US US Politics General - Discussion of President Biden and other politicians

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A funny thing I just noticed

Why does everyone call Kamala Harris just Kamala but Donal Trump is always just Trump?

Is it just an instinctive bow to male dominance? Harris is a woman so people feel comfortable just using her first name but because Trump is a guy he's get the deference of authority.

I'm not shitposting for once, I'm genuinely curious
It happened in 2016 too. "Hillary" vs "Trump". Maybe it was partially to distinguish Bill vs Hillary, but I figure its to make the candidate seem more "familiar" to the audience and so more likely to be sympathetic.
 
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Great turnout for early voting in republican counties
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I'm sorry, but no way in Hell does Trump lose this election (in a fair, honest, and legal election) if VA flips red even by a narrow margin.

No way does VA flip red and ALL the rust belt states or southern states like NC and GA go blue. People can feel free to give me rainbows because I keep saying it, but it makes no sense for this to happen given the current electorate. NoVA is full of government workers, and if they can't keep VA blue like they have been for many federal election cycles, then I just can't see a lot of these swing states going blue.

If Trump wins VA, Kamala has no paths to victory (again, in a fair, honest, and legal election).

If these current numbers from VA are a bellwether of what's to come on Election Night, then the ballot printers will have to REALLY go brrrr this time, and many more pipes throughout the country will have to burst at 3am.
 
I still don't think VA's possible. It would mean a less stressful night and early knowing the outcome. But it's not necessary. I think GA is 90% safe, and Arizona probably safe. NV is over 50% Trump. PA over 55-60% likely.

Just my guesses, but I don't see him winning WI, or MN, or Michigan but winning on the others.

My current guess:
NV 'might' go Trump, but usually goes blue anyway. Don't need it even here:


Screenshot 2024-09-21 221810.png

ETA if GA or PA go squirrely it'll be a short night though, and she'll certainly win. Trump can absorb a more losses of purples I think than she can, but a PA and/or GA loss makes it rough.
 
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I would kill to have a BJ by Harris. This bitch legit climbed to top of the world for it, so it has to be good.

Think about it dudes. How many times you took a bitch to the Olive Garden and watched Bridget Jones on your apartment only to get the worst head of all time? Gagging at just the head. Going slower than an old ass 99+ year old man paraplegic with diabetes. Say you are about to finish and they jump out the fucking window to evade. Complain about getting tired two minutes in.

In short, we should praise this woman. She must give one hell of a BJ.
A bad blow job is more noteworthy than a good blow job. If you're fucking it up, you're a retard. It isn't that hard to figure out.
 
Allegedly, and I didn't see this in the past X pages, the city commissioner/mayor of Springfield Ohio is kicking out resident, replacing them with Haitians, jacking up the rent to get as much of their gibs as he can, while also deflating the property values to avoid taxes.
I'm phoneposting so I haven't checked out anon's sources but I saw at least one archive url.img_1_1726974383861.jpg
 
She could set up the bait but good god she was awful at really talking about any policy, and that seems to be how the Oprah town hall went as well. She's serving word salads everywhere and little else. At least they got her to ease off the nervous cackle I suppose. I don't think the CNN debate will go any better if she's not willing to review her performance and see how she can do better. If anything Trump's got a better idea of her playbook now, it might not go as well as it did last time.
Kamala seems to have problems adapting to her context and understanding the needs and interests of different audiences. Her line about "anyone breaking into my house is going to get shot" with Oprah seemed like something she was coached to say as a "Sister Souljah moment" at some opportune time to demonstrate to people that she isn't just some wimpy liberal. Maybe during a debate or a townhall with moderate voters or something.

Of course, it went over like a lead balloon with Oprah, it was the absolute wrong thing to say for that venue. I get the impression her team are struggling to manage her presentation and finding that she can only follow one "track" so her personal appearances and statements will need to be tailored to appeal to just one subset of voters with Walz and whoever else picking up the slack with other groups.
 
I still don't think VA's possible. It would mean a less stressful night and early knowing the outcome. But it's not necessary. I think GA is 90% safe, and Arizona probably safe. NV is over 50% Trump. PA over 55-60% likely.

Just my guesses, but I don't see him winning WI, or MN, or Michigan but winning on the others.

MN is a lost cause. I will never consider MN a possibility for a Republican win. I will only believe that MN is on the table if I actually SEE a Republican win the state for once, lol.

As for WI or MI, the numbers in WI are actually looking really good for Trump, and I believe that MI will depend on how depressed Dem voter turnout is. Given how 2020 unfolded though (and how nothing has been done about it), I expect that the fix is most likely in for MI. WI isn't a lost cause, because I think it's possible that enough voter turnout for Trump will make it "too big to rig," but it is a tough one to win due to the awful election laws approved by the very left WI Supreme Court.

I believe that Trump is leading in PA. I also find it hard to believe that Trump would lose NC to Kamala when he won that state in 2020.

