Stock Market, Business, and Investing General - News, Tips, etc

My language of preference is c language. I write my code in a text editor and I compile it at the Shell. It produces a very tight executable. I have no desire to debate my choice of language.

Colocation and latency is entirely not an issue in the business of currency trading. Try looking at a currency chart sometime and you will see that for the most part it moves like a turtle stuck in molasses.

There really is only one thing to worry about and to focus on in the trading business in general.. is the price going to move up or is it going to move down? You also need to know how much it's going to move up or down. If you can solve that riddle you will be driving Ferraris before long.

I do not use tools that other people made, I write my own code by hand using a text editor.

I will probably never succeed at this project, which is just fine and dandy with me.

I think this has gotten off topic for this thread, and I'm very new to this forum, so I think that I should start my own thread and not interrupt what you fine people are discussing in this thread.

Trading begins in 5 hours and 15 minutes.

Good morning.
 
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Xinhua (Chinese PBS) has written at least two articles in the past couple days talking about "an adjustment of macroeconomic strategy". I post the articles translated into English (Machine translation + handwritten corrections/proofread for precision) for everyone's perusal. No need to private these since these are free to read and translated. I suspect the party is betting there is/will be some sort of rapprochement with the EU and/or the US in the days following the election.

Any questions let me know

Title: Experts analysis: (US) Fed cut interest rates, (We) domestically should celebrate the “window period” (TN: Brief period) of (a Chinese) monastery policy victory
Link & Archive
Since the beginning of this year, pour country's loan interest rates have hit record lows. The 5-year LPR, which serves as a reference for pricing personal mortgages and corporate medium- and long-term loans, was lowered by 0.25 percentage points and 0.1 percentage points in February and July, respectively, and the 1-year LPR was lowered by 0.1 percentage points in July.

Many interviewees said that after the Fed's interest rate cut, our domestic PBC (TN: People's Bank of China) may usher in a "window period" for macroeconomic policy adjustments, and may aim for more liquidity in the market by lowering our LPR and lowering the deposit reserve ratio required.

Dong Ximiao, chief researcher of CITIC Bank and part-time researcher of the Institute of Finance of Fudan University, believes that overall, the impact of the Fed's interest rate cut on my country's monetary policy is positive. If the United States enters a cycle of interest rate cuts, [our] country's monetary policy will be less constrained by external constraints, and the interval and magnitude of monetary policy adjustments will increase. However, the market should not have too high expectations for the speed and magnitude of interest rate cuts.

"I believe that taking into account internal needs and external changes, the People's Bank of China may implement a comprehensive reserve requirement cut of 0.25-0.50 percentage points this year, reduce the policy interest rate by 10-15 basis points. This is to fullfill promote the simultaneous lowering of LPR wile also promoting a decline in the cost of financing"

Yang Delong, chief economist of Qianhai Kaiyuan Fund, said that the Fed's interest rate cut will have a greater impact on the monetary policies of central banks around the world. For the People's Bank of China, there is greater policy space, including lowering the deposit reserve ratio and reducing the interest rate of existing mortgage loans. "If the deposit reserve ratio can be lowered by 1 percentage point, it may release trillions of new liquidity, which is conducive to the recovery of the property market and the stock market, and at the same time conducive to economic recovery." Yang Delong said.

The head of the relevant department of the People's Bank of China previously stated that the People's Bank of China will adhere to a supportive monetary policy stance to create a good monetary and financial environment for the economic recovery. Monetary policy will be more flexible, moderate, precise and effective, increase regulatory efforts, and start to launch some incremental policy measures. Continue to strengthen macroeconomic policy coordination, focus on expanding domestic demand, promote industrial upgrading, and support the dynamic balance of total supply and total demand at a higher level.

Yang Delong believes that after the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 50 basis points and established a round of easing cycles, the "incremental (easing) policy measures" will be more solidifed. It is imminent that People's Bank of China will take major actions in monetary policy to better support economic recovery and boost consumer and producer confidence.

