US US Politics General - Discussion of President Biden and other politicians

 

[0713]

Just remember: 3%. Trump only needs 3% more votes in every state to win.

Ask yourself:
Is the hatred of Harris at least 3%?
Is the Democrat loss in male voters at least 3%?
Is the increase in Trump's popularity at least 3%?
Is the clampdown on fraud at least 3%?
Has anything in the past four years been enough to increase Trump's chances by 3%?

The answer is yes to all, and Trump has the 3% he needs to win.

Is Kamala at least 3% less popular than Joe Biden?

There's zero chance Trump loses.

 

[Sweeter and Savoury]

After the ratfucking that FEMA gave them? I doubt anyone sane would vote for the person in charge of that.

No the issue is that both FEMA and the Dem aligned politicians in NC are doing everything they can to slow down, obstruct and even stop any kind of rebuilding of election poll centres that are not in urban area's.

The idea is that the rural vote is strongly Trump so if they can't get to a poll or they're too busy re-building their homes and lives after the hurricane because FEMA fucked off to somewhere else for the week, then the urban bughivers will give Harris a good chance to carry the state as they will be the only ones with ready access to polling stations.

It's been estimated that some rural NC voters will have to travel for around 2 hours to reach a polling place despite that being clearly against the state law but you know...times are hard, we have to prioritize our FEMA resources, the worst hit areas in our reclamation efforts...areas that just so happen to be heavy Democrat voting need the most attention. I'm 100% positive that in a week we will see more money and effort being moved into GoP voting zones.

I mean, it's only a week. Surely you can wait a little longer right? Whats the harm in a few days? Think of the children!

Same old song and dance, everything is deniable but yah Trump could very well lose NC because of Roy Cooper and his administration. Something Harris will no doubt reward him well for if she wins. Just like that Jew Shapiro whose doing whatever he can to fuck over PA GoP voters.

Fair play is long gone. Unless the Republicans start opening their eyes and seeing the truth they will always be losers. Well..those few Republicans that aren't Uni-Party stooges that is.

We happy few

 

[George Lucas]

Definitely not the real Hulk Hogan (as we all know who the real, true BROTHER is), somewhat implies that he may be involved with RFK Jr's health policies.
Could be shitposting, but you never know.

https://xcancel.com/cynicalzoomer/status/1852151657938755585 / https://archive.is/fBMGW

View attachment 6584979

HHH’s always been a big health advocate.

 

[ForgedBlades]

I stayed on the Farms for 33 hours straight after the Chris incest tape dropped and I'm planning on breaking that record starting Tuesday.

 

[Greasy Goblin]

No the issue is that both FEMA and the Dem aligned politicians in NC are doing everything they can to slow down, obstruct and even stop any kind of rebuilding of election poll centres that are not in urban area's.

The idea is that the rural vote is strongly Trump so if they can't get to a poll or they're too busy re-building their homes and lives after the hurricane because FEMA fucked off to somewhere else for the week, then the urban bughivers will give Harris a good chance to carry the state as they will be the only ones with ready access to polling stations.

It's been estimated that some rural NC voters will have to travel for around 2 hours to reach a polling place despite that being clearly against the state law but you know...times are hard, we have to prioritize our FEMA resources, the worst hit areas in our reclamation efforts...areas that just so happen to be heavy Democrat voting need the most attention. I'm 100% positive that in a week we will see more money and effort being moved into GoP voting zones.

Call me naïve, but due to Xitter and some other social media sites no longer being censored, I think a lot of people in NC actually realize how ass the Biden admin/FEMAs response has been. Hawaii is Hawaii and after disasters or any other day of the week they'll always beg for more abuse at the hands of the federal govt. NC though... I almost feel as if the mistreatment will galvanize right-wing voters and the 'urban' ones will be the ones too lazy or concerned with gibmaxxing to show up.

 

[Betonhaus]

Same old song and dance, everything is deniable but yah Trump could very well lose NC because of Roy Cooper and his administration. Something Harris will no doubt reward him well for if she wins. Just like that Jew Shapiro whose doing whatever he can to fuck over PA GoP voters.

