Wuhan Coronavirus: Megathread - Got too big

[Pinot Pierrot]

Saw this...
View attachment 1114749

I smashed my hand so hard into my forehead I fell off my chair.

I’m probably more Chinese than I am Taiwanese. My family friends are all Chinese immigrants who have China to thank for being rich. I don’t hate my race.

I just think mainlanders and the CCP are a bunch of blithering idiots.

 

[Fatrick Hamlinson]

In reality, this map should be dark red all over, and the rest of China should be yellow.

World Health Organization is publishing situation reports.

Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV) situation reports

Situation reports – Situation reports provide the latest updates on the novel coronavirus outbreak. These include updated numbers of infected people and location, and actions that WHO and countries are taking to respond to the outbreak.

www.who.int

Worth reading. They appear to be coming out regularly.

Dr. Eric Feigl-Ding is an epidemiologist from Harvard. His reaction on Twitter was interesting...

Eric Feigl-Ding (@DrEricDing) | Twitter

The latest Tweets from Eric Feigl-Ding (@DrEricDing). Epidemiologist | Health Economist | Senior Fellow @FAScientists | PH scientist @Harvard | Harvard ‘07 J.Hopkins ‘04 | NYT-feat💊whistleblower | #COVID19 Updates. VA & Washington DC

twitter.com

But it looks like he's been shut down by other professionals claiming he's an alarmist. Dunno about that, R0 of 4 is pretty bad.

I really appreciate how many people are utilizing ArcGIS Online to create these maps.

I've attached a picture of the publicly-available layers people and organizations have created so far to share with the wider ArcGIS community. The purple squares that you can see indicate that airports from those regions are screening, while the orange ones are actively restricting travel. The red squares are blocking all travel. The red circles are showing confirmed cases (the larger they are, the more confirmed cases there are from those regions), and the orange circles indicate suspected cases (again, if they are larger circles, then there are more suspected cases). If I scroll over to Moscow, I can see four airports which have restricted travel. I can't see the one case of the coronavirus in Chicago, which means that the layer with the red and orange circles has not been completely updated yet.

If we ever get accurate information from China as to the number of deaths and infected, I plan to create a few layers as well. Learning how GIS is used in tandem with epidemiology (such as the case of cholera and John Snow in London during the mid-1800s) is really fascinating to me.

 

[Feline Supremacist]

Saw this...
View attachment 1114749

I smashed my hand so hard into my forehead I fell off my chair.

The people who push these ass backward beliefs are in charge of New York City. We are fucked until they die from openness and inclusivity so people with backbone willing to do whatever it takes to keep the virus from spreading take over.

 

[Vajze Shqiptare]

why are people even going to the hospitals? not only is that where the sick are congregating but there's no cure so why head there if you're not sure if you're infected? would be wiser to just take as much food and water as you can carry and run for the hills or barricade yourself in your apartment.

If you get really sick you might need to be intubated or on oxygen, need IV fluids, fever reducers, pain medication, monitoring, resuscitation, lung suctioning, etc.

 

[NIGGER ASS PEE POOPY RAPE]

anyone claiming to be inflicted by this "virus" is just as racist as those claiming to be allergic to MSG. all this is is anti-Chinese racists literally dying from a nocebo effect caused by their own racism, and that's a good thing.

 

[LazyLizard]

If you get really sick you might need to be intubated or on oxygen, need IV fluids, fever reducers, pain medication, monitoring, resuscitation, lung suctioning, etc.

seeing as there's no cure and your only other option is to lay in a hospital bed in agony having gallons of blood pumped out of your lungs every day it's probably better to just go jump of a building, it's quicker and less painful

 

[ZehnBoat]

Saw this...
View attachment 1114749

I smashed my hand so hard into my forehead I fell off my chair.

*people are dying*
B-b-but WYPIPOL

god, an asteroid could come barreling towards us and all these people would do is write about how WYPIPOL BE RACIST TO GIANT ROCK

 

[Randall Fragg]

Well, my time to shine.
Anyone who survives, come meet up in Vegas. It’s going to be a blast.