The second one is an interview with Jin Xiandong, director of the Policy Research Office and spokesperson of the National Development and Reform Commission. I will have shortened this to the speeches and will attempt to translate the administrative drivel:

Two speeches titled:" Incremental implementation of (new) macro-economic policy measures" and "Expanding the scope of of industries encouraged for foreign investment"
Link & Archive
"In general, with our current economic situation is generally stable, and high-quality development is advancing." At the same time, the adverse effects brought about by changes in in unwanted foreign external factors have increased, and there are reverberations of these shocks manifesting through the economy at-large. The economy still faces many difficulties and challenges. But it is also necessary to see that as macroeconomic policies continue to be effective and reform measures continue to be implemented, that these positive and favorable status effects in the economy snowball. We have the conditions, ability and confidence to achieve the goals and tasks of economic and social development throughout the year.

Jin Xiandong said that the National Development and Reform Commission will accelerate the implementation of key reform tasks:
1) Increased efforts to control the direction of the macro-economy
2) Expanding domestic consumption variety
3) Accelerate the construction of a modern industrial system (TN: Decopuling from US/EU)
4) Increase efforts to ensure and improve people's livelihood (TN: Lowering food inflation prices and unemployment/underemployment)
5) Prioritization of these policy changes to bear fruit

It is necessary to strengthen the analysis of the effects of policies pre-implimentation and to launch in a timely fasion batches of incremental policy changes that are highly operational, effective, and accessible to the (non-state enterprise) masses and enterprises.

Not long ago, the National Development and Reform Commission and the Ministry of Commerce issued the "Special Management Measures for Foreign Investment Access (Financial controls) (2024 Edition)". The 2024 edition of these financial controls have reduced restrictive measures from 31 to 29, and the restrictions on foreign investment access in the manufacturing sector have been "cleared in practicality".

"This fully demonstrates China's positive willingness to expand mutual benefit and win-win results and its clear attitude to support economic globalization." Jin Xiandong said that the National Development and Reform Commission will work with relevant departments and localities to implement the pre-(physical) entry treatment standardization of foreign enterprises and financial contols management system, and implement the 2024 edition of the national financial controls for foreign investment access; for areas outside the resticted-list, foreign-invested enterprises shall be given treatment in accordance with the principle of consistency between domestic and foreign investment in accordance with the law national.

The National Development and Reform Commission will intensify efforts to improve the opening up of certain "High tech" sectors to promote high-quality development of foreign investment. In terms of policy, we shall increase the level of liberalization (of restrictions) and facilitation of foreign investment, as well as expandthe catalogue of industries encouraged for foreign investment will be revised. In terms of goverment services, we will extend service (legal) guarantees for foreign-invested enterprises and launch a new batch of major foreign investment projects with traction and seek to return visible results in an expedited timeframe.
 
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Double post sorry, but according to zerohedge and bloomberg, China just cut rates by 10 points today. Press conference/Meeting tomorrow/today about a further rate cut and reducing bank reserve requirements.
Early on Monday, the People’s Bank of China cut the 14-day reverse repurchase interest rate by 10 basis points to 1.85%, and injected 74.5 billion yuan, equivalent to $10.6 billion, of liquidity via the policy tool, it said on its website.
It is conspicuously missing from Xinhua's page.
 
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Xinhua (Chinese PBS) has written at least two articles in the past couple days talking about "an adjustment of macroeconomic strategy". I post the articles translated into English (Machine translation + handwritten corrections/proofread for precision) for everyone's perusal. No need to private these since these are free to read and translated. I suspect the party is betting there is/will be some sort of rapprochement with the EU and/or the US in the days following the election.
Very informative. I read this post 2 or 3 times, thinking I should go long China. I didn't and missed a good run-up on a bunch of Chinese tickers on my watchlist, post rate-cut. :(
 
to be competitive enough to the point where your application performance matters would require your round trip wire to wire to be in the order of a couple hundred microseconds.
If you're specifically talking about a HFT algorithm, then yeah, latency is vital. It doesn't sound like that's what he is trying to do.
 
Double post sorry, but according to zerohedge and bloomberg, China just cut rates by 10 points today. Press conference/Meeting tomorrow/today about a further rate cut and reducing bank reserve requirements.

