Nope. Strangely.
We have no models for how this will go or help from the federal government. Or the state government (thanks DeSantis.)
Well... There are no
publicly available models. There's no doubt that in the back rooms, Trump and the CDC and the like have all ran the numbers. And those numbers probably look really fucking bad.
The thing is, if he comes out and says "best case scenario, 2-5% of the US dies. Now stay at home so it doesn't hit 25%" then shit collapses instantly.
If he comes out and says "It's not going to be 15 days, it's going to be 6 months of this." Things fall apart instantly.
I imagine he's probably going to say at the end of the 15 days, i.e., March 31stish, something like "we've made great progress, we have some things we're testing, We're Americans, we're gonna beat this. Please continue to stay home as much as possible while we test these new drugs, and we'll re-evaluate April 14th."
I suspect that's the plan. Get us used to sheltering in place, then once we're used to it, loosen things up a little bit with instructions to keep doing it as much as possible -- "Stay home unless you absolutely have to go out" -- and some localized lockdowns. It'll still be status quo for what we have now, but the terminology will change.
But you're already seeing the NeoCons turn on him, as they don't give a shit about the coof, they care that the economy is cratering. Yeah, sending everyone back to work will get the GDP back up... for a few months, until everyone is at home coofing to death. Fuck the plebs, we have stock portfolios that are suffering!
Thank god Pelosi showed up to be a big fat drunken aunt and painted a huge bullseye on her back, eh?