Virginia isn't a safe guarantee for Trump or anything, don't get me wrong ... But I do believe it's on the table and that its possible. The early numbers do look devastating for Kamala. Plus, the state was de-fortified by Youngkin. For now, it's looking like Democrats will need impressive Election Day voter turnout to get 2016 and 2020 numbers. Even closing the gap in VA would mean a lot for how the swing states will be trending.
 
I still don't think VA's possible. It would mean a less stressful night and early knowing the outcome. But it's not necessary. I think GA is 90% safe, and Arizona probably safe. NV is over 50% Trump. PA over 55-60% likely.

Just my guesses, but I don't see him winning WI, or MN, or Michigan but winning on the others.

My current guess:
NV 'might' go Trump, but usually goes blue anyway. Don't need it even here:


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ETA if GA or PA go squirrely it'll be a short night though, and she'll certainly win.
There is zero chance for Harris to win with 4-5% margin victory in Virginia. Harris lost 20-30% of teamster voter base. It's just impossible.

That's why 4-5% polls in Pennsylvania for cumala make no sense. It just lacks any reality.
 
I believe that Trump is leading in PA. I also find it hard to believe that Trump would lose NC to Kamala when he won that state in 2020.
Wouldn't it be crazy if Trump wins VA/NC/GA/AZ, loses PA, and ends up winning that way? But at this point, who the hell knows. It's already been crazy enough year. I was dooming heavy the last week or so, but starting to look up more now.
 
It isn't that Toriyama "didn't know how to let shit go," it's that Jump kept pressuring him to continue the series. They drove him to the point of a nervous breakdown; I'm not sure if it's true but it's rumored he locked himself in his office and threatened to commit suicide if they wouldn't let him finish. He washed his hands of the series in 1995 but Shuueisha and Toei had the rights to continue creating material for it. He came back apparently because of the Dragon Ball Evolution movie. He realized that the corps controlling the IP had no creative vision and they were happy to defile his legacy putting the name on utter garbage. So he returned to the plantation and kept working until they'd squeezed the last drop of life out of him.
Shonen Jump and Toei have done that to a lot of their series so it doesn't surprise me. I always figured that they kept Toriyama on call to run things by every now and then until he started writing most of the plot again because retirement doesn't suit everyone (remember, he died of a hematoma, most likely he bumped his head and because he was in his 60s it caused more damage than what anyone thought originally).

If that is how Trump wins it all, then ...

Youngkin 2028
How is Youngkin doing? Haven't heard much of him since midterms and him trying to clean house after the Loudon saga.
 
How is Youngkin doing? Haven't heard much of him since midterms and him trying to clean house after the Loudon saga.
Well, within the past few months, he fixed the state's election laws. He "de-fortified" Virginia's elections, so voter fraud is more or less off the table in Virginia now.

So, like I said, if Trump wins VA and VA ends up being THE reason why Trump wins, then we can all thank Youngkin for saving the country. He will immediately have my vote and support in this scenario for this alone.

But, in regards to his other accomplishments as governor, he's been good for the state's economy. He has also royally pissed off the teacher's unions, which is always a wonderful thing.

He's also been good for 2A rights. He's vetoed a lot of shitty bills that the Dems have brought to his table.
 
Which raises the question:
1. If they did it all over again how are they sure Harris won't choke again?
2. What possible leverage do they have to get Trump to agree to the same debate style from a friendly news Corp?
The answer to both is "none"

Well, within the past few months, he fixed the state's election laws. He "de-fortified" Virginia's elections, so voter fraud is more or less off the table in Virginia now.

So, like I said, if Trump wins VA and VA ends up being THE reason why Trump wins, then we can all thank Youngkin for saving the country. He will immediately have my vote and support in this scenario for this alone.

But, in regards to his other accomplishments as governor, he's been good for the state's economy. He has also royally pissed off the teacher's unions, which is always a wonderful thing.

He's also been good for 2A rights. He's vetoed a lot of shitty bills that the Dems have brought to his table.
Youngkin is a great case study for how the GOP has changed and to give hope for the future if Trump wins. it used to be one way, if a Democrat governor won you knew it would suddenly get much harder for a Republican governor to follow them. And if a Republican did get in -nothing- would change about that. But now, with Trump pushing MAGA and with 2020 revealing a ton of how Democrats do their thing, you are getting Republican governors who are actively able to dismantle Democrat efforts to 'fortify' future elections.

If Trump wins it will provide a ton of opportunity and cover for Republican governors to really work on the situation. And the Midterms really could become an internal referendum on RINO governors.
 
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I feel like Kamala has always been a dumbass, but I also feel that she is an alcoholic and that alone explains a lot of her issues. Idk when she started boozing it up, and doubt she had much upstairs to spare. But alcoholics really have trouble with maintaining coherent train of thought even while not drunk and they get to where they can't function without the drink because the real world makes them anxious and angry and upset. The booze numbs them to the world around them, take it away and their body and mind freak out. She has probably been forced to hide overt displays of drinking now that she's in public more and it's likely causing problems for her.
 
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