It is conspicuously missing from Xinhua's page.

China's teetering on the edge of an outright Depression. The unemployment numbers are completely insane even after the CCP massaged them to include students and anyone who worked even a single day in a month.

With so many western companies pulling out or already gone China is toast I think. Maybe a few more months but I've seen reports of limits on bank withdrawals, problems meeting army payrolls and whole empty towns as many urbanites have fled back to their parents farms in order not to starve.

How this will effect the world economy is beyond me but I can guess it won't be good.

Speaking of economy my bank offered me some GIC's at 5% for 12 months which I did indulge in but it makes me kinda concerned as interest rates here in Canukistan have crashed so why is the bank calling me up looking for a deposit?
 
China's teetering on the edge of an outright Depression. The unemployment numbers are completely insane even after the CCP massaged them to include students and anyone who worked even a single day in a month.

With so many western companies pulling out or already gone China is toast I think. Maybe a few more months but I've seen reports of limits on bank withdrawals, problems meeting army payrolls and whole empty towns as many urbanites have fled back to their parents farms in order not to starve.
Word around the block though is several bank CEO/chairmen are "resigning". Either they're getting out leaving plebs as the bagholder or they don't want/got forced to be a scapegoat.

AFAIK I haven't experienced any of that happening (inb4 wumao more like qifen lmao). My experience might vary though, since FACTA requires me to use "major" bank(s) as a foreigner. I know uni degrees make more doing doordash than a fucking entry-level engineer right now and northeastern China has had a lot of people return (eg; Harbin, Changchun) cause it was like detroit but now the cost of living is much cheaper than any tier 1/2 city if you got a remote job.

Bank withdraw controls have been there forever since Xi came into power as some sort of pseudo SAR-like retardation... Limit is something stupid low considering inflation. They've definitely clamped down on transfers to outside China though (ESP the EU/USA/Russia), but that's always been dependent on foreign or monetary policy.

EDIT IT'S HAPPENING
(Archive)
BEIJING, Sept. 26 (Xinhua) -- The Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee held a meeting on Thursday to analyze and study the current economic situation and make further arrangements for economic work.

Xi Jinping, general secretary of the CPC Central Committee, presided over the meeting.

The Chinese economy has posted generally stable performance this year, making progress while ensuring stability, it was agreed at the meeting.

New quality productive forces have reported steady development, and solid efforts have been made to guarantee people's livelihood. Positive progress has also been achieved in preventing and defusing risks in major areas.

It was noted at the meeting that the fundamentals of the Chinese economy, and favorable conditions such as a vast market, strong economic resilience and great potential remain unchanged.

It is necessary to take a comprehensive, objective and sober view of the current economic situation, face the difficulties squarely and remain confident, said the meeting.

The country should effectively implement existing policies, step up efforts to roll out incremental policies, further make policy measures more targeted and effective, and strive to accomplish the targets and tasks for this year's economic and social development, according to the meeting.

The meeting stressed the need to issue and make good use of ultra-long special treasury bonds and local government special-purpose bonds to better leverage the driving role of government investment.

It is imperative to lower the reserve requirement ratio and implement impactful interest rate cuts, the meeting said.

Efforts will be made to stabilize the property market and reverse its downturn, adjust the policy of housing purchase restrictions, lower interest rates on existing mortgage loans, promptly improve land, fiscal, tax and financial policies, and promote the establishment of a new model for real estate development, the meeting said.

The meeting called for efforts to boost the capital market, vigorously guide medium and long-term funds to enter the capital market, clear the obstacles for social security, insurance, and wealth management funds to invest in the capital market.

Mergers, acquisitions and restructuring of the listed firms will be supported, the meeting noted, urging efforts to steadily advance the reform of publicly-offered funds, and mull over and introduce policy measures to protect small and medium-sized investors.

On Tuesday, China's central bank, top securities regulator and financial regulator announced a raft of monetary stimulus, property market support and capital market strengthening measures to boost the country's high-quality economic development.

Thursday's meeting also underlined the necessity to roll out a private economy promotion law and foster a favorable environment for the development of the non-public sector.