 

[HTTP Error 404]

Jack Posobiec on Twitter

“Chinese Government Forces TV Host Who Popularized Eating Bats to Apologize https://t.co/i5JAmsKCyN”

twitter.com

Jack Posobiec🇺🇸 on Twitter: "Chinese Government Forces TV Host Who …

archived 25 Jan 2020 16:36:00 UTC

archive.ph

Chinese Government Forces TV Host Who Popularized Eating Bats to Apologize

Bat soup is off the menu.

summit.news

Chinese Government Forces TV Host Who Popularized Eating Bats to Apol…

archived 25 Jan 2020 15:59:33 UTC

archive.ph

She's gonna die.

But to be fair, a lot of people will be joining her:

Jack Posobiec on Twitter

“3 months until Wuhan virus vaccine https://t.co/n1MwrIjwjJ”

twitter.com

Attention Required!

(As an aside, FUCK the Washington Post and their anti-archive bullshit.)

https://www.washingtonpost.com/science/2020/01/24/scientists-are-unraveling-chinese-coronavirus-with-unprecedented-speed-openness/

Scientists are unraveling the Chinese coronavirus with unprecedented …

archived 24 Jan 2020 21:52:52 UTC

archive.is

Hey guys remember how we were saying earlier if they shut down one of the really important cities then it's time to panic?

They just started prepwork to quarantine Beijing.

Richard Ker on Twitter

“#Beijing just declared a first level emergency response. All interstate transportation services going in and out of Beijing are suspended beginning tomorrow. #Wuhan #Beijing #CoronaVirus #CoronaOutbreak #CoronavirusOutbreak”

twitter.com

 

[Kaede Did Nothing Wrong]

Dr. Eric Feigl-Ding is an epidemiologist from Harvard. His reaction on Twitter was interesting...

Eric Feigl-Ding (@DrEricDing) | Twitter

The latest Tweets from Eric Feigl-Ding (@DrEricDing). Epidemiologist | Health Economist | Senior Fellow @FAScientists | PH scientist @Harvard | Harvard ‘07 J.Hopkins ‘04 | NYT-feat💊whistleblower | #COVID19 Updates. VA & Washington DC

twitter.com

But it looks like he's been shut down by other professionals claiming he's an alarmist. Dunno about that, R0 of 4 is pretty bad.

here's the paper he's talking about

Abstract
In December 2019, a novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) is thought to have emerged into the human population in Wuhan, China. The number of identified cases in Wuhan has increased rapidly since, and cases have been identified in other Chinese cities and other countries (as of 23 January 2020). We fitted a transmission model to reported case information up to 21 January to estimate key epidemiological measures, and to predict the possible course of the epidemic, as the potential impact of travel restrictions into and from Wuhan. We estimate the basic reproduction number of the infection (R_0) to be 3.8 (95% confidence interval, 3.6-4.0), indicating that 72-75% of transmissions must be prevented by control measures for infections to stop increasing. We estimate that only 5.1% (95%CI, 4.8-5.5) of infections in Wuhan are identified, and by 21 January a total of 11,341 people (prediction interval, 9,217-14,245) had been infected in Wuhan since the start of the year. Should the epidemic continue unabated in Wuhan, we predict the epidemic in Wuhan will be substantially larger by 4 February (191,529 infections; prediction interval, 132,751-273,649), infection will be established in other Chinese cities, and importations to other countries will be more frequent. Our model suggests that travel restrictions from and to Wuhan city are unlikely to be effective in halting transmission across China; with a 99% effective reduction in travel, the size of the epidemic outside of Wuhan may only be reduced by 24.9% on 4 February. Our findings are critically dependent on the assumptions underpinning our model, and the timing and reporting of confirmed cases, and there is considerable uncertainty associated with the outbreak at this early stage. With these caveats in mind, our work suggests that a basic reproductive number for this 2019-nCoV outbreak is higher compared to other emergent coronaviruses, suggesting that containment or control of this pathogen may be substantially more difficult.

the reproductive coefficient is the expected number of secondary cases produced by a single typical infection in a completely susceptible population. if the new coronavirus is estimated to be 3.8 2.6, here are some other high scores

if carriers really are contagious before showing any symptoms, and it's already confirmed to be in the US and Europe, then I guess we should know fairly soon if it's a big one

edit- added revised report which lowered estimated R0 to 2.6. It still gives a difficult forecast for containment efforts.