Except a) many people in the bughives know someone in rural areas that would be affected by the delayed FEMA response and b) the people in the bughives won't understand the nuances and see it as Biden's FEMA deliberately dropping the ball on helping their state. That should affect sentiment by at least 3%

 

[TheClappening]

I'm incredibly tardy and homosexual, but I liked Vance more than Trump on Rogan.

I think it's fair to say Trump's an egotist who loves to talk. You saw that when he talked with Rogan. He never interrupted Rogan when Rogan was already talking, but if Trump was talking and Rogan tried to steer Orange Man back on topic Trump would just continue talking. Basically, he's Trump, and goddammit he's going to finish what he wants to say.

I didn't notice this really happen with Vance. If Rogan tried to shift the conversation Vance would wrap up whatever he was talking about and move along. He also seemed to let Rogan talk more.

That said, there weren't any good meme moments like Trump had (whale psychiatrist, etc)

 

[CarlosDanger]

The Polymarket pump and dump continues, so many accounts buying Harris at a loss for 24 hours straight.

 

[0713]

@Gehenna Apologies if you've already talked about this, but I don't recall seeing it.
What do you make of the argument that Trump isn't being underrepresented as much in the polls, this time around? Do you think the pollsters have adjusted their weighting to account for the usual Republican under-representation, this time?
And if they are trying to fix it, do you think there's any risk they could over-correct, causing over-representation of Trump supporters?

 

[Betonhaus]

The Polymarket pump and dump continues, so many accounts buying Harris at a loss for 24 hours straight.

that doesn't seem to be a wise investment

 

[CarlosDanger]

that doesn't seem to be a wise investment

If I had to guess it is DNC money or some kind of leftist group, they have been going on for over 24 hours straight right now. It is happening on other betting markets too but Polymarket is the only one that will show the transactions.

 

[Nuns with guns]

Hello, I am J.D. Vance. I wish all patriot kiwis who watched me on Rogan a pleasant night.

 

[Betonhaus]

If I had to guess it is DNC money or some kind of leftist group, they have been going on for over 24 hours straight right now.

Do they think that if they defraud the predictions reality will follow suit?


...of course they do.

 

[Lammy]

I'm incredibly tardy and homosexual, but I liked Vance more than Trump on Rogan.

I think it's fair to say Trump's an egotist who loves to talk. You saw that when he talked with Rogan. He never interrupted Rogan when Rogan was already talking, but if Trump was talking and Rogan tried to steer Orange Man back on topic Trump would just continue talking. Basically, he's Trump, and goddammit he's going to finish what he wants to say.

I didn't notice this really happen with Vance. If Rogan tried to shift the conversation Vance would wrap up whatever he was talking about and move along. He also seemed to let Rogan talk more.

That said, there weren't any good meme moments like Trump had (whale psychiatrist, etc)

I agree; I think the contrast of the two is best put as "Trump is a personality, Vance is a person".

Trump is a natural entertainer and bombastic as hell (and if he wasn't already so much so in the first place, doing The Apprentice for as long as he did definitely drilled it into him); whereas Vance acts much more like one of your co-workers, your neighbors, or your friends.
I don't think Trump is disingenuous in being so, but it does somewhat get in the way of him appealing to some potential voters on the actual issues since he's not so to the point. Vance on the other hand is pretty much universally liked as a person (for being a politician that acts like a normal person) and is much better at being on point with discussing the issues, with the only sizeable exception to his appeal being the most tribalistic and dogmatic of leftists.

 

[Sweeter and Savoury]

If I had to guess it is DNC money or some kind of leftist group, they have been going on for over 24 hours straight right now. It is happening on other betting markets too but Polymarket is the only one that will show the transactions.

Well I would think the idea is that these buyers have inside info and are buying up Harris tickets while they're at a low point. If Harris wins a yone who bought in at 35 will make an absolute killing.

That being said Trump still leads by a massive 62 to 38 and almost double the spending. 1 billion to 680k.

 

[Big Nasty]

If I had to guess it is DNC money or some kind of leftist group, they have been going on for over 24 hours straight right now. It is happening on other betting markets too but Polymarket is the only one that will show the transactions.

OK, I was wondering why Trumps betting numbers were dropping all of a sudden.

 

[CarlosDanger]

Do they think that if they defraud the predictions reality will follow suit?

