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Guys did you know that uhhh if we don't pass the green new deal the whole world will look like Fallout in just over a decade? Some dumbass kid thinks it's true so we should do whatever theh want
I just don't see why people can't take the next step here. Yes, this theory has been around for 30 years at least. Yes, they've been predicting the end of the world within 12 years since 30 years ago.
So why the fuck are we still giving them truckloads of money to make up another dire 12 year warning?
People conflate global warming with general environmentalism, which is such annoying bullshit. Factory runoff is real, can be seen, and causes enormous health problems. CO2 is real, but outside of huge concentrations(see: China, India), is not a health hazard at all. They should concentrate on reducing CO2 emissions in areas with smog problems, or areas susceptible to smog, as that's where it causes a problem.
Renewable energy is great, where you can get it. Hamstringing your economy to switch completely over is just not doable, although you'd surely end up fucking over lots of people in the process.
This is the exact same strategy religion has used for millenia to get people to follow it. Threaten unimaginably dire consequences for not doing it, so it's worth any cost for even a tiny chance of avoiding these consequences that may well not exist. It works well on human psychology, but it's not actually logical.
I'm going to make a prediction. By the year 2060, we will have continued along the current trend, and the global average temperature will be 2 degrees C hotter than 1920, about 1 degree C hotter than the current average temperature. There will be some small climate changes due to this, although they will probably be impossible to quantify given the unpredictability of weather. Additionally, we can expect CO2 concentrations to rise, as they have historically done along with global average temperature changes.
That's a long way out though, so let's dial it back to 2030, where we can probably assume about a 0.15 degree C increase in global temp. This will lead to very, very slight sea level rise, so we'll probably see a tiny bit more flooding, although again, the noisy weather system will make this impossible to quantify.
If the current global warming hysteria is correct, by 2030 we should be all fucked up, certainly not just 0.15 C warmer. We should see significantly more deaths from flooding and such, some kind of measurable quantifiable difference. Remember, the whole reason this is supposed to be an emergency is that the process is supposed to be basically a thermal runaway scenario. Earth heats, more CO2 released, more snow melts, less sunlight reflected, more permafrost thaws and frozen organic matter rots, releasing more CO2, earth heats more, repeat until dead.
I have to assume, based on past trends, that there's a natural negative feedback to this rising temp, perhaps cloud formation, otherwise why did the earth cool off in previous warm periods? So the current rising trend will break eventually, but I certainly can't make any kind of prediction as to when that might happen. And it might not be perfectly linear, due to albedo changes (As the earth warms, there's less white snow and ice reflecting sunlight, meaning the earth will absorb more heat from the sun).
So what do you say? Will you take the bet? Is my proposition missing something?
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