Hysterical le happening clowns were already forecasting total global collapse within days if the strait wasn't under control. So, where is it? Two more weeks until Armageddon?
Some people genuinely live in a complete alternate reality.
In a perfect world these past months would've been a wakeup call for Europe to stop fucking around with the eco-friendly net zero bullshit and start reindustrializing and exploiting their natural resources again instead of letting an Hormuz shaped noose lie comfortably around their necks while their chat with a hangman named Ivan
Europe is too deep up its own ass to realize the entire world has left them behind. They are a colony of their former colonies at this point, while the eastern block and western hemisphere views them with contempt for much the same reasons.
A continent of beaurocrats that are willing to sell their patrimony to the scum of the earth in exchange for ephemeral GDP and moral platitudes. A luxury they could only afford as long as Americans were willing to die for them.
Its crazy that they are siding with the US, Chevron makes a ton of money selling oil to China. Maybe they really don't need to increase production to replace what China was buying from Iran? Or maybe they will make more money in the long run by just keeping supply low?
He has been since like, day one of the conflict just to a lesser extent but every day/week that goes by he reaches a more fevered pitch. He was declaring total global economy death 200 dollar oil barrels in like the second week of the conflict.
I listened to his streams for a while in the first month of this just because he does compile information nicely and it made for some decent background listening. But the longer this goes on he starts to spend more and more time during his broadcast fighting ghosts and random comments in an increasingly TDS fashion rather than covering the actual events going on while declaring himself some sort of strategical mastermind that is totally right about everything and could have won the war in a week.
Listening to critical coverage is one thing but the dude lost the plot over a month ago and just sounds like a Schizo for half of his daily broadcasts.
Its crazy that they are siding with the US, Chevron makes a ton of money selling oil to China. Maybe they really don't need to increase production to replace what China was buying from Iran? Or maybe they will make more money in the long run by just keeping supply low?
Its more that they dont trust Trump when he says this situation is a long term problem. If they increase production now and then a Christmas miracle happens, hormuz opens, and all the back logged supply gets dumped, they will end up holding the bag.
Basically what they told the US government is they either put up, or shut up. The federal government has the power to increase supply. By engaging the defense production act and using tax payer money to contract production.
Until Trump does that, the US oil companies will happily rake in record profits from desperate European and Asian markets.
The Crown Prince's grandfather was very close with the Nazis before the war. So close that the British and Soviets invaded Iran and occupied it to make sure they didn't get a foothold in the Gulf.
And put Shah Reza on the throne to replace his dad, to be clear.
Iran is why Stalingrad was such a big fucking deal for the Nazis. If Germany had succeeded at Stalingrad, that was the last Soviet bastion and the Nazis would have almost certainly been able to make a corridor to the Caspian Sea - this would have allowed them to send troops to Iran, which would have almost certainly resulted in Papa Pahlavi's loyalists putting him back on the Throne (or Reza opting to adopt his father's policies re: Germany) and would have provided a mechanism for the Nazi's to get their hands on Iranian oil, alleviating one of their biggest supply chain pain points.
It is unlikely to have changed the ultimate outcome of the war, but would have definitely resulted the USSR getting its shit pushed in harder.
In an alternate Germany, Berlin is still overrun with Jeets but the Turks are swapped for Iranians, Kabob shops with Kubideh ones (or more accurately, the sign has Kabob swapped with Kubideh).
"What? They're our fellow aryans." the average German shrugs.
The only way you know its not our Clown World is there are no gypsies and the videogames have buddish religious symbols in them.
Says the oil situation is more urgent that the US knows and that it will take some time for prices to go down even if the Strait reopens due to mine clearing, backlog and logistics.
There are two prices at play: one is futures contract prices - that is, an agreement to buy a set quantity of oil at a set price at some point in the future, and the other is spot pricing - the price of actually transfering the physical good, what oil is actually selling for. Futures contracts are 100000% vibe trading made up bullshit. They could drop $0 tomorrow for any or no reason. Terminal pricing, that is the cost of actually sourcing and delivering the oil to the terminal, is affected by futures pricing as futures are used to determine if there is a premium to be had, but only as part of a complex equation to determine market availability, not by itself.
Futures contracts will many times lag the spot price - oil companies and refineries will still buy & hold the contracts as a form of insurance, so they will spend the few dollars premium to guarantee supply and if the spot is lower, fine.