Efforts should be made to increase the incomes of middle and low-income groups and improve the consumption structure, according to the meeting.

The meeting called for efforts to support and standardize social forces in developing elderly care and childcare industries, and to refine pro-childbirth policies. It urged efforts to advance and implement reform measures regarding the market access of foreign capital to the manufacturing sector, and further optimize a first-rate business environment that is market-oriented, law-based and internationalized.

The meeting stressed prioritizing employment support for key groups such as fresh college graduates, rural migrant workers, individuals just lifted out of poverty, and zero-employment households.

Assistance will be stepped up for those facing difficulties in securing jobs, including old-age individuals, people with disabilities, and those unemployed for a long time, the meeting said, adding that more assistance will also be provided to low-income population.

Chinese authorities on Wednesday unveiled a guideline for promoting high-quality and sufficient employment by implementing the employment-first strategy.

The document urges efforts to create more high-quality jobs, including transforming and upgrading traditional industries, fostering and strengthening emerging industries, developing future industries and accelerating the development of advanced manufacturing clusters.

Thursday's meeting also underlined the significance of agricultural production in autumn and winter to ensure national grain security.
It is very unusual for a statement such as this to come out, especially with the PSC about economic development in this month (Holiday months, think late nov/dec).

Translation from gov speak:
1) The economy is a serious issue that cannot be ignored by stats fudging
2) Accelerate the return of agricultural lands for grains from cash crops (coffee, sugar) as war with Taiwan and/or famine is expected
3) Previously overly optimistic officials get the rope re-education. If you're a lower ranking member your tune on the economy changes now.
4) Bailouts like the US in 2008 are coming, large companies are going to get told merge at gunpoint.
5) No further devaluation in the property market shall be allowed to occur.
6) PRINTER GO BRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRR
7) Cut down on the size and pay of large government corporations to give smaller business a chance since everyone else is out of work.
8 ) Cut down on red tape for foreign investment and local investment (lmao good luck).
 
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Anyone else gambling on Chinese stocks? The printer is on and because their real estate market is now toxic, rumor has it that the average Chinese citizen is taking out loans to yolo invest in their stock market.

Some things I've thought about.

- Political risks from Washington and Beijing. I once lost close to $5k on the Chinese equivalent of Uber because some government asshole in Beijing decided that the company in question was in violation of one of their regulations.

- Youth unemployment is just under 19%. Could very well be way higher. That will come home to roost at some point. I trade and have zero concerns for the long-term outlook of any stock though, so I don't expect this to be a factor for me in the short-term.

+ The Chinese government is demanding that there be a bull run in their markets. They have a GDP growth target of 5%. They're currently at 4.7%, and we've now entered the last quarter of the year. These remaining 3 months will act as my expected time-frame.

I've already been loading up on call options on multiple Chinese tickers and will continue to do so until the music stops.
 
Anyone else gambling on Chinese stocks? The printer is on and because their real estate market is now toxic, rumor has it that the average Chinese citizen is taking out loans to yolo invest in their stock market.

Some things I've thought about.

- Political risks from Washington and Beijing. I once lost close to $5k on the Chinese equivalent of Uber because some government asshole in Beijing decided that the company in question was in violation of one of their regulations.

- Youth unemployment is just under 19%. Could very well be way higher. That will come home to roost at some point. I trade and have zero concerns for the long-term outlook of any stock though, so I don't expect this to be a factor for me in the short-term.

+ The Chinese government is demanding that there be a bull run in their markets. They have a GDP growth target of 5%. They're currently at 4.7%, and we've now entered the last quarter of the year. These remaining 3 months will act as my expected time-frame.

I've already been loading up on call options on multiple Chinese tickers and will continue to do so until the music stops.
I listen to people Like Stock Market Live on youtube, not because I play his plays, I listen to get breaking news

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=92PsDZ_EVKw




Allot of money could be gained, But in a month there is an election, with tarriff hungry trump maybe those invest ments goto zero


I am not a degenerate gambler I don't play these FOMO's
 
Allot of money could be gained, But in a month there is an election, with tarriff hungry trump maybe those invest ments goto zero


I am not a degenerate gambler I don't play these FOMO's
I consider the US elections to be be a political risk, on the opposite side of the coin.

