US US Politics General - Discussion of President Biden and other politicians

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I'm curious... is there any way we could determine what percentage of this thread has early voted? These early vote numbers are insane, but almost none of the the right-wing people I know personally have early voted. Something really isn't adding up, at least from what I've seen. Is it possible that the reduced democrat turnout and the increased republican turnout is actually... the same exact people who would normally be breaking left, breaking right? Could the right-wing early voters actually be mostly independents and previously left leaners registering as republicans and early voting this year? If that were the case it'd be a total blowout come election day.
I voted early, fyi.

Its a combination of people who normally vote election day voting early, people who rarely vote-voting early, independents breaking for trump, and a handful of left-leaners voting Red. I don't think it'll be some blowout, but it'll big. This really is once in a life-time election.
 
I'm curious... is there any way we could determine what percentage of this thread has early voted? These early vote numbers are insane, but almost none of the the right-wing people I know personally have early voted. Something really isn't adding up, at least from what I've seen. Is it possible that the reduced democrat turnout and the increased republican turnout is actually... the same exact people who would normally be breaking left, breaking right? Could the right-wing early voters actually be mostly independents and previously left leaners registering as republicans and early voting as usual? If that were the case it'd be a total blowout come election day.
I'm in a swing state and of the people I know are voting, it's seeming like fifty fifty early and election day. Personally I'm going out day of
 
I'm curious... is there any way we could determine what percentage of this thread has early voted? These early vote numbers are insane, but almost none of the the right-wing people I know personally have early voted. Something really isn't adding up, at least from what I've seen. Is it possible that the reduced democrat turnout and the increased republican turnout is actually... the same exact people who would normally be breaking left, breaking right? Could the right-wing early voters actually be mostly independents and previously left leaners registering as republicans and early voting as usual? If that were the case it'd be a total blowout come election day.
A LOT of early voters are low propensity voters who have never voted on republican side. Meaning, they are new voters. Democrats unfortunately are habitual creatures that vote early during every election cycle especially in the cities.

What you are seeing are a lot of republican WOMEN voters who are voting early because Trump and his campaign said so. They made it a mission for them to bank their vote.

Don't be surprised if the lines on the election day are sausagefest.
 
Saw this on Xitter. Thoughts? Also seen polls saying Pennsylvania is tighter now that Kamala has campaigned there. If Trump loses there, could he still win overall? Also is him now winning Wisconsin, Michigan and Virginia pretty certain?

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Kamala campaigning in Pennsylvania is actually a good news. She loses votes everytime she speaks.
 
Updated numbers on NJ aren't exactly the best (well, still a whole percent higher), now that I found the website:

https://election.lab.ufl.edu/early-.../2024-general-election-early-vote-new-jersey/ / Megalodon / https://archive.is/mdFBE

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Saw this on Xitter. Thoughts? Also seen polls saying Pennsylvania is tighter now that Kamala has campaigned there. If Trump loses there, could he still win overall? Also is him now winning Wisconsin, Michigan and Virginia pretty certain?

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Betting markets are worth even less than polls, and Yes, Trump can win without PA if he gets any of the other "lean dem" states to be republican. (He needs 2 EVs to make up the loss of PA and still win)

If PA is called early, though, it's almost certain Trump wins.
 
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Not for the first time, I wondered if this is part of a larger strategy to tank her campaign and ultimately push her out of politics altogether while Dems spend the next four years finding a more palatable candidate to groom for 2028. Shit, I don't know. This election is fucking bananas.
Biden's constant fuck ups, the media putting out articles like "things will be ok in Trump's america", the social media sites and Washington Post trying to become more conservative

All of these things in isolation would be outliers, but together makes me think the dems know the writing is on the wall
 
Harambe set us into the darkest timeline
P'Nut and Fred will set us back into the right one.

also "Special Operations Unit", what the fuck, is there the squirrel version of Baghdadi and Osama running around out there? wtf does that even mean?
Need an image of Peanut and Fred crossing the Rainbow Bridge being welcomed by Harambe and Freyja the Walrus. AI wouldn't do Fred for me.
 
Sorry I can’t help but comment on the backhanded misogyny of thinking that birthing an unviable child is so traumatic that a white woman will never go through another pregnancy again.

Like does this guy not realize an hundred years ago infants were still more likely to die than survive in industrialized countries? And these women had far more kids than they do now.

I’m sorry, I guess white women are just such precious little pixies that we cannot expose them to any kind of emotional trauma lest they crumble into fairy dust while the big strong colored women dish out triplets every year.

Correct.
I’m a white woman so I think I am qualified to reply.
Respectfully, Null is wrong on this one.
The drive to become a mother doesn’t just disappear because a baby wasn’t viable.
Women go on to have healthy children, and often multiple healthy children, after losing a baby, regardless of which way the baby was lost.
Even in cases including much more traumatic losses than having a stillborn or a baby dying soon after birth for whatever reason.

Null is grossly underestimating the emotional and physical resilience of white women.

Bizarre really, given that Null considers white people generally superior.
 
I'm not sure what exactly what they mean by Near Earth Orbit manufacturing. My best guess is that it's referring to mining Near Earth Objects.
Crazy to think our choices are to do cool future shit you'd only seen in videogames and/or movies, or more DEI madness and that there is a chance that the latter gets picked over the former.
 
I am in a battleground state and its an actual local area number attached to the dems. I am on one of their mailing lists due to being a bernie believer in 2016. I get basically every dem mass text campaign message.

They all go straight to spam with the default filter. So not sure how much reach they think they have.
I was getting those texts for a while after my Bernie letdown. One time I replied "STOP" figuring that would trigger the auto-optout but I got a reply saying "Hi, this is a person sending this but I'll remove you from the list!" That did actually work, they stopped.
 
Saw this on Xitter. Thoughts? Also seen polls saying Pennsylvania is tighter now that Kamala has campaigned there. If Trump loses there, could he still win overall? Also is him now winning Wisconsin, Michigan and Virginia pretty certain?

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Its less her personally campaigning and more going all in on Penn. If she can motivate Dems in Philly to show up thats the play. Adds up why you see 700 dollars to canvassers all of a sudden and ad surges.

We will see if the anti Palestine, Jeet, Cop that BLM openly opposes can get the Dem base motivated. They dont have to pull R they just need to stay home to fuck Kamala.
 
Updated numbers on NJ aren't exactly the best (well, still a whole percent higher), now that I found the website:

https://election.lab.ufl.edu/early-.../2024-general-election-early-vote-new-jersey/ / Megalodon / https://archive.is/mdFBE

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Betting markets are worth even less than polls, and Yes, Trump can win without PA if he gets any of the other "lean dem" states to be republican.

If PA is called early, though, it's almost certain Trump wins.
New Jersey is definitely going to go for Harris. But I wouldn't be shocked to see Trump overperform there big time.
 
Harris is decades younger than Biden, which energizes the youth way more than Biden did, is pretty much a generic Democrat, and doesn’t try to overthrow elections when she loses.
Harris immediately causes nigger and woman fatigue any time she opens her mouth. I'm curious to see if losing 99% of the male vote will actually have an effect, since she has somehow cultivated a cadence that's somewhere between grating drunken HR lady and pleading ex-girlfriend.
 
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