UAE: New asteroid may collide with Earth in 2032 and it may reach India, say experts

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Source:https://www.khaleejtimes.com/space/...th-in-2032-and-it-may-reach-india-say-experts
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Its diameter is similar to the asteroid that caused the Tunguska incident in Siberia in 1908, where a meteorite explosion over the region destroyed about 2,000sqkm of forest and led to the uprooting of more than 80 million trees.
A new asteroid, coded '2024 YR24,' has been discovered to have the highest chance of colliding with Earth, the Abu Dhabi-based International Astronomy Centre (IAC) announced. It may pose "potential danger" when it passes by the planet in 2032, the experts said.
The asteroid was discovered last December 27 through the Atlas system telescopes. Its diameter is estimated to be between 40m and 100m, said Mohammed Shawkat Odeh, director of the IAC and member of the International Asteroid Warning Network. At 40m, it meant its size could be twice as long as a cricket pitch. With a diameter of 100m, it can cover an entire football pitch.
Upon discovery, it was classified on the Torino scale for asteroids that may collide with Earth at a rate of 1.2 per cent — the highest classification so far, surpassing the asteroid Apophis, which was ruled out of the possibility of colliding with Earth.
Asteroid 2024 YR4 approached Earth on December 25, when it was at a distance of 829,000km. It is expected to pass by on December 17, 2028, again without posing a threat, but its third passage on December 22, 2032, may pose a potential danger, Odeh said.
He explained that the asteroid was observed for only 34 days, and that its current low brightness makes it a difficult target even for large telescopes, calling on astronomical observatories to focus on observing this asteroid urgently. However, the opportunity to observe it accurately will be better in 2028.
The asteroid will pass close to Earth on December 22, 2032, at a distance of 106,000km, with a margin of error of 1.6 million kilometres, according to available data.
At this distance, it may collide with the planet within a narrow strip extending from western Central America, passing through northern South America, then the central Atlantic Ocean and parts of Africa, reaching India, the report added.

Where will it crash?​

The data also indicates that the damage, in the event of a collision, will be local. The diameter of the asteroid is similar to the asteroid that caused the Tunguska incident in Siberia in 1908; where a meteorite explosion over the region destroyed about 2,000sqkm of forest and led to the uprooting of more than 80 million trees. The force of the explosion was estimated at the equivalent of 10-15 mega tonnes of TNT.
It is worth noting that the Torino scale is used to classify celestial bodies based on the probability of their collision with Earth and the severity of that collision. It consists of 10 degrees, where the number 10 indicates the highest degree of danger.
 
Bombay city has ~12.5 million people in ~600 sq km.
Bombay metro has ~23 million people in ~6000 sq km.

So a direct hit from a Tunguska-equivalent airburst might cover in the realm of 15-20 million.
Or approximately 1-1.5% of India's total population.
Shit it's fucking depressing how that's just a drop in the bucket. Can we get a Captain Trips that only affects India and Africa and the ME please?
 
Shit it's fucking depressing how that's just a drop in the bucket.
In the possibly-maybe-could-happen scenario that India & Pakistan go to total nuclear war, with Pakistan inflicting 1:1 casualties down to their last man (ie all 240M Pakis gone, along with 240M Indians, or 5-6x the WWII death toll), that would leave India with its 2008 population of 1200M.
 
Apparently, the size and composition of this asteroid are still in flux pending further observations. That said, astronomers believe it's a solid chunk of high-mass rock and not a rubble-pile, like Apophis might be. And the high side of its destructiveness has been estimated to be around 40 megatons. For reference, the Tsar Bomba was 50 megatons and Tunguska was 10-15 megatons.

Also, we need India for their cinema output, much of which is unabashedly high octane hyper-masculine tales of all sorts, like RRR. I frequently watch one to get rid of the feminized aftertaste that has infected American cinema.
 
>Be anywhere outside of India
>Pretty good man
>Be 2032
>The world holds its breath as an asteroid hurls towards earth
>Every scientist says it's expected to hit India
>At least it's not your country
>The day comes
>You can see a light in the sky
>The asteroid turns into a meteor
>Every livestream is locked on it
>Then the moment of truth
>explosion.exe
>Some city in India gets vaporized
>Nearby cameras catch it in real time
>Everyone outside India celebrates because fuck India
>The nearby cameras see a tsunami of brown cloud racing towards them
>The cameras go black
>Hear a rumble in the distance
>You look outside
>You see the brown cloud on the horizon
>You don't think it's possible because literal countries and continents separate you from India
>The cloud comes closer
>You take cover
>Everything is awash in the cloud
>You hold your breath as long as you can
>Eventually you have to breath
>It's the foulest shit you have ever smelled
>You're sure plumbers working in fetid sewers have never smelled anything this bad
>You look around
>Everything is brown
>Even your skin
>You check social media to see if anyone responds
>Every message you see is "DO NOT REDEEM"
>You check your mother's page
>You begin to ask if she's okay
>Something takes a hold of you
>You can't bring yourself to ask if she's alright
>You ask "Bobs and vagene?"
>She responds
>She sends you pictures from some random Only Fans page along with a CashApp link
>You go to your bathroom to look at yourself in the mirror
>You see your toilet
>rage.exe
>You rip it out of the ground like Boondock Saints and throw it out your window
>You go outside
>You look at your neighbors in confusion
>You come to a horrible realization
>You are living in the Indian Apocalypse
>Everything is covered in a fine layer of shit
>You think it's paradise
>You and every newly minted Indian go around destroying every toilet and burger joint you see
>Tune into a Jack Scalfani video
>He too is Indian
>He's discussing which house flies add the most flavor to your curry vindaloo dishes
>He catches them by rolling them up in naan dough that he presses flat with his gimp arm
>You celebrate your newfound Indianhood by worshipping the meteor as one of your many Hindi gods
>You also shit in the street
 
Also, we need India for their cinema output, much of which is unabashedly high octane hyper-masculine tales of all sorts, like RRR. I frequently watch one to get rid of the feminized aftertaste that has infected American cinema.
Excuse you? There's no such thing as an "unabashedly high octane hyper-masculine" Pajeet. They're all effeminate soyboys, when they're not trying to be foul rape goblins.
 
Maybe this will be the catalyst for humans to take space defense, exploration and colonisation seriously. This is how Arthur C Clarke's Rendezvous With Rama starts with a similar asteroid wiping out a part of Italy.

"Moving at fifty kilometres a second, a thousand tons of rock and metal impacted on the plains of northern Italy, destroying in a few flaming moments the labour of centuries. The cities of Padua and Verona were wiped from the face of the earth; and the last glories of Venice sank for ever beneath the sea as the waters of the Adriatic came thundering landwards after the hammer-blow from space."

"So began Project SPACEGUARD."
 
will only be local to India and not completely destroy the planet
Based Asteroid doing us a favor honestly.
 
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