Law Justice Brett Kavanaugh Megathread - Megathread for Brett Kavanaugh, US Supreme Court Justice

they're good justices, brentt

https://www.cnbc.com/2018/07/05/trump-picks-brett-kavanaugh-for-supreme-court.html

President Donald Trump has picked Brett Kavanaugh, a federal appeals court judge with extensive legal credentials and a lengthy political record, to succeed Justice Anthony M. Kennedy on the Supreme Court, NBC News reported.

Kavanaugh, 53, is an ideological conservative who is expected to push the court to the right on a number of issues including business regulation and national security. The favorite of White House Counsel Donald McGahn, Kavanaugh is also considered a safer pick than some of the more partisan choices who were on the president’s shortlist.

A graduate of Yale Law School who serves on the U.S. Court of Appeals for the D.C. Circuit, Kavanaugh has the traditional trappings of a presidential nominee to the high court.


If confirmed, the appellate judge would become the second young, conservative jurist Trump has put on the top U.S. court during his first term. Kavanaugh's confirmation would give the president an even bigger role in shaping U.S. policy for decades to come. The potential to morph the federal judiciary led many conservatives to support Trump in 2016, and he has not disappointed so far with the confirmation of conservative Supreme Court Justice Neil Gorsuch and numerous federal judges.

At times, he has diverged from the Republican party’s ideological line on important cases that have come before him, including on the Affordable Care Act, the 2010 health care law which Kavanaugh has declined to strike down on a number of occasions in which it has come before him.

Anti-abortion groups quietly lobbied against Kavanaugh, pushing instead for another jurist on Trump’s shortlist, 7th U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals Judge Amy Coney Barrett, ABC News reported in the run-up to Trump’s announcement.

Kavanaugh received his current appointment in 2006 after five years in the George W. Bush administration, where he served in a number of roles including staff secretary to the president. He has been criticized for his attachment to Bush, as well as his involvement in a number of high-profile legal cases.

For instance, Kavanaugh led the investigation into the death of Bill Clinton’s Deputy White House Counsel Vince Foster, and assisted in Kenneth Starr’s 1998 report outlining the case for Clinton’s impeachment.

Democrats criticized Kavanaugh’s political roles during his 2006 confirmation hearing before the Senate Judiciary Committee.

“Your experience has been most notable, not so much for your blue chip credentials, but for the undeniably political nature of so many of your assignments,” Sen. Chuck Schumer, D-N.Y., said at the time.

“From the notorious Starr report, to the Florida recount, to the President’s secrecy and privilege claims, to post-9/11 legislative battles including the Victims Compensation Fund, to ideological judicial nomination fights, if there has been a partisan political fight that needed a very bright legal foot soldier in the last decade, Brett Kavanaugh was probably there,” Schumer said.

Kavanaugh's work on the Starr report has been scrutinized by Republicans who have said it could pose trouble for the president as he negotiates with special counsel Robert Mueller over the terms of a possible interview related to Mueller's Russia probe. The 1998 document found that Clinton's multiple refusals to testify to a grand jury in connection with Starr's investigation were grounds for impeachment.

In later years, Kavanaugh said that Clinton should not have had to face down an investigation during his presidency. He has said the indictment of a president would not serve the public interest.

Like Trump's first nominee to the Supreme Court, Neil Gorsuch, Kavanaugh clerked for Kennedy. If he is confirmed, it will mark the first time ever that a current or former Supreme Court justice has two former clerks become justices, according to an article by Adam Feldman, who writes a blog about the Supreme Court.

Kavanaugh teaches courses on the separation of powers, the Supreme Court, and national security at Harvard Law School and Yale Law School, and does charitable work at St. Maria’s Meals program at Catholic Charities in Washington, D.C., according to his official biography.

https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/...ett-kavanaugh-nomination-by-a-28-point-margin

After a blistering confirmation battle, Justice Brett Kavanaugh will take his seat for oral arguments on the U.S. Supreme Court with a skeptical public, a majority of which opposed his nomination. However, Democrats may not be able to exploit this fact in the upcoming elections as much as they hope, because the independent voters overwhelmingly disapprove of their own handling of the nomination by a 28-point margin, a new CNN/SSRS poll finds.

Overall, just 41 percent of those polled said they wanted to see Kavanaugh confirmed, compared to 51 percent who said they opposed his confirmation. In previous CNN polls dating back to Robert Bork in 1987, no nominee has been more deeply underwater.

What's interesting, however, is even though Democrats on the surface would seem to have public opinion on their side, just 36 percent approved of how they handled the nomination, compared to 56 percent who disapproved. (Republicans were at 55 percent disapproval and 35 percent approval). A further breakdown finds that 58 percent of independents disapproved of the way the Democrats handled the nomination — compared to 30 percent who approved. (Independents also disapproved of Republicans handling of the matter, but by a narrower 53 percent to 32 percent margin).

Many people have strong opinions on the way the Kavanaugh nomination will play out in November and who it will benefit. The conventional wisdom is that it will help Democrats in the House, where there are a number of vulnerable Republicans in suburban districts where losses among educated women could be devastating, and that it will help Republicans in the Senate, where the tossup races are in red states where Trump and Kavanaugh are more popular.

That said, it's clear that the nomination energized both sides, and that the tactics pursued by the parties turned off independent voters in a way that makes it much harder to predict how this will end up affecting election outcomes.
 
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This whole thing has had so many insane twists that even M. Night Shaymalan would look at it askance.
speaking of twists...
https://www.npr.org/2018/10/03/6540...-battle-democratic-enthusiasm-edge-evaporates

GOP voters have closed the 'enthusiasm gap' and a confirmation would energize them even more while further demoralizing the left. this is getting exciting, it's like 2016 all over again
That's when I knew that there was no reaching her. The Democrats practically use people like her to advance their agenda and cloud the issue with emotion. Justice is supposed to be blind for a reason.
the twisted thing is that she herself is living proof of her statement. the facts really don't matter. people believe what they want to, and being shown contrary evidence actually just entrenches their existing views even further.

a fascinating paper on this :
https://web.archive.org/web/2018090...ent/pnas/early/2018/08/27/1804840115.full.pdf
 
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speaking of twists...
https://www.npr.org/2018/10/03/6540...-battle-democratic-enthusiasm-edge-evaporates

GOP voters have closed the 'enthusiasm gap' and a confirmation would energize them even more while further demoralizing the left. this is getting exciting, it's like 2016 all over again
The other thing you have to take into account is that I'm sure they're being just as delusional about conservative voter turnout and liberal voter turnout as they were in '16. Here's to them not learning anything and further imploding in the wake of getting fucking rekt again. Better get a trans Muslim Latinx as DNC Chair to cheer Hillary on in 2020 lined up!
 
LMAO Heidi ur done here.
tl;dr Heitkamp says she's voting "no" on Kav. She's already underwater by 6 points per the RCP average, and this will not help, to say the least.
I guess she figures that she can't win with honor, so she might as well lose with spite.
Heidi Heitkamp and Jon Tester are both mistakes that need to be corrected, as well as Claire McCaskill and Joe Donnelly.

Doug Jones must go in 2020, because Democrats will try to turn him into one of the next aforementioned. If Joe Manchin votes for Kavanaugh and wins reelection, he should switch to Republican like the Governor finally. Fuck Jeanne Shaheen, too.
 
Jones is gone. His victory was hard-won here, and he was up against a piss-poor candidate that actually _had_ baggage the Dems could exploit. Not enough to convict him on, they all went away the minute the election was over, but enough to keep too many R's home.

Basically, the stars all aligned to vote him in. He's not going to be that lucky a second time, and he knows it. It's why he feels so damned free to act like a tool in public - he knows he isn't going to get elected again, so he doesn't care about pissing off his constituency, just building some favors in DC.
 
Like Trump, with all else failing, the left has been back to arguing all morning that he doesn't have the temperament for such a high institution. How dare he's not a robot powered by (((special interests))) reading a teleprompter, yet calling the Constitution a fucking living, breathing document like all of Obama and Clinton's judicial activists is completely fine.

If he really does have anger management issues, it would be great to see him screeching at RGB so loud, that it blows the skin off of her corpse.
Here's another funny bit. Evidently Kavanaugh, when he's not being accused of being a drunk gang rapist by a pack of exceptional pensioners, is persuasive as hell.

Couple this with his originalist tendencies, and you might have a SCOTUS judge who could sweet-talk one of the swing votes his way.
 
Even CNN can't ignore the horrible truth that's dawning on them.

View attachment 558878

speaking of twists...
https://www.npr.org/2018/10/03/6540...-battle-democratic-enthusiasm-edge-evaporates

GOP voters have closed the 'enthusiasm gap' and a confirmation would energize them even more while further demoralizing the left. this is getting exciting, it's like 2016 all over again

the twisted thing is that she herself is living proof of her statement. the facts really don't matter. people believe what they want to, and being shown contrary evidence actually just entrenches their existing views even further.

a fascinating paper on this :
https://web.archive.org/web/2018090...ent/pnas/early/2018/08/27/1804840115.full.pdf

The other thing you have to take into account is that I'm sure they're being just as delusional about conservative voter turnout and liberal voter turnout as they were in '16. Here's to them not learning anything and further imploding in the wake of getting fucking rekt again. Better get a trans Muslim Latinx as DNC Chair to cheer Hillary on in 2020 lined up!
I am hopeful these takes are right, but I am concerned the Democrat/Media establishment at least learned one lesson from last election and that lesson was to make sure your people are gonna go vote. Basically don't tell them it's in the bag and the other side has no chance, so why bother turning out.
 