I wouldn't invest in a country that, at a whim, could choose to not return my money.
I agree. I've been fucked over by Chinese regulators in the past.

I'd like to reiterate that I'm not an investor. I only care about how much I can make gambling via leveraged instruments until the trade thesis is no longer valid. The CPC has outright stated that they are engineering a bull run and have laid out their rationale and methods to achieving this. Chinese citizens are now starting to see their stock market as a preferable alternative to real estate.
 
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Where I live in Houston, pretty much every corner store and gas station is Muslim owned and operated, this is a pretty serious stream of revenue and I want to tell you a secret about Muslims they will never recirculate any of that money so that it ends up back in your pockets.

Muslims own so much of the business marketplace.. they own the strip centers and if you're ever able to start a business that succeeds they can price you out of business by raising your rents and then they will open up the same exact business in the same exact location.

And the Chinese have tackled this country like a hyena that is eating a wounded bunny.

Years ago we began selling bonds to foreign investors and local investors and we have sold so many that we can't even afford to pay the interest payments on these instruments.

The United States is absolutely bankrupt.

The United States is only bankrupt for non-muslims and non-chinese for example it is not bankrupt for Muslims they are flush in cash.

I love brother anjem choudary.. if I'm ever in the UK I'll be sure to visit him in prison and to bring him gifts.

Alhamdulillah

 
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Anyone else gambling on Chinese stocks? The printer is on and because their real estate market is now toxic, rumor has it that the average Chinese citizen is taking out loans to yolo invest in their stock market.

Some things I've thought about.

- Political risks from Washington and Beijing. I once lost close to $5k on the Chinese equivalent of Uber because some government asshole in Beijing decided that the company in question was in violation of one of their regulations.

- Youth unemployment is just under 19%. Could very well be way higher. That will come home to roost at some point. I trade and have zero concerns for the long-term outlook of any stock though, so I don't expect this to be a factor for me in the short-term.

+ The Chinese government is demanding that there be a bull run in their markets. They have a GDP growth target of 5%. They're currently at 4.7%, and we've now entered the last quarter of the year. These remaining 3 months will act as my expected time-frame.

I've already been loading up on call options on multiple Chinese tickers and will continue to do so until the music stops.
Were it a few years ago the consensus would have been that "You are fucking retarded" by most Chinese/American investors. Because back then (and still somewhat now) the Chinese stock market operates on magic communism* rules out of touch with reality like how the US stock market is retarded except worse. The running gag joke was that you get in the stock market to loose money and that there are only three types of listed companies:
1) State owned companies
2) Companies in bed with state owned ocmpanies
3) Madoff like ponzi schemes

My only advice is to follow Xinhua and the South China Morning Post. Usually any change in policy will be hinted at in them usually in the form of statements by related individuals.

*Eg:
1) The biopharm stock tax/CPC not allowing listings I posted about earlier
2) In the 2016/2018 there was shortfall of money and all the state owned or adjacent companies had all their earnings "donated" to the state pension fund (Think Social Security) and disaster relief instead of rewarding stockholders
I'd like to reiterate that I'm not an investor. I only care about how much I can make gambling via leveraged instruments until the trade thesis is no longer valid. The CPC has outright stated that they are engineering a bull run and have laid out their rationale and methods to achieving this. Chinese citizens are now starting to see their stock market as a preferable alternative to real estate.
It's been in the works for at least a year from what I've seen and heard.
 
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between shit like Fidelity, Vanguard, BlackRock, etc which is actually good to put an retirement account with? I don't trust any of them but I want money.
 
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between shit like Fidelity, Vanguard, BlackRock, etc which is actually good to put an retirement account with? I don't trust any of them but I want money.
What about these do you not 'trust'? They all have SIPC up to $500k and maybe additional insurance. If the government is going to raid your IRAs then everyone is going to get hit. All the big boy brokerages (not robin hood or moomoo) will work if you are just passively investing into ETF's; I would shop around for whomever is offering the best sign up bonuses.
 
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