1. This is the most likely outcome in all honesty unless Sony does something to truly wow the public and win back some goodwill.
The PS5 will likely be a retread of the PS3 launch unless the rumors of full total backwards compatibility with all previous consoles are true and Sony goes above and beyond to make up for their recent fuckups like the censorship policy or the ongoing trainwreck that is Last of Us 2: Ryona Boogaloo.
2. This could happen, but not as likely as the first scenario simply because the failure of the Wii U was partly due to issues unique to Nintendo.
3. Highly doubt it, even in this shitty day and age. If anything, I think Microsoft will be the first of the big three to drop out since Windows alone gives then more "Fuck You!" money than Sony and Nintendo's entire assets combined. At this point, Xbox is an afterthought for Microsoft more than anything.
PC gaming could be good, but it's also prohibitively expensive for most people who want to play newer games. A console is expensive, but not to the same degree as buying a gaming PC or even building one in some cases, and the upgrades aren't as constant in console gaming than with PC gaming.
I think Sony consoles are here to stay for the immediate future unless we get a major fuckup that makes Last of Us 2 look like the second coming of Pac-Man in terms of its unpopularity and alienation of the customer base.
as an Xbox FanBoi I'm gonna speak on behalf of my #XBL4Lyfe team:
1. Microsoft has gone down the same woke path of Sony, they are late to the game but they are making up for it (See GoW5). I fully expect the same shit tier of ugly troons in my games for the next gaming cycle.
2. Xbox Series X will hit number 2 and stay there the entire time, Nintendo will be number 1 as the big N gives no fucks about IdPol
3. MS is committed heart and soul to shoving the Xbox into your house, being your PC, your center of entertainment and a branching off point for everything you do. This is their goal, this is why they hand an HDMI In/Out and the Kinect to make the Xbox your entertainment hub. MS spent BILLIONS securing enough CPU's from AMD to cover this gaming system for it's life cycle (3yrs).
4. MS is buying studios left, right, and center so they can compete. You don't do that if you are going to leave the market and surrender $$$ made (Xbox is turning a slight profit) to Sony/Nintendo. MS is new to this and they've fucked up Rare and the GoW studios already, expect more crashes and burns of MS First party studios except Ninja Theory as they print money.
I'm now going to wait for the Xbox to go through the same shitty cycle that Sony just went through and expect the same result: Shitty IdPol, AgiProp games, with ugly people that I can't relate to, that suck balls and i'll get all these garbage tier games for free and never play them (Gaming Pass), the hardware will be great, the multiplayer will be great and I can play the same games as those on PS5/Switch but with better supported backend services.
all in all a big MEH for the Xbox future.
I miss mass effect 1 and 2.