Apologies, but I haven’t seen this mentioned yet. Apparently the Best Friend Who Ford named as a witness and threw under the bus! The one too weak from health crisis to actually remember things clearly? Yeah she and her family are pissed. The friend, Leyland Keyser went under oath to the FBI to say not only does she not remember any such party. She has never met Brett Kavanaugh. If you wonder why the FBI closed the investigation after 2 days and said “we’re done here!” Yeah...

https://www.breitbart.com/big-gover...y-ford-threw-witness-leland-keyser-under-bus/

This is also why the Dem’s are suddenly attacking Kavanaugh’s “temperament”. Their October surprise loses her sympathetic look when their crazy cat lady liar is put up against a mother dying of cancer or something similar. Not only does the FBI have a witness saying Fords story is BS. It’s a far far more sympathetic witness.
 
The other thing you have to take into account is that I'm sure they're being just as delusional about conservative voter turnout and liberal voter turnout as they were in '16. Here's to them not learning anything and further imploding in the wake of getting fucking rekt again. Better get a trans Muslim Latinx as DNC Chair to cheer Hillary on in 2020 lined up!

Their problem is Conservative voter turnout is traditionally high and solid in the mid terms. Old People Vote! And that’s without the base being energized. They just stirred up the Soccer Mom’s in an unexpected way.
 
I am hopeful these takes are right, but I am concerned the Democrat/Media establishment at least learned one lesson from last election and that lesson was to make sure your people are gonna go vote. Basically don't tell them it's in the bag and the other side has no chance, so why bother turning out.
Me too. I looked at the numbers and the methodologies by which they arrived at those numbers A LOT in the run up to the 2016 election. Anyone who did was able to see how much they were skewed. I haven't done that this time and probably will before election time. Laziness and the the fact that it doesn't seem like they've learned anything as kept me from doing so up until now. Complacency kills.
 
Any non-breitbart source? Considering Breitbart is basically the right wing version of Huffpo or Occupy Democrats.

I swing left and am still undecided on whether Kavanaugh is guilty or not, but the Dems have fucked up big time. Best case scenario for them they're acting like shit flinging monkeys and exploiting a sexual violence survivor for their own gain. If this clusterfuck has done anything it's just cemented my desire to vote 3rd party by default.
 
I swing left and am still undecided on whether Kavanaugh is guilty or not

I mean, I'm not trying to attack you when I say this, but how? There's literally zero evidence that would hold up in any court, only testimony from a handful of supposed witnesses. And of the witnesses, the best are still not very credible, and every single one of them has failed to produce a shred of corroborating evidence, has been caught in numerous lies, and has been rebutted by virtually everyone who knows them. Despite all of this, the FBI even investigated, again, and found nothing.

And none of the above is partisan politics, it's just a plaintext description of what has been presented.

What exactly would need to happen for you to be decided at this point?
 
Even after all this, Flake might still flake.

https://archive.is/OavXz

Elaina Plott of The Atlantic reports that GOP Senator Jeff Flake (AZ) - the key holdout in the Kavanaugh confirmation, and retiring lame duck - is "still having issues" despite calling the FBI report that he insisted upon "thorough" and agreeing that it did not corroborate claims made by Kavanaugh accuser, Christine Blasey Ford.

Thursday: Senators read FBI report. My source tells me Flake is “still having issues.” What issues? I ask. “I honestly don’t know anymore. Have you ever seen Hamlet?” — Elaina Plott (@elainaplott) October 4, 2018

Flake's waffling is undoubtedly troublesome for Republicans, however if GOP Senator Susan Collins of Maine still votes "yes" as was implied by comments she made earlier Thursday, and/or the vote is otherwise tied, Kavanaugh could still be confirmed by Vice President Mike Pence.
 
Any non-breitbart source? Considering Breitbart is basically the right wing version of Huffpo or Occupy Democrats.

I swing left and am still undecided on whether Kavanaugh is guilty or not, but the Dems have fucked up big time. Best case scenario for them they're acting like shit flinging monkeys and exploiting a sexual violence survivor for their own gain. If this clusterfuck has done anything it's just cemented my desire to vote 3rd party by default.
Here's the source brietbart was relaying.
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/ar...d-blindsided-named-corroborating-witness.html
 
Any non-breitbart source? Considering Breitbart is basically the right wing version of Huffpo or Occupy Democrats.

I swing left and am still undecided on whether Kavanaugh is guilty or not, but the Dems have fucked up big time. Best case scenario for them they're acting like shit flinging monkeys and exploiting a sexual violence survivor for their own gain. If this clusterfuck has done anything it's just cemented my desire to vote 3rd party by default.
I mean it was part of the hearing under oath that went on. Ford said her friend had health issues and that's why she didn't remember.
 
Apparently Amy Schumer got arrested at a protest. Get ready for her to become a martyr after Chucky pulls some strings and bails her out.

If you didn't get a chance to watch the #BelieveWomen protests on Periscope, you missed out.


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They aren't sending their best, folks.
 
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