Spot prices are likely to be higher for a while as changes in supply take weeks or months to make it through the system. The other thing he seems to not take into consideration is that early projections, in addition to being done by total doomers, fail to account for several factors.
First, they were taking the total anticipated effect of the loss of all Hormuz oil. But tankers have been slipping out, and oil is being rerouted by GCC countries to non-hormuz ports. Russia was also taken off the naughty boy list for two months which helped.
Second, at lot of the most dire predictions were about Tankers that were trapped in the gulf. Those tankers weren't merely not able to deliver their cargo, they also weren't able to pick up and transport other cargo. There was a worrying loss of global oil carry capacity. That is, even if the US upped production to cover that lost oil, there might not be enough ships to carry it.
But, every tanker that leaves the gulf returns that capacity back into the market. And the loss of those ships has been alleviated a fair but by ship operates giving their captains permission to go faster - oil spends less time in transit, meaning the same number of tankers can haul more oil.
The COST of that is lower fuel efficiency by the tankers - that is, the oil costs more to transport because you burn more maritime diesel hauling it- but that is currently being offset by ability to charge higher transport fees.
Third, once again the nation getting fucked the absolute hardest is China, followed by India, and fuck 'em both.
also once things calm down minesweeping won't be hard. the Persian gulf is shallow with clear water.
lol national security says get fucked. There is absolutely no reason to give an enemy a free and open stream of intelligence regardless of if they can get it from other sources
There is no reason to make it easy, and additionally....
If they are getting imagery from China and Russia, that means the US can now make an international case with China and Russia for supplying Iran.
In a perfect world these past months would've been a wakeup call for Europe to stop fucking around with the eco-friendly net zero bullshit and start reindustrializing and exploiting their natural resources again instead of letting an Hormuz shaped noose lie comfortably around their necks while their chat with a hangman named Ivan.
They need to stop fucking around or go absolutely hogwild full retard max throttle. But the issue is they are cheating and using hydrocarbons to cover the short falls in their energy production, and sourcing it from unreliable foreign entities instead of using domestic production.
SOME of their investiments, like wind in the north sea and solar in places where it makes sense like southern France and Italy, are sensible investments: you reduce your need to source fuel. But that doesn't help all that much when you have almost zero strategic reserves, no allowance for defense needs, and no viable plan B.
US military uses a lot solar and renewables at bases because it reduces fuel consumption, but still makes sure there are enough generators and J-8 to run the base if needed.
Hysterical le happening clowns were already forecasting total global collapse within days if the strait wasn't under control. So, where is it? Two more weeks until Armageddon?
Some people genuinely live in a complete alternate reality.
He has been since like, day one of the conflict just to a lesser extent but every day/week that goes by he reaches a more fevered pitch. He was declaring total global economy death 200 dollar oil barrels in like the second week of the conflict.
I listened to his streams for a while in the first month of this just because he does compile information nicely and it made for some decent background listening. But the longer this goes on he starts to spend more and more time during his broadcast fighting ghosts and random comments in an increasingly TDS fashion rather than covering the actual events going on while declaring himself some sort of strategical mastermind that is totally right about everything and could have won the war in a week.
Listening to critical coverage is one thing but the dude lost the plot over a month ago and just sounds like a Schizo for half of his daily broadcasts.
Kids dont want to watch boomer and old people slop. They never have. Kids didnt want to watch fucking McGuyver or Star Trek when it aired. Much less now. Those are 2 of the most boomer shows you could have named.
You are the stupid motherfucker who thinks children will watch MacGuyver of all things.
I didnt want to watch that shit when it aired then, and kids sure as fuck wont now.
Children would rather watch Skibidi Toilet before watching your boomer slop. Most of humanity seems to make that choice when given access to all of human media.
I dunno what you're talking about. I was all over fucking McGuyver, Airwolf, and TOS Star Trek reruns on Saturdays, and classic Hanna-Barbara & early Disney TV slop. Jetsons, Flintstones, Herculoids, Johnny Quest, Spaceghost.
Also Gargoyles and Exosquad I'll put against any peer Anime.
You just have shit taste. Sorry to hear about that.
Firefly is Whedon manchild garbage. When I say its Joss' finest hour, that is not a complement. It is a sad statement of fact.
Heroes was absolutely retarded, like Lost, where they wanted to be mature but couldn't pull it off.
