Massie in trouble among Republican Primary voters as he seeks reelection Poll Results
Kentucky04 GOP with write up
Kissimmee, Florida – With just under a year until the 2026 Republican Primary, incumbent
Congressman Thomas Massie appears to be in for a rough road ahead. When asked if voters
plan to vote to reelect Massie regardless of who runs against him, only 19% indicate support for
Massie while 47% indicate support for a challenger. Introducing the hypothetical of a Trump
endorsement of a challenger, Massie’s support falls to 14% and those supporting a challenger
rises to 59%.
As of the time the poll was in the field, there is one candidate, Registered Nurse Nicole Lee
Ethington, filed to challenge Massie in the Republican primary. In a head-to-head poll, Massie
trails Ethington 31%-19% with a majority of voters undecided. Massie’s 19% support matches
the pre-Trump endorsement ballot test against an unnamed opponent. With Massie continuing
to hit that 19% number, Ethington is likely the only one with significant room to grow in support
as her share of the vote is below the total number of voters that say they will at least “probably”
vote for a challenger to Massie.
The Republican primary electorate gives Massie a 23% favorable rating while 62% rate him as
unfavorable. At the same time, President Trump has an 89% favorable rating and only 9%
unfavorable. Further, 70% of primary voters consider themselves to be “MAGA Republicans.
