US US Politics General - Discussion of President Biden and other politicians

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https://www.newsweek.com/donald-trump-risk-losing-florida-kamala-harris-polls-1963671
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A new survey by a pollster that tends to favor Republicans showed Donald Trump with only a slim lead over Kamala Harris in Florida.

A Napolitan News survey of 774 likely voters, conducted by RMG Research on September 25-27, showed Trump with a 2-point lead over Harris in the Sunshine State (50 percent to 48 percent). That's within the poll's margin of error, suggesting he may not be in the lead at all.

The poll factors in undecided voters who are leaning towards one candidate. When leaners are not included in the results, Trump has a 3-point lead over Harris in Florida (50 percent to 47 percent). That's also within the survey's margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.

Florida was once a pivotal swing state, as seen when the 2000 election between George W. Bush and Al Gore came down to just a few hundred votes in the state. Florida is considered to have become more Republican in recent years following Trump's victories in the 2016 and 2020 elections, and Florida Governor Ron DeSantis' resounding reelection in 2022.
Kamala Harris' Chances of Winning Florida Increase as Polls ...



U.S.

Donald Trump at Risk of Losing Florida, Republican Poll Suggests​

Published Oct 04, 2024 at 6:44 AM EDTUpdated Oct 04, 2024 at 6:05 PM EDT

01:02
By Ewan Palmer
News Reporter
FOLLOW
53

Anew survey by a pollster that tends to favor Republicans showed Donald Trump with only a slim lead over Kamala Harris in Florida.
A Napolitan News survey of 774 likely voters, conducted by RMG Research on September 25-27, showed Trump with a 2-point lead over Harris in the Sunshine State (50 percent to 48 percent). That's within the poll's margin of error, suggesting he may not be in the lead at all.
The poll factors in undecided voters who are leaning towards one candidate. When leaners are not included in the results, Trump has a 3-point lead over Harris in Florida (50 percent to 47 percent). That's also within the survey's margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.
Florida was once a pivotal swing state, as seen when the 2000 election between George W. Bush and Al Gore came down to just a few hundred votes in the state. Florida is considered to have become more Republican in recent years following Trump's victories in the 2016 and 2020 elections, and Florida Governor Ron DeSantis' resounding reelection in 2022.
Donald Trump in Florida

Donald Trump during a rally on November 8, 2023, in Hialeah, Florida. An RMG Research poll has Trump with a 2 point lead over Kamala Harris in Florida. Alon Skuy/Getty Images
Newsweek contacted the Trump and Harris campaign teams for comment via email.
Democrats have become optimistic that Florida and its 30 Electoral College votes could be in play for the party in November. A victory for Harris in Florida would heavily tip the scales in the vice president's favor to win the 2024 election overall.
Democratic National Committee Chairman Jaime Harrison said in September the party thinks it "has a shot" in Florida, and that people may be "surprised on election night about what happens in the state."
The poll showing Trump with a 2-point lead over Harris in Florida was conducted by RMG Research, founded by pollster Scott Rasmussen, who also set up polling company Rasmussen Reports.
In a post on X, formerly Twitter, while sharing the Florida results, Rasmussen said: "The survey was completed before Hurricane Helene and it's impossible to know the impact that storm could have on turnout."
Rasmussen also noted the importance of the margin of error soon after sharing the Florida survey.

"Suppose a poll shows a candidate 'winning' by 1 point and the poll has a 3.5 percentage point margin of error. If that candidate loses by 1 point, was the poll accurate?" Rasmussen asked.

A Victory Insights survey released late September also revealed Trump is leading Harris in Florida by 2 points. The poll's margin of error was plus or minus 4.4 percentage points.

In response to the Victory Insights results, Trump spokesman Steven Cheung told Newsweek: "Anyone who thinks Kamala Harris has a chance in Florida is clearly suffering from Trump Derangement Syndrome and needs to get checked out."

Forecaster and polling aggregator 538 says Trump has an average lead over Harris in Florida of 3.9 points. That's a greater margin than the 3.3 points that Trump beat President Joe Biden by in 2020.

The forecast model from Decision Desk HQ/The Hill currently gives Trump a 71 percent chance of winning Florida in November.
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namelesstacotruck said:
Hasnt there been this weird gambit thing Kamala's campaign is trying to do to get Florida in play?
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Nate Silver is trying to get both parties to spend money in Florida

Most polling firms have not updated and weighted the present party affiliation situation. Most polls underweight Trump advantage in Florida by 3-5% right now b
 
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HOMO FOR LIFE RETURNS said:
View attachment 6491093
Holy shit this looks so bad right now ...soo....bad....

$750 per household LOAN that you gotta pay back for Americans

$157 mil for sandniggers
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Lebanon only has 5.5 million people total.

So this single distribution of aid is about $30 per Lebanese citizen, but their purchasing power parity means that $30 goes about 3x as far as it would in the United States.
 
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Kankichi Ryotsu said:
HE'S COMING
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The Saltening said:
that mad Trump aura literally knocking people out with its immense power level
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Just like Michael Jackson!

You received a like! said:
Live painting of Corey Comperatore.
View attachment 6491021
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I love that so much!
¨Thanks for posting the clip, I missed it live.

Gondolindrim said:
Even if it's not outright nuclear war, the fallout would directly affect Europe and
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You're fucking retarded to believe that. Iran's facilities are underground.
But even if true... Good! And I hope it kills every sandnigger in that country, too. Would be a net positive for all civilization.
It's high time they start finding out.
 
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HOMO FOR LIFE RETURNS said:
View attachment 6491093
Holy shit this looks so bad right now ...soo....bad....

$750 per household LOAN that you gotta pay back for Americans

$157 mil for sandniggers
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This is an appeal to left voters. Which means her internals show her base is at risk of staying home.

The media is a democrat institution and fox news a rino one. Fox news is neutral only in that they want democrats to be weaker but not orange man stronger. They can be ignored. Insight can be gained by each campaigns actions. Trump is refusing debates and more interviews because he think its his to lose now. The VP debate went his way and Rinos are acting pleased with Vance. His refusing 60 Minutes is a non factor after everyone saw how hostile the media was at the debates. And everyone knows he is doing plenty of interviews and this is a fuck you to 60 minutes in particular.

Kamala is doing reach out sessions on whore talk and this stunt that appeals to people who should already be in the bag. Shes not fighting for undecideds but trying to rally her base.
 
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Pig Cups said:
Even better, is watching their attempts to create an election year dead nigger martyr out of Amber Thurman go over like a wet fart. And that probably bugs them- OMG Lawrence O’Donnell even cried for her on MSNBC, you guiyz!! Why don’t you caAaAaaaaAre?!?

At the end of the day, times are tough, and people are focused on the economy and immigration this year, so no one really cares about the dead nigger du jour.
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She that lady that was brought up in the debate?
 
namelesstacotruck said:
This is an appeal to left voters. Which means her internals show her base is at risk of staying home.

The media is a democrat institution and fox news a rino one. Fox news is neutral only in that they want democrats to be weaker but not orange man stronger. They can be ignored. Insight can be gained by each campaigns actions. Trump is refusing debates and more interviews because he think its his to lose now. The VP debate went his way and Rinos are acting pleased with Vance. His refusing 60 Minutes is a non factor after everyone saw how hostile the media was at the debates. And everyone knows he is doing plenty of interviews and this is a fuck you to 60 minutes in particular.

Kamala is doing reach out sessions on whore talk and this stunt that appeals to people who should already be in the bag. Shes not fighting for undecideds but trying to rally her base.
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Whores don't vote though.
 
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