How sudden have the statewide complete business shutdowns been? Were they incrementally tightened to that point, or was it a very sudden 0 to 100 kind of deal?
In NY it's been pretty incremental. Every day or two Cuomo ups the percentage of people working from home...goes from a suggested percentage to a mandatory/new suggested percentage, and the next day yesterday's suggested is now mandatory. He closes a new swath of businesses each day.
We're currently at:
-mandatory 75% must work from home, 100% work from home suggested
-bars, theaters, gyms, casinos closed
-indoor sections of malls closed (anchors/stores with outside entrances can remain open, though most already closed)
-restaurants open for takeout/delivery only
-highly suggested that all non essential businesses close
He also does this haphazardly, by announcing it at press conferences or on his twitter. He is supposedly signing executive orders, but I can't find the text of them anywhere. He announces it without details, the press reports it and interprets it as they see fit, and then he informs the state workers who execute it.
My hot take is that he has been planning for a total shutdown of non essential business and a shelter in place for over a week, but has wanted to do it in increments so as to stop panic. I think tomorrow he will pull the trigger on that and by Monday at the latest the state will be shut down.
Whether that translates to cops pulling you over for driving and asking for papers please or you getting stopped going for a walk I dunno. But I think at least everything will be closed but grocery, banks, post offices, hospitals/clinics and drugstores.