I think it is to try and demoralize Trump voters and suppress their vote. You have seen it on Twitter, some Trump supporter with a large following mentions the betting markets swinging towards Harris, all their followers start dooming. I think it is all a part of a bigger psyop going on and sadly it seems a lot of Trump supporters are falling for it.

- CNN drops an insane Harris+5 and +6 in Michigan and Wisconsin
- Trump supporters start posting it, people start dooming
- Betting markets start this insane pump and dump to show odds/states start swinging towards harris
- more dooming and Trump supporters posting about it
- CNN starts talking about men not voting early and the electorate is much more female(without the context of young black men not showing up for Harris and conservative men have said they will vote on election day in much larger % than democrats and the male early vote is already a higher % in early voting than 2020 and 2022)
- more dooming
- Now CNN and other left wing people on Twitter start saying there is panic inside Trump's inner circle over early voting.

It feels like this is all coordinated to suppress Trump voters on election day, and sadly so many people with influence over Conservatives are falling for it.

 

[Dr J]

I think it is to try and demoralize Trump voters and suppress their vote. You have seen it on Twitter, some Trump supporter with a large following mentions the betting markets swinging towards Harris, all their followers start dooming. I think it is all apart of a bigger psyop going on and sadly it seems a lot of Trump supporters are falling for it.

- CNN drops an insane Harris+5 and +6 in Michigan and Wisconsin
- Trump supporters start posting it, people start dooming
- Betting markets start this insane pump and dump to show odds/states start swinging towards harris
- more dooming and Trump supporters posting about it
- CNN starts talking about men not voting early and the electorate is much more female(without the context of young black men not showing up for Harris and conservative men have said they will vote on election day in much larger % than democrats)
- more dooming
- Now CNN and other left wing people on Twitter start saying there is panic inside Trump's inner circle over early voting.

It feels like this is all coordinated to suppress Trump voters on election day, and sadly so many people with influence over Conservatives are falling for it.

This is basically it. Their strategy is to try and suppress the Trump vote because they know their own numbers are lackluster and if Trump voters turn out, Trump will win in a landslide

 

[Xarpho's Return]

Call me naïve, but due to Xitter and other social media sites not being censored, I think a lot of people in NC actually realize how ass the Biden admin/FEMAs response has been. Hawaii is Hawaii and after disasters or any other day of the week they'll always beg for more abuse at the hands of the federal govt. NC though... I almost feel as if the mistreatment will galvanize right-wing voters and the 'urban' ones will be the ones too lazy or concerned with gibmaxxing to show up.

I've tended to notice that the blue/swing states usually have some large ultra-blue city that fucks them over. So, NC has Asheville, Denver for CO, both LA and San Fran for California, Chicago for IL, Minneapolis-St. Paul for MN, Philadelphia for PA (with Pittsburgh often in supporting roles), Las Vegas for NV, Atlanta for GA, and so on. The red states either are big enough that they can outvote the pozzed cities, or the big cities just aren't blue/big enough to swing the state (Indiana, Missouri, Tennessee, etc.)

 

[Betonhaus]

I think it is to try and demoralize Trump voters and suppress their vote. You have seen it on Twitter, some Trump supporter with a large following mentions the betting markets swinging towards Harris, all their followers start dooming. I think it is all apart of a bigger psyop going on and sadly it seems a lot of Trump supporters are falling for it.

- CNN drops an insane Harris+5 and +6 in Michigan and Wisconsin
- Trump supporters start posting it, people start dooming
- Betting markets start this insane pump and dump to show odds/states start swinging towards harris
- more dooming and Trump supporters posting about it
- CNN starts talking about men not voting early and the electorate is much more female(without the context of young black men not showing up for Harris and conservative men have said they will vote on election day in much larger % than democrats)
- more dooming
- Now CNN and other left wing people on Twitter start saying there is panic inside Trump's inner circle over early voting.

It feels like this is all coordinated to suppress Trump voters on election day, and sadly so many people with influence over Conservatives are falling for it.

I don't think it'll work. By now anyone who intended to vote for Trump knows that the media lies and there are bots. The sheer energy his rallys have mean that even if people think the odds are agaisnt Trump they will still vote and ensure they are counted.

The Democrat vote isn't suppressed because Democrat voters looked at the polls saying Trump might win and going "whelp," its suppressed because the Democrats have done everything they can to make life worse for voters and antagonize the different groups they need to vote for them.