US US Politics General - Discussion of President Biden and other politicians

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Diana Moon Glampers said:
There wasn't a single joke. They spent minutes going through every dishonest Democratic talking point of the campaign, did a half-hearted quip about Walz enjoying fried foods, and then it was just about how Kamala opens doors and is the only candidate who will be a good girl.
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If you're giving us early shit again, I'm going to start seriously wondering who you are... unless the streams are minutes behind the TV one.
 
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Jonah Hill poster said:
What’s funny is I didn’t know Kamala would be a guest on SNL. It makes more proof of the fact that legacy media and its establishment entertainment is going to die a slow, whimpering death.
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It was announced maybe 6 hours in advance at most, and it's not unlikely SNL learned about it 6 hours ago too.
 
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Sweeter and Savoury said:
My forecast

Trump wins PA, WI and AZ on election night but loses them over the next week by 0.5% margin to ensure no recounts will be allowed.

Nov 12th every MSM network and newspaper announces Harris as the winner all at once. Each one citing heavy Democrat voter turn out and a tidal wave of female voters choosing Harris over Trump. All announcments will use the extact same language and talking points.

Trump will appeal to the courts for a recount but fearing violence and with most of the US Justice system being 80% Democrat sympathizers he will be denied again. There will be no recounts, no examining of records, no checking of vote tally's matching population. Harris won fair and square Trump is just a sore loser will be the talking point for the MSM machine.

Where we go from there as a country...I don't know but my gut says nothing much will happen, some protests that will be quickly crushed by ready to go glowies and Feds with more heavy handed sentences laid out on protesters to ensure that no one else gets any funny ideas about the election results. But that's just my guess, maybe there is some fire left in America but looking around I wouldn't bet on it.

That's my forecast. I hope I'm wrong but I just don't see a Trump win in the cards, too many forces are all aligned against him to realistically overcome, too little has changed in the critical states and far too many powerful people the world over have a vested interest in seeing Trump defeated.
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The feds will probably start killing people, starting with stop the steal type protestors. Libtards have been labelling Trump voters as Nazi's, White supremacist's, human garbage, and violent. So the wider public will just accept it as 'justified". There was an entire campaign after the stop the steal protest BEGGING people to turn in their neighbors.
 

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Catboy Ranch said:
The Democrat VBM returns are 200K below what they need to be in Pennsylvania the fuck is Kamala winning anything LOL

They're pulling a psyop there's going to be a blowout SHE HAS A SHOT AT THIS on the Sunday shows and the MSM is going to go full on pimp. They've been panicking since last Friday when Elon was gloating about the VBM gap.

People there's no way all of the FBAs in Pennsy are going to stand in line for stale pretzels to vote for a cop.
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You are objectively correct. For anybody curious, there are publicly available numbers for how many ballots have been requested and returned thus far in every state.

2020 early voting numbers on Github.

2024 numbers thus far per MSNBC.

In the "TargetSmart" states, Party Registration can be completely disregarded (Michigan, Wisconsin, Georgia), but the other statistics are completely valid and accurate. In Pennsylvania, in which the only way to vote early is by mail:

2020:
2.62 million mail-in ballots returned
23.7% Republican
64.7% Democrat
0.8% Minor party
10.8% Independent

2024:
2.197 million mail-in ballots requested (-420,000)
1.743 million mail-in ballots returned thus far
33% Republican (+9.3%!)
55% Democrat (-9.7%!)
10% Minor/other (-1.6%)

Democrats are outperforming mail-in returns thus far slightly (57% as opposed to 55%), but Republicans are directly on track (33% expected and returned). Also note that there aren't many mail-in ballots out there, 400kish, and it's around 2.6 million versus an expected vote of ~7 million-ish.

If you can see a state that you won in 2020 by 80,000 votes... have a 19 point total swing in party registration for requested ballots in 2024... lose 420,000 total mail-in requests... and have a massive disadvantage in Election Day voting (of which the other party further has a massive distrust of mail-in ballots)... then analyze that to think you're looking great in the state based on Democratic mail-ins slightly overperforming requests... plus are reliant on the black vote to show up on election day en masse... I have a bridge to sell you. The mail-in returns and liking the demographics of those returns is pure cope on the part of Democrats to try and energize their base and give them hope when the polling deflated them.

Arizona, Georgia, and North Carolina are looking downright secure, based on Democratic actions and funding diversions. Even if Trump loses Pennsylvania, the Nevada numbers are looking incredibly strong so far. If he can pick off Michigan (less likely), Wisconsin (more likely), or New Hampshire (extremely unlikely but possible), remember that he can still go through the backdoor and win. Democrats essentially have to win three coin flips for the presidency, and in my opinion Pennsylvania is not weighted in their favor.
 
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Diana Moon Glampers said:
There wasn't a single joke. They spent minutes going through every dishonest Democratic talking point of the campaign, did a half-hearted quip about Walz enjoying fried foods, and then it was just about how Kamala opens doors and is the only candidate who will be a good girl.
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What were you expecting? Norm to make a guest appearance and go "haaaaaa, I tricked you fuckers"? SNL sucks and Harris sucks even more.
Nuns with guns said:
Kamala makes Maya Rudolph look attractive, that is quite a feat.
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I thought she was kinda cute in Idiocracy. Then again, I think most women are attractive in their own ways. Except the ones who get buccal fat removal.
 
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Jonah Hill poster said:
Sorry for doubleposting, but:

View attachment 6593390

My thoughts exactly.
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I can't imagine SNL is the key demo the campaign feels it needs to hit either. Like, that's already overwhelmingly older liberals. Young people don't watch this shit. I guess her campaign organizers just figure if she shows, the audience will magically come and agree? Which seems a bit counter productive when you're trying to convince those not yet interested in you.

Campaigning is glorified marketing, you need to go where the folks who ain't drinking your koolaid yet are, and that's not SNL.
 
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What a bad call ditching a major rally to hang out on SNL. I bet someone told Harris it be a KOOL thing to do, the kids will be down with it and it be just like Trump on Rogan but bigger cuz SNL is like totes way more popular. This seemed liked a good idea to Karmela. Ditch Detroit to go on SNL.




Fuck me, if Harris wins we are all going to die in a nuclear holocaust aren't we?
 
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