2024 Syrian opposition offensives - The first Syrian rebel offensive against Government forces since March 2020

Snekposter said:
The fire rises.

20,000 from where, exactly? That's a lot of men and a lot of gear to transport, and I wonder what route they'd take considering the direct one is controlled by Turkey.
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They would just airlift them in, and ship equipment directly to the Syrian coast. They have done so before, and could do so again. Except they are already stretched extremely thin elsewhere, so it will not happen.
 
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Otis Mallebrok said:
and ship equipment directly to the Syrian coast
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From Saint Petersburg where it would be forced to sail a long, long way to get to Syria, since it sure as shit couldn't leave from Sevastopol without getting nailed by Storm Shadow. It would take a long, long time to arrive, and I doubt the SAA will last that long.
 
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Erdoğan's "Green Kemalist" generals and supporters took a big chunk of win here. The extremist Turks that would oppress Kemalists back home die by fire, and Aleppo gets under Turkish control: We need oil. The National Oath borders must be restored, FUCK YOU CHURCHILL AND LLOYD GEORGE
 
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Chuckwagon said:
Based on how the battle for Hama went, I'm guessing this is a recon/raiding force meant to test how far HTS & friends can go before running into any actual resistance and also to link up with the rebel cells that have popped up in places like Talbiseh - if they do make it into Homs they'll probably fall back should the SAA recover anything resembling a nerve & go back in, just like the first rebel detachments that filmed themselves in Hama days before the actual fall of the city. Rebels just took Hama and are still consolidating their hold there so it'll probably be at least a few days before their main push toward Homs gets going, I'd be surprised if that city also falls by say, this weekend. (Well, not THAT surprised, given how quickly the defense in Hama crumbled. I really don't think 1 week is enough time for the SAA to throw up strong defensive positions in & around Homs with all the chaos happening either.)

Loads of airbases, anti-air weapons & a smaller number of planes have fallen into rebel hands recently as well, so that will almost certainly hinder the air power available to the SAA and allies to some extent. It's definitely not a good sign for them in that regard, that said rebels still feel confident enough to gather in large crowds & convoys in wide open areas this late into the game. IIRC Jolani himself even dared to show up in person in Aleppo yesterday or the day before, directly contradicting Assad-aligned reports of his demise, and he certainly was not vaporized by a drone or whatever then.
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Yep.

That said I was SHOCKED that Hama fell less than 10 DAYS after Aleppo did.

Assad is already is deep shit. If Home falls he's FINISHED. Either a military coup occurs or he flees or Russia or he goes FULL RETARD and gets the Gaddafi treatment.
World in Scarlet said:
They haven't even sent any aircraft. Really makes you wonder about the status of the VKS.
There's been some questions about how it keeps up with maintenance and readiness while subjected to extreme strain and wear due to the war in Ukraine. This suggests "poorly".
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Yep, the VKS is WORN OUT. They lost close to 100 airframes of fighter and attack jets and a few jet transports. Production hasn't covered all of the losses and the stuff in use it getting flown extremely hard.
Snekposter said:
From Saint Petersburg where it would be forced to sail a long, long way to get to Syria, since it sure as shit couldn't leave from Sevastopol without getting nailed by Storm Shadow. It would take a long, long time to arrive, and I doubt the SAA will last that long.
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The Russians are not about to sail a fleet from St. Petersburg with thousands of Naval Infantry and other troops plus fly in VDV into Syria to save Bashar al-Assad's worthless ass AGAIN.
 
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John Badman said:
Someone please break out the Ba’athist copium reserve, I’m feeling faint.
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The defeat in Hama was a tactical retreat. 10 gorillion spetsnaz sardaukars and Iranian immortals are on their way to bolster the SAA in a counteroffensive against the terrorist forces. Vladimir Putin told Assad the the anti-life equation, and he will deploy it against the ISIS zionists. I just read it on the Slava Z imperial battallion telegram group. Recapture of Aleppo imminent. Enjoy losing, stalker child.
 
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The Syrian army fled Al-Rastan and didn't bother to destroy the bridge over the Orontes first. Now there's nothing stopping the rebels from driving straight down to Homs:
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Empty regime checkpoints/rebels in Al-Rastan:

 
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not william stenchever said:
If things continue deteriorating for Assad there's always the traditional option of shaving your mustache and moving to Argentina. Do you think Mr. Nassad would go back into opthalmology or become a humble rancher?
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Mr. Bassad is simple swan farmer in Rostov-on-Don sir
 
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draggs said:
Keep coping fag. Give us some more Telegram screenshots of the triumphant victorious Russians and SAA-

Wait, they ran like bitches from Hama today? It took less than 24 hours for the slattern's reverse Midas touch to do its thing? :story: @Feline Supremacist quick tell us how I will never win the power ball
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Yeah they did a lot of running away in Ukraine to and we all know what's happening to that country right now :lol:.
As long as missiles and bombs rain nonstop don't be surprised later if the terrorists have to withdraw, Mongolian tactics still work. I will join the Russian anti-squad if the militants enter either of Russia's air or naval base. But I do know for a fact that Turkey and Russia still cooperate based on Russia's request to get Syria's military officers back to Syria when the Turks asked their militants. Turkey did bomb an oil facility before where the US military was located (excuse to target SDF). So, I would rather be more concerned if the Turks will stab the US in the back than rather if the militants will be able to reach those 2 military bases.
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If the SAA can't fight for shit, Iran and Iraq are the next 2 cards on the table before the Russians become the possible 3rd card on the table. But as usual like the Ukraine war we don't have clear estimates on how many soldiers there are, or military equipment there is on either side. But if the Russians still have active ships in use and active aircraft in use instead of withdrawing from either base that already gives me the answer I need.

Don't delete your comments I want to screenshot them later for use here because it's going to be like that summer party in Crimea 2023.
 
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warhammerautist said:
Yeah they did a lot of running away in Ukraine to and we all know what's happening to that country right now :lol:.
As long as missiles and bombs rain nonstop don't be surprised later if the terrorists have to withdraw, Mongolian tactics still work. I will join the Russian anti-squad if the militants enter either of Russia's air or naval base. But I do know for a fact that Turkey and Russia still cooperate based on Russia's request to get Syria's military officers back to Syria when the Turks asked their militants. Turkey did bomb an oil facility before where the US military was located (excuse to target SDF). So, I would rather be more concerned if the Turks will stab the US in the back than rather if the militants will be able to reach those 2 military bases.
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If the SAA can't fight for shit, Iran and Iraq are the next 2 cards on the table before the Russians become the possible 3rd card on the table. But as usual like the Ukraine war we don't have clear estimates on how many soldiers there are, or military equipment there is on either side. But if the Russians still have active ships in use and active aircraft in use instead of withdrawing from either base that already gives me the answer I need.

Don't delete your comments I want to screenshot them later for use here because it's going to be like that summer party in Crimea 2023.
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Such predictable copenseethe. Give us some more Telegram screenshots :story:
 
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warhammerautist said:
If the SAA can't fight for shit, Iran and Iraq are the next 2 cards on the table
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Where do you get this ridiculous idea that Iraq is going to intervene? Never mind the why, I am really curious about the HOW. You can't just deploy an army across a 1,000 kilometer wide desert into hostile territory without some significant supply chain capability and spare parts stores. Stuff the Iraqi Army does NOT have. Most of their soldiers buy their rations from the local villages they are stationed near too.

For Iran it's that problem, only worse! Especially since the Israelies absolutely decimated their supply dumps in Lebanon. Those could have been very useful right now.
 
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