US US Politics General - Discussion of President Biden and other politicians

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I wasn't even aware that Jill Stein was still running.
She is, and she's actually a massive problem for Democrats in Michigan because according to the polls, Muslims are overwhelmingly voting for Stein (40%, while Trump has 18% and Kamala has 12%)
Last time I talked about this, I questioned why the hell they're voting for her, and now I know why. It's because Stein's running mate is Butch Ware, who is a Muslim convert and anti-imperialism activist. One of her major campaign promises is not only a Gaza ceasefire, but also a US Arms Embargo on Israel.
Stein is pretty much the only reason that Michigan is in contention this year, she's being a real pain in their ass.
 
She is, and she's actually a massive problem for Democrats in Michigan because according to the polls, Muslims are overwhelmingly voting for Stein (40%, while Trump has 18% and Kamala has 12%)
Last time I talked about this, I questioned why the hell they're voting for her, and now I know why. It's because Stein's running mate is Butch Ware, who is a Muslim convert and anti-imperialism activist. One of her major campaign promises is not only a Gaza ceasefire, but also a US Arms Embargo on Israel.
Stein is pretty much the only reason that Michigan is in contention this year, she's being a real pain in their ass.
Lol if Jill fucking Stein spoils Michigan for Kamala I'll shit a chicken.
 
Well it's 25 days out, and I want a place to dump my thoughts, so...

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Image related is how I currently catagorize the states at the Presidential level:
  • Dark Red States are completely off the table for Democrats at the presidential level. Maybe in the future these could be put in play but not now.
  • Light Red States are former Toss-Ups that are swinging to the right and in all likelihood going to vote Trump (IA, OH, FL) and formerly Safe-Red states that are trending towards the middle (AK, TX). AK in particular could grow more Democratic if a ballot measure to kill off the Ranked-Choice Voting system implemented in 2020 is defeated; it currently is represented by a Democrat in Mary Peltola and trends could pose increasing threats at the Senate and Presidential levels in the future.
  • North Carolina is ground-zero for Trump in the competitive states - I don't believe Trump is going to lose here now if he didn't in '20.
  • The Sun Belt should vote to the right of the Rust Belt and Trump should look to carry both states. If you want to account for "Shenanigans," Trump can still win with a Rust Belt sweep if he loses AZ or GA (a MI + PA + GA coalition brings him to 269), but I don't find these paths compelling. Nevada, however, doesn't command enough electoral votes in order to be the dealbreaker in any compelling scenario. This doesn't mean Nevada isn't important (expanding popular/electoral mandate, Senate race - Leans-Likely D Hold at the moment), but it likely won't cast the deciding votes in the race.
  • The Rust Belt will almost certainly decide the race. If the Sun Belt goes red (If Sun Belt goes blue, the Rust Belt likely goes with it), Trump only needs one of these three states in order to get over the top; however, these states will vote together - and aside from some fringe national popular vote figures that threads the needle - and stay together on one side of the line.
  • Light Blue States are states that are out-of-reach in an election with the outcome in doubt, but Trump has a puncher's (5% - 15%) chance of winning. Virginia is of particular interest to me because it closes early in the night; its results may be able to forecast an early night for us ( :optimistic: ).
  • Dark Blue States are states that are completely off the table - For example, right now I can't say that @HOMO FOR LIFE RETURNS will have to eat his own shit on November 6th because New Jersey is not remotely in play.
 
Next dem commercial: Walz is playing overwatch like a faggot. Claims Mercy is best character and he is a e-gamer.

Next Trump commercial: Is speedrunning Chrono Trigger and shows you his sick Dwarf fortress layout. Explains he also beat Nethack as a wizard like a thousand times.
"So that's my big, great wall. I'm putting marksdwarves all over to keep the goblins away but the fuckers won't pick up bolts. "
 
Care to elaborate for me on why these states will go all for one or all for the other?
Similar Demographics and Politics. It's not impossible for them to split, but if they do it'll be either only MI going Blue or only PA going Red.
Seriously, though, the last time these three didn't vote together was '88. It'd be really weird if it happened.
 
