally, FINALLY, forced to let go of the reigns of power, and not a second sooner
I believe the 2020 plan was for Biden to win and then resign for health reasons shortly after the midterms, but Kamala turned out to be so incredibly unlikeable and 2022 was looking bad enough that they scrapped that plan.
Yeah but remember folks. It's July. Too many people out there have too short of a memory to remember all this, current, brouhaha.Boys I'm ngl, this post-debate Dem meltdown is rapidly approaching the pure uncut schadenfreude of the 2016 aftermath when Trump sent Killary to the glue factory.
Watching Biden call himself a black woman on his "I'll show them how sharp I am" comeback tour, then The Economist absolutely puts him in a bodybag with their cover story... hot damn, this is weapons grade lulz.
Verbatim, from a best friend, "she doesn't sound even remotely black, she sounds like Hillary wearing a skinsuit. Condoleeza Rice is more authentically black, and none of us are voting for her either unless its to run a football team"What's the general African American view on being told Kamala is a black woman? You can just look at Biden's recent ramblings about being a black vice president under a black President to get an idea of how retarded they are on race peddling.
This is a very stable race. If Biden loses ground he won't recoverYeah but remember folks. It's July. Too many people out there have too short of a memory to remember all this, current, brouhaha.
Abigail Disney is a regular in left wing politics and has basically no influence at all for Disney the company. In fact she agitates regularly to unionize Disney stuff and decry the actual anti worker stuff they do and decries the current ceo for being too conservative. Her publically agitating is a day ending in Y.Bro the miscellaneous, nebulously wealthy heiresses with a large gap between their ears are the ones you want donating to you.
If Disney did it proper there's all these regulations with the FEC/SEC that make it harder to funnel money into a random PAC or just massively overpay for a plate at some donation dinner.
If they're losing the idle elites that's a bad sign.
So, here's a potential scenario: Right now we've got Trump leading and Biden floundering. We can expect the polls to tighten up a little bit as democratic panic and anger subsides and they realize they have to rally around Biden. Then we've got the Republican convention July 15 to 18, so probably a convention bump for Trump, landing us back around where we are now. Things will tighten back up a bit as the bump energy fades, and then in Aug 19-Aug 22 we have the Democratic convention. Biden should get a bit of a convention bump and possibly take the lead or at least turn things into more of a tossup. Then, the second debate Sept. 10. Biden fails to visibly shit himself and stroke out on stage, and the media and democratic viewers get back on the same page with the party and call that a Biden win and incredible recovery. Biden takes the lead, but this is the last major campaign event so things tighten back up into a tossup by election day, anybody's ball game.Yeah but remember folks. It's July. Too many people out there have too short of a memory to remember all this, current, brouhaha.
He's busy pretending the conspicuous amount of hot dogs he ate today was a totally heterosexual actHow the hell have the GOPe not found a way to fuck things up and take all the attention off Biden? Right about now is when Lindsey Graham or someone similar should be somehow turning this thing into a losing situation.
The "stay quiet your stupid fucks" memo must have gone out. The democrat situation right now is basically a dream scenario for easy opposition.How the hell have the GOPe not found a way to fuck things up and take all the attention off Biden? Right about now is when Lindsey Graham or someone similar should be somehow turning this thing into a losing situation.
Biden is not going to get any betterAm I missing anything?