US US Politics General - Discussion of President Biden and other politicians

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PA is the focus cause if Trump wins PA it's basically over quick fast and in a hurry for them. Dems lose options real quick if PA is out of reach so they have to go all in especially with how bad every swing state has been for them in EV.

31m less early votes so far then this time in 2020.
45% Dem 30% Repub 25% Ind 2020
40% Dem 40% Repub 18% Ind 2024
Harris needs to sweep the rust belt states. I think she has a good chance of pulling it off. PA must be the state with the largest trump lead according to Harris’s pollsters, that’s why she will be there until election night. While I appreciate pollsters like Rasmussen who project a comfortable Trump victory there, I think there’s a solid chance Harris takes it. This is where I wonder if there’s a surprise flip out there like NH that would spoil the rust belt for Harris.
 
Harris needs to sweep the rust belt states. I think she has a good chance of pulling it off. PA must be the state with the largest trump lead according to Harris’s pollsters, that’s why she will be there until election night. While I appreciate pollsters like Rasmussen who project a comfortable Trump victory there, I think there’s a solid chance Harris takes it. This is where I wonder if there’s a surprise flip out there like NH that would spoil the rust belt for Harris.
There is no argument as to why she takes it.

People are saying it but no one is saying why.

By all metric, this shit looks so bad for Harris in everyway. Record republican registration. Record republican early voting numbers. And now record republican ED voters.

Meanwhile black turnout as well as the city itself is down nearly HALF from 2020.

And then you have Democrat union vote that's completely dominated by Trump. And you can't measure this by party registration.

This is fucking end of the world scenario.
 
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I still have my fingers crossed but i still think trump got it in the bag. No pandemic is here to hinder him and there's steps being taken to prevent the steal. My fingers crossed but goddamn the chimp outs gonna be legendary. I know dems 2028's campagin is just gonna be "we're not trump" but by then people would get tired of them talking about trump in future elections
 
Also most of the comments are calling him out for dodging questions about fraud, voter ID, and immigration. I think his JR appearance did a lot of harm to her.
Not for the first time, I wondered if this is part of a larger strategy to tank her campaign and ultimately push her out of politics altogether while Dems spend the next four years finding a more palatable candidate to groom for 2028. Shit, I don't know. This election is fucking bananas.
 
There is no argument as to why she takes it.

People are saying it but no one is saying why.

By all metric, this shit looks so bad for Harris in everyway. Record republican registration. Record republican early voting numbers. And now record republican ED voters.

Meanwhile black turnout as well as the city itself is down nearly HALF from 2020.

And then you have Democrat union vote.

This is fucking end of the world scenario.
People just dont get it tbh. First time republicans have ever pushed early vote to this level so you would think there would be more EV then 2020 right? wrong lol theres 30m less and you can bet a majority of those missing votes are dem and probably black/mexican
 
Few People poll NJ, RCP only has two polls, 538 has no focused polls past the 24th October
View attachment 6594728

...And yet, the reps are leading the early in-person votes in NJ by +1.2%, +4581 votes, as of October 28th
https://xcancel.com/wakeupnj/status/1851324981013041312 / https://archive.is/nnouJ
View attachment 6594751

As surprising as it is, Trump may actually be correct here, and NJ is in play.
just one spoiler state going red is the end for her. One.
 
I got this text Tuesday.

"Hey! Election Day is next week! We're looking for Voting Ambassadors to talk to their friends about Kamala Harris and Tim Walz, w/a up to $200 stipend. It's completely remote! Want to join? Stop to quit"

And this guy from same number on Friday

"Election Day is 4 days away! Interested in earning up to $700 and help elect Kamala Harris at the same time? Reply to join! Stop 2 Quit"

I am too lazy to scrub info from a phone snapshot
 
I got this text Tuesday.

"Hey! Election Day is next week! We're looking for Voting Ambassadors to talk to their friends about Kamala Harris and Tim Walz, w/a up to $200 stipend. It's completely remote! Want to join? Stop to quit"

And this guy from same number on Friday

"Election Day is 4 days away! Interested in earning up to $700 and help elect Kamala Harris at the same time? Reply to join! Stop 2 Quit"

I am too lazy to scrub info from a phone snapshot
Take their money and use it to pay homeless people to vote Trump
 
I got this text Tuesday.

"Hey! Election Day is next week! We're looking for Voting Ambassadors to talk to their friends about Kamala Harris and Tim Walz, w/a up to $200 stipend. It's completely remote! Want to join? Stop to quit"

And this guy from same number on Friday

"Election Day is 4 days away! Interested in earning up to $700 and help elect Kamala Harris at the same time? Reply to join! Stop 2 Quit"

I am too lazy to scrub info from a phone snapshot
Probably a jeet scam
 
Probably a jeet scam
I am in a battleground state and its an actual local area number attached to the dems. I am on one of their mailing lists due to being a bernie believer in 2016. I get basically every dem mass text campaign message.

They all go straight to spam with the default filter. So not sure how much reach they think they have.
 
I'm curious... is there any way we could determine what percentage of this thread has early voted? These early vote numbers are insane, but almost none of the the right-wing people I know personally have early voted. Something really isn't adding up, at least from what I've seen. Is it possible that the reduced democrat turnout and the increased republican turnout is actually... the same exact people who would normally be breaking left, breaking right? Could the right-wing early voters actually be mostly independents and previously left leaners registering as republicans and early voting as usual? If that were the case it'd be a total blowout come election day.
 
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