Care to elaborate for me on why these states will go all for one or all for the other?
I need to hit the hay soon but the jist of it is primarily that they always have - you need to go back to H. W. Bush in '88 to see them split parties.* The pattern is - and this has held since the turn of the millennium - that WI/PA form the right end of the Rust Belt (sometimes with greater margins than others) while MI shoots further to the left. I suppose it's possible for a pop vote figure to run through this separation, but Trump would probably win anyway.
Perhaps a more knowledgeable Kiwi can fill you in on why this pattern has emerged (I can only offer you "something something demographics something something manufacturing"), but I currently see no reason why the pattern should be broken this cycle.

*You may be surprised to learn / recall that Dubya came within 5 and 10 thousand votes of flipping Wisconsin (like three-tenth's % point), but the magnetism of the Blue Wall held the Badger state for Democrats both times.

What the fvck they say don't go to bed angry but how can I do that while knowing I got ninja'd???
 
Is it just me or did they never use Trump as a dad/granddad all that much? Probably because tryhard politicians only do that to look normal. Trump shit-talking while Barron loads up Europa Universalis would be funny next to Walz of Warcraft.
He could get so much mileage out of playing a videogame. Problem is he wouldn't know how to do it but put him on with a famous streamer and have him actually do some running commentary for 20- 50 on his thoughts about gaming in general and I bet it would be hilarious

 
(X) WARNING: Before taking in these news, ingest a single grain of salt.
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It's seems to be a "we'll see" issue, which is already a bad sign. If you have it, you should drop it immediately

I just have no idea what to think any more. Remember when someone said he had all the details on Dr Disrespect but he'd only drop them if his concert tickets sold out? I was *sure* that retard was making it up. Then he actually had the chat logs of him messaging minors!

So, someone having an election-changing criminal scoop and still sitting on it for attention seems like something that's actually possible in 2024.
 
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He's right. Remember in 2012 when the US economy was in the toilet and Mitt Romney was filling stadiums of genuinely hugely enthusiastic supporters of all ages at his campaign rallies? 🤣

I personally think adoption would be far better than abortion in the cases of rape, along with harsh punishments for the rapists. With that said, this is not the hill for the pro-life movement to die on. Making it a state issue is the best course for the country.

A baby is God's gift. If a women become pregnant due to rape it should be seen as God's consolation gift. A silver lining to the crime committed against her. If she doesn't want the baby then she can give it up for adoption, like you said, no need for an abortion. Killing the baby is not only a crime against the baby but spitting in the face of God.

Also, I thought of something to troll SJWs. Really piss them off. Find SJWs who support abortion at any time in the pregnancy (even after birth, if you can find some that support that), it shouldn't be too hard. Then ask them if they support abortion under absolutely any circumstance. They'll no doubt say yes, it's a woman's body her choice etc. Then say "So you would support a woman frequently getting impregnated via artificial insemination using sperm from black sperm donors (because you can choose a race) just so she can abort the babies just before they're born (or after birth if the SW supports that) because the woman hates black people so much and gets off on killing black babies and seeing their dead bodies?" Watch them RRREEEEEEEEE!

2008 Campaign Mode Obama would have been a pretty good President aside from the healthcare shit.

But, you know, endless wars, doing more damage to the economy, setting race relations back a few decades, infringing on our civil liberties, lawfare, etc ...

Obama was a terrible President.

Obama saying he's against homosexual marriage during his Presidential campaign in 2008:




Obama supporting homosexual marriage after becoming President and in the 2nd clip in the video admitting he lied about it before the election:



Putin loves bringing in cheap labor from the 'stans for the exact same reason American powers love Latin America. Putin's lately taken a much more decisive anti-nationalist, pro-multiculturalism stance. It's just not the Western liberal variant where you bring in layabout savages for the sole reason that they'll provide future voters, with zero concern for how much damage they do. Stop looking to the east for your based & redpilled trad society. It's not out there.

Have you ever seen a Russian school graduation? This video isn't some special thing they've done to try to go viral on TikTok, this is just normal in Russia and has always been apparently. And you can easily find thousands of other videos from probably hundreds of schools on YouTube all showing similar things. They use different music, sometimes modern sometimes classical and sometimes they even have more modern dance routines, but they're all basically like this. The most popular music they seem to dance to (or at least the one I've heard most in videos, although not this one) is Once Upon A December from Don Bluth's Anastasia.

 
This better fucking lead to John Oliver having a nervous breakdown on his show this weekend, given how much Oliver pushes the "if Jim Kramer says something, then 100% of the time, the exact opposite will happen" complete with Oliver screeching mask fully off, that Kramer just jinxed things for the Democrats by saying Trump is going to lose.
 
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