 

[Rotollo]

Jack Posobiec on Twitter

“Chinese Government Forces TV Host Who Popularized Eating Bats to Apologize https://t.co/i5JAmsKCyN”

twitter.com

Jack Posobiec🇺🇸 on Twitter: "Chinese Government Forces TV Host Who …

archived 25 Jan 2020 16:36:00 UTC

archive.ph

Chinese Government Forces TV Host Who Popularized Eating Bats to Apologize

Bat soup is off the menu.

summit.news

Chinese Government Forces TV Host Who Popularized Eating Bats to Apol…

archived 25 Jan 2020 15:59:33 UTC

archive.ph

View attachment 1114767

She's gonna die.

But to be fair, a lot of people will be joining her:

I wonder how much of this is due to the fact people will die from bat soup, or the fact the internet is raking china over the coals for their, lets just say Unique delicacies

 

[Sophia_orr]

Saw this...
View attachment 1114749

I smashed my hand so hard into my forehead I fell off my chair.

I was just waiting for the moment an article like that would come out, and I'm both disappointed and smug that I was right that it would happen. Mainly Disappointed

As Zehnboat put it, the world could be very well ending and they would likely still find a way to go "R-R-RACISM!"

Edit: And even if it turns out to be fake. the mere fact that it's believable is depressing.

 

[XYZpdq]

Yeah I think as there's cases outside of China we'll get a real idea about anything.
Before the party disincentivized reporting it, so they didn't report it. Now the party wants to hear about it so you damn well bet every form filled out says it's a hundred types of death at once.

 

[HTTP Error 404]

Richard Ker on Twitter

“The Central Government of China is taking over Wuhan’s administration due to lack of transparency, efficiency and action #coronavirus #CoronaOutbreak”

twitter.com

Richard Ker on Twitter: "The Central Government of China is taking ov…

archived 25 Jan 2020 16:49:46 UTC

archive.ph

The CCP is displacing Wuhan's local administration.



This, combined with Beijing under partial quarantine (to be extended to full next week once all the politicans and elites have had a chance to flee), means this is an official Happening, eh?

 

[General Disarray]

I was just waiting for the moment an article like that would come out, and I'm both disappointed and smug that I was right that it would happen. Mainly Disappointed

As Zehnboat put it, the world could be very well ending and they would likely still find a way to go "R-R-RACISM!"

I don't have a way to bypass NYT firewalls to check if it's real. I suspect not just because of irregular capitalization.
However, that's not to say that once it gets out of hand in the US, that will be how immigration restriction will be presented.

 

[Homersexual]

I don't have a way to bypass NYT firewalls to check if it's real. I suspect not just because of irregular capitalization.
However, that's not to say that once it gets out of hand in the US, that will be how immigration restriction will be presented.

I tried searching for it but can't find anything. I want to be proven wrong, for hilarity's sake.

 

[HTTP Error 404]

They've quarantined several megacities, largest quarantine in history
They've mobilized the military
They've flown in virus specialists
They've tore up the roads going in and out of ground zero and put up barriers
They've displaced the local government (Meaning they've stopped trying to pretend things are going well)
They've prepared Beijing for quarantine (22 million people)
And Xi has flat out said it's worse than they previously stated/thought (Meaning he's giving up trying to save face)

JUST A FLU GUYS
Shove some Traditional Chinese Ginger root medicine up your asshole and sleep it off
CHINA NUMBAH ONE

Look at all those people fleeing Beijing while they can.

Because that's what you want to see when you're worried about a pandemic
Mass exodus


(What odds do we have on "Wuhan local government blamed for everything and publicly killed by the end of the year?")

 

[FlightOfTheBumbleBee]

Steve bannon is now doing a podcast about this virus, called War Room: Pandemic and they had a guest who claims that this is China's Chernobyl and this is the biggest thing in China since Tienanmen square.

War Room: Pandemic EP…1

Daily Podcast of Steve Bannon's War Room: Impeachment - Seven days a week at 9am ET until the acquittal of President Donald Trump. Tune in at WarRoom.org, Yo...

www.youtube.com

I'll listen to this every day, it's very good just like his Impeachment podcast.

 

[The Crow]

Why does shit like this always happen in communist countries, and almost always exclusively communist countries?

 

[Mr. A. L. Mao]

Pretty spooky edit

My picks for the "Dying of Super Plague" playlist: