UAE: New asteroid may collide with Earth in 2032 and it may reach India, say experts

Archive: https://archive.ph/jyw1a
Source:https://www.khaleejtimes.com/space/...th-in-2032-and-it-may-reach-india-say-experts
1739071187109.png
Its diameter is similar to the asteroid that caused the Tunguska incident in Siberia in 1908, where a meteorite explosion over the region destroyed about 2,000sqkm of forest and led to the uprooting of more than 80 million trees.
A new asteroid, coded '2024 YR24,' has been discovered to have the highest chance of colliding with Earth, the Abu Dhabi-based International Astronomy Centre (IAC) announced. It may pose "potential danger" when it passes by the planet in 2032, the experts said.
The asteroid was discovered last December 27 through the Atlas system telescopes. Its diameter is estimated to be between 40m and 100m, said Mohammed Shawkat Odeh, director of the IAC and member of the International Asteroid Warning Network. At 40m, it meant its size could be twice as long as a cricket pitch. With a diameter of 100m, it can cover an entire football pitch.
Upon discovery, it was classified on the Torino scale for asteroids that may collide with Earth at a rate of 1.2 per cent — the highest classification so far, surpassing the asteroid Apophis, which was ruled out of the possibility of colliding with Earth.
Asteroid 2024 YR4 approached Earth on December 25, when it was at a distance of 829,000km. It is expected to pass by on December 17, 2028, again without posing a threat, but its third passage on December 22, 2032, may pose a potential danger, Odeh said.
He explained that the asteroid was observed for only 34 days, and that its current low brightness makes it a difficult target even for large telescopes, calling on astronomical observatories to focus on observing this asteroid urgently. However, the opportunity to observe it accurately will be better in 2028.
The asteroid will pass close to Earth on December 22, 2032, at a distance of 106,000km, with a margin of error of 1.6 million kilometres, according to available data.
At this distance, it may collide with the planet within a narrow strip extending from western Central America, passing through northern South America, then the central Atlantic Ocean and parts of Africa, reaching India, the report added.

Where will it crash?​

The data also indicates that the damage, in the event of a collision, will be local. The diameter of the asteroid is similar to the asteroid that caused the Tunguska incident in Siberia in 1908; where a meteorite explosion over the region destroyed about 2,000sqkm of forest and led to the uprooting of more than 80 million trees. The force of the explosion was estimated at the equivalent of 10-15 mega tonnes of TNT.
It is worth noting that the Torino scale is used to classify celestial bodies based on the probability of their collision with Earth and the severity of that collision. It consists of 10 degrees, where the number 10 indicates the highest degree of danger.
 
If it impacts India, a massive poo cloud will be thrown up, blotting out the Sun for a decade. Crops will fail, mass starvation will occur.

Think the Yellowstone Caldera in Wyoming, but aerosol pajeet poo instead of volcanic ash.
 
  • Horrifying
Reactions: DickMain
Exterminatus is actually on the menu! What a time to be alive! unless you’re a jeet.
 
And what's the bad news?
They will evacuate before it hits and it will be really hard to refuse them entry into the US.
Sorry street shitters you have to die in a horrible impact.
That....is seriously bad optics.
 
If it's going to hit India, that just means they'll depopulate the subcontinent and move them all to Europe, North America, and Australia for "humanitarian reasons."

If you thought the demographics shifting was bad before, you ain't seen nothin' yet.
 
The asteroid size comparison and impact effect.
Screenshot_2050.png
Screenshot_2051.png

This is apparently the potential path it could hit, I'm on team asteroid for this one.

View attachment 6961867
If you look at the path where it could land, the places where it would do the most damage would be if it burst on top of Mumbai or Dharka (Capital of Bangladesh).
Screenshot_2052.pngScreenshot_2053.png

:Edit Also Kolkata in it's path would also yield a high kill ratio.
Screenshot_2056.png
 
Last edited:
All the vapourised poo in the air would bring in a Pooclear winter. Brown snow as far as the world can see.

This wouldn't wipe out India but would decrease their population a little bit.
I can't believe it would only be a little bit of their poopulation, too. For anybody thinking it would turn the country into a crater, it wouldn't quite be like that sadly, but there's still some good news. Like Tunguska this object is predicted to explode in midair. If we plug in 15Mt for an airburst on nukemap (conveniently, that is the largest nuke the US has been known to test), we get some pretty mind-boggling numbers.

1739142235668.png

Keep in mind that this is far above the height that this would actually be expected to detonate too. The damage also wouldn't be perfectly spherical either, as meteor airbursts have funky shapes, and a lot of different factors can determine the shape of the explosion and more importantly the angle that most of that energy is being projected in. Airbursts also tend to project force more downward compared to what you'd expect with a direct impact or a nuclear blast.

If you want an idea of what Tunguska did:
1739143147776.jpeg

I'm no scientist so who knows, but we've seen this before so we have some points of comparison to go off of.

Ninja'd by @Rome's rightful successor (who helpfully plotted out where it's actually expected to potentially pass over)
 
Anyone cheering for this is a fool. If an impact of this magnitude occurs, the Earth may very well be enshrouded in a thick layer of fecal particles, blotting out the sun.
Particles? Try living, breathing Indians swarming en-masse over every functioning country as they try to escape the destruction... if the asteroid must hit earth I pray it lands right on my fucking house so I don't have to live in a jeeted hellscape.
 
  • Feels
Reactions: DickMain
Back