Antarctica gains ice for first time in decades, reversing trend of mass loss, study finds
By Austin WilliamsPublished May 2, 2025 5:15pm EDT
Science
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FILE - Giant tabular icebergs are surrounded by ice floe drift in Vincennes Bay on January 11, 2008 in the Australian Antarctic Territory. (Photo by Torsten Blackwood - Pool/Getty Images)
The Brief
- The Antarctic Ice Sheet gained mass between 2021 and 2023, a dramatic reversal from decades of loss.
- Four key glacier basins in East Antarctica showed significant growth due to increased snowfall.
- The mass gain briefly contributed to a decrease in global sea level rise, according to satellite data.
A study published this week in Science China Earth Sciences finds that the Antarctic Ice Sheet (AIS) experienced a record-breaking mass gain between 2021 and 2023, largely due to anomalous increases in precipitation. The rebound is especially significant in East Antarctica, where four major glacier basins had previously shown signs of destabilization.
Satellite data shows ice sheet mass increase
Big picture view:
Researchers from Tongji University and other institutions analyzed satellite gravimetry data from the GRACE and GRACE-FO missions, which measure variations in Earth’s gravity to detect changes in ice mass.
They found that between 2011 and 2020, the AIS was losing ice at a rate of 142 gigatons per year. But between 2021 and 2023, the trend reversed, with the ice sheet gaining approximately 108 gigatons per year — a historic turnaround.
That growth was enough to temporarily offset global sea level rise by about 0.3 millimeters per year during the same period.
Key glacier basins showed the most dramatic shift
The most notable gains were in East Antarctica’s Wilkes Land and Queen Mary Land region, including the Totten, Denman, Moscow University, and Vincennes Bay glacier basins. These glaciers had been losing mass at an accelerating rate from 2011 to 2020 — driven by surface melting and faster ice discharge into the ocean — but now appear to have partially recovered.Scientists warn, however, that this shift doesn’t mean the climate crisis is over. The gains were linked to unusual precipitation patterns, which may be temporary.
What's next:
The Antarctic Ice Sheet holds more than half of the world’s fresh water. For decades, it’s been one of the largest contributors to sea level rise, alongside Greenland’s melting ice and thermal expansion of warming oceans.
This new period of growth is both a surprise and a reminder of how dynamic and sensitive polar regions are to climate shifts. If similar conditions persist, they could reshape near-term sea level predictions. But most scientists stress the rebound is likely temporary unless supported by larger climatic trends.
The Source: This story is based on the peer-reviewed study "Spatiotemporal mass change rate analysis from 2002 to 2023 over the Antarctic Ice Sheet and four glacier basins in Wilkes-Queen Mary Land" published March 19, 2025, in Science China Earth Sciences. This story was reported from Los Angeles.