I want a ground invasion and I want Trump to say it's a crusade sponsored by the Pope. We're hitting like 10 birds with one shot, all that's missing is a templar cross on the plate carrier and it's a ground invasion for the ages.
The silver lining to this shitshow is that, provided the U.S. can't magically do in the next month what it hasn't managed for the prior two, the petrodollar is on its way out.
America's economy is such that military supremacy is our only real export, and that's what enables massive deficit spending on gibs, mass censorship, and learing centers. I'd have preferred a long, prosperous Trump dynasty, which was still a vague possibility before the war, but the Democrat who arrives in 2028 is going to have much less of a country to work with than Hillary would've had in 2016. Censorship and terror are expensive to maintain, and there are a lot of interests eager to carve out islands of normalcy once the government is too poor and too weak to stop them from doing so.
It's not quite that simple, but, even if it were, you'd be looking at 65/(1-0.2)=81.3, not 65*1.2=78. In either case, well below current price per barrel, because price is not a fixed pool divided up among the barrels of oil being produced.
If 100 people are paying $50 for the 100 barrels of oil they need not to freeze to death, and oil production falls by 20 percent, the 80 people that survive will each have paid a sum equivalent to the life savings of the poorest man who didn't.
I do agree with this. We can't keep letting our major military decisions be tied to the weekends. Besides being boring and wasting time, that kind of predictability gives our enemies way too much of a heads-up on when to prepare.
At this point i dont care if the petrodollar collapses. The bread is stale and the intermission in the circus has gone on too long. Strap me to a bunker buster and drop me on mojtabas favorite catamite.
You are the stupid motherfucker who thinks children will watch MacGuyver of all things.
I didnt want to watch that shit when it aired then, and kids sure as fuck wont now.
Children would rather watch Skibidi Toilet before watching your boomer slop. Most of humanity seems to make that choice when given access to all of human media.
Riddle me this, buster. Why is deep space 9 more popular with zoomers today than it was with people their age when it aired originally? I've seen younger people, hoes included, fall in love with macguyver. I think it's because even people just a few years younger than me didnt grow up with such unabashed naive patriotism in their media. Nipslop is all aesthetics and no substance, and the aesthetics are often atrocious pornography. Every time I try to watch a "based" chinky cartoon, it feels like 70% of the data is missing and it's all the part that's supposed to make it be more than melodramatic trash. As for the moral quality of TV shows, it's an accidental feature that TV can have any moral quality to it at all. It's like asking why a dildo doesn't have proverbs written on it.
At this point i dont care if the petrodollar collapses. The bread is stale and the intermission in the circus has gone on too long. Strap me to a bunker buster and drop me on mojtabas favorite catamite.
War is all about breaking the enemy’s will to fight. Clearly, we haven’t yet done that in Iran.
The regime continues to thump its chest in public, threatening its neighbors, threatening us, and claiming to have won the war. That is not the behavior of an enemy on its knees.
The regime’s latest peace “proposal” is no more than a rehash of the irredentist talking points it has been trotting out regularly for decades. The Iranians claim sovereignty over the Strait of Hormuz. They assert their “right” to enrich uranium (and to exclude it from the negotiations). They refuse limits on their ballistic missiles and drones and are not prepared to abandon arming proxies such as Hamas and Hezb’allah.
That’s no peace proposal. It’s a defiant declaration of war.
But even dictators reach a breaking point, when they throw in the towel, commit suicide, or sue for peace.
Iran’s revolutionary leadership is no exception. In June 1988, Ayatollah Khomeini “drank the chalice of poison” and ended the eight-year war with Iraq. Why? Many commentators believe that it was because the United States sank one third of their navy in a single day that April (Operation Praying Mantis).
That certainly played a role. But the determining factor was Saddam’s ruthless use of chemical weapons.
I do agree with this. We can't keep letting our major military decisions be tied to the weekends. Besides being boring and wasting time, that kind of predictability gives our enemies way too much of a heads-up on when to prepare.
Shit, tell that the Euros who were alerted to the US's massive military build up but did nothing to try top up their strategic oil reserves or prepare for the Straight of Homoz to be blocked.
"Hey, I know what'll get Trump to agree to our terms. Let's trigger his autism about how he'll never accept a bad deal. He has no choice but to submit now." Source | Archive
