2024 U.S. Presidential and State election thread - I'm gonna... I'm gonna... VOOT!!! I'm VOOOOOTING!!!

Who are you voting for?


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I'm feeling it guys, that glorious 2016 feeling, it's here again. The memes fill the air and the liberals are already crying. This November is gon be gud. :^)
Don't get complacent, and don't believe anyone of any political persuasion who tries to convince you that either candidate is sure to win; this race is genuinely neck and neck. It's going to be the closest election since 2000, possibly since 1960. The tension and uncertainty we will see come election day will make 2020 look like nothing.

Let's take a look at the polls to see what needs to happen for Trump to win; When we average out the polls from RCP, 270 to win, and 538 we get this: Trump leads Arizona by 1.6%, North Carolina by 1.1%, and Georgia by 1.6%. Those are small margins, but they're big compared to the rest of the swing states; the specific margins vary between the different polling sites, but all are below 1% and most hover around 0.5%-0.8%.

Based on this, lets assume Trump wins NC, AZ, and Georgia. Combined with the rest of his likely states, that yields a total of 262 electoral votes - 8 short. Adding NV bumps that up to 268 - still not enough. Trump needs to win one of the rust belt states (Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania) to get elected. What about the rust belt then?
Michigan
270 - HARRIS 0.8%
RCP - TRUMP 0.2%
538 - TIE

Wisconsin
270 - HARRIS 0.7%
RCP - TRUMP 0.2%
538 - TIE

Pennsylvania
270 - TRUMP 0.4%
RCP - TRUMP 0.6%
538 - TRUMP 0.4%
As you can see, Michigan and Wisconsin are basically a toss-up while Trump leads Pennsylvania by a razor-thin 0.5%. The margins in these three states are tiny - we won't know how they'll go until election day finally comes. When we're dealing with margins as small as these, any number of factors could swing the results. Maybe Israel does something spicy a few days before November 5th, and enough pissed off Muslims cast protest votes to swing Michigan to Trump. Maybe Harris says something stupid enough to convince 0.8% of the people in Wisconsin not to vote for her. Maybe somebody tries to assassinate Trump again. We just can't say. What we can say though, is that this election is probably going to be decided in the rust belt; when election day rolls around, it would be wise to keep your eyes peeled on these three states.
 
Trump is far from being such a person. There is a reason why so many of his former party supporters turned against him and even endorsed Harris. Staunch republicans endorsed Harris. They would rather vote for a democrat than letting Trump into the white house once again. They wouldn't react this way if he was just a -normal non insane white man-. That doesn't mean he will lose but it's a bad sign.
Yeah, everyone knows that having Dick Cheney on your side is a classic indication you're on the right side of history.
 
Don't get complacent, and don't believe anyone of any political persuasion who tries to convince you that either candidate is sure to win; this race is genuinely neck and neck. It's going to be the closest election since 2000, possibly since 1960. The tension and uncertainty we will see come election day will make 2020 look like nothing.
I think everyone got blindsided by 2020 where despite one candidate being a potato who hid in a basement and endorsed every insane policy from race riots to lockdowns, somehow half the country was counting ballots for a month and he "won." This feels like the exact same as 2020, except now we know they cheat. And they know we know they're going to cheat and have spent 4 years shutting down every attempt to stop them from doing so. If Trump wins, it's because global elites like Musk and Thiel cut a deal with the other elite to let Trump win.
Vance/Chandler 28
Imagine wanting a CIA-backed, San Francisco gay pride attending, wine-sipping coastal elite larping as a hillbilly as your president.
 
I have seen actual reporters from CNN and The New York Times boldy suggest that Donald Trump will barely win the popular vote in this years election. I don’t think I’ve seen anything like this back in 2016 when Trump first decided to run for the presidency.

Between this and the MSG rally, this is pretty huge.
 
I have seen actual reporters from CNN and The New York Times boldy suggest that Donald Trump will barely win the popular vote in this years election. I don’t think I’ve seen anything like this back in 2016 when Trump first decided to run for the presidency.

Between this and the MSG rally, this is pretty huge
First time the GOP will win the popular vote since 2004 and second time since Daddy bush won it in 1988.
The shitlibs can cry about a "minority rule" anymore. I'm sure they will try and make something else up.
 
The shitlibs can cry about a "minority rule" anymore. I'm sure they will try and make something else up.
"Drumpf still didn't get 50% of the actual American votes, and his were only so high because of voter suppression, and this is why Kamala shouldn't certify the election".
 
I have seen actual reporters from CNN and The New York Times boldy suggest that Donald Trump will barely win the popular vote in this years election. I don’t think I’ve seen anything like this back in 2016 when Trump first decided to run for the presidency.

Between this and the MSG rally, this is pretty huge.
First time the GOP will win the popular vote since 2004 and second time since Daddy bush won it in 1988.
The shitlibs can cry about a "minority rule" anymore. I'm sure they will try and make something else up.

Trump had 76 million votes in 2020. And that was done with the regular way, with massive turnout on election day.

Which is higher than Obama's amount in 2008 or Hillary's amount in 2016.
 
I don't care who wins honestly. As long as we can nuke China and Russia back into hunter gatherers. This Planet is ours, not theirs, and they need to bend the knee like the rest of our vassals.
Unfortunately if Trump wins you’ll become a Russian penal colony. I jest, how do you guys feel about how your elections playing out. Without being biased for or against Putins cock sucker or a half nig.

No country is perfect of course but watching the American election cycle is like being forced to watch 1000+ hours of a misinformation war & elementary popular contest.
 
First time the GOP will win the popular vote since 2004 and second time since Daddy bush won it in 1988.
The shitlibs can cry about a "minority rule" anymore. I'm sure they will try and make something else up.
Carter won 50.1% of the popular vote in 1976 and then Obama won 52.9% of the popular vote in 2008. That was a gap of 32 years, so not exactly without precedent. BTW, Gore got 48.4% in 2000 and Clinton got 43.0% and 49.2% in 1992 and 1996. Very few countries have a direct vote for National Presidency, anyway, as the office selection is a secondary effect of an election despite the rhetoric.
 
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