U.S. Riots of May 2020 over George Floyd and others - ITT: a bunch of faggots butthurt about worthless internet stickers

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deeplyhigh said:
All of those older HBO series deserve the praise and standing they have for changing the face of television. OZ, Sopranos, The Wire...classics.

A local news station managed to get some of the Powderhorn residents who are refusing to call police on camera. They look exactly how you would expect.
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I want to rob these two women just to get free
deeplyhigh said:
Keith Ellison/the prosecution was originally denying access to the footage to the police union, even though their contract stipulates they must see any footage involving their officers. MN law is also clear that the officers involved are allowed to request and publicize the footage (which is non-public/private to others while an investigation is ongoing) so Ellison was already doing things outside of the law. Putting on my tinfoil hat, Ellison may have said to the defense attorneys that they were only getting the footage if they agreed to not release it to the public.

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It’s not hard to put together what happened between the video of Floyd prior to being laid on the ground and the transcript from Lane’s body camera though.
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Keith Ellison is a dumb fucking nigger who beats his wives and I hate him
 
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A FAT MAN..... AND A PLAGUE DOCTOR.
 
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Harvey Danger said:
I like whitepills as much as the next guy, but I don't trust that polling. Here's Rasmussen, who also has a pro-GOP bias but whose methodology I trust more.
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And that approval/disapproval shows up in the election tracking polls too.
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twitter / article

I don't want to ramble off-topic about polls, the 2020 election thread is the proper place to dissect them. The point is, on election day, there is a huge swath of people who vote based on how they are generally feeling. Do they generally think things are going well? Badly? Feel unsafe? Feel optimistic? Etc.

The economy is traditionally the big indicator here--if people are generally optimistic about the economy, they re-elect the incumbent party; if they are pessimistic, they vote against them, no matter whose fault it is. And the US economy is in an incredibly bad spot.

Then you have the one-offs that skew votes, like Lehman Brothers collapsing in 2008 and Hurricane Sandy in 2012. Events like that swing important margins of voters, based on nothing more than a candidate's single reaction (McCain suspending his campaign to sit in meetings and do nothing, Obama flying to NJ to shake hands with Chris Christie). Arguably this might have already happened--in Kanye West's interview talking about his decision to run for President, he cites Trump "hiding" in his bunker as a reason he doesn't back Trump any more.

Independents with no party loyalty are the ones susceptible to sentiment voting. Trump and Biden also have their base who won't switch sides, but they need them to get out and vote. We're going into an election where paranoia about public meeting spaces is at its height, and the reasons to dislike your candidate are also high. Those reasons can turn into excuses not to vote.

Between now and election day, if Trump's base feels demoralized, or BLM comes up with some radical new stunt and Trump doesn't respond well, he could lose their support and lose the thin margins he won with in 2016. He needs them to feel he has their back, even if he can manage it without actually doing anything. Trump needs them to feel he is personally needed, badly, enough to risk Cancel Culture and Corona Virus to go vote.

With all the voting by mail that will be happening, he doesn't have that much time to make people feel secure again.
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Why do you trust polls?
 
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heathercho said:
Why do you trust polls?
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Polls if done correctly (i.e. survery across landlanes, cellphones, internet, assuming its a general population poll) and with enough people (I forget the exact percent) and with neutral wording, can be quite accurate. But because methodology isn't disclosed in news reports they can be quite misleading. Example Michigan Democrate polls that predicted Hillary over Bernie in the primaries in 2016, it was only done via landline (IIRC Michigan has some law about it) so boomers and older mostly were polled.
 
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Harvey Danger said:
I like whitepills as much as the next guy, but I don't trust that polling. Here's Rasmussen, who also has a pro-GOP bias but whose methodology I trust more.
View attachment 1437061
article

And that approval/disapproval shows up in the election tracking polls too.
View attachment 1437058View attachment 1437059
twitter / article

I don't want to ramble off-topic about polls, the 2020 election thread is the proper place to dissect them. The point is, on election day, there is a huge swath of people who vote based on how they are generally feeling. Do they generally think things are going well? Badly? Feel unsafe? Feel optimistic? Etc.

The economy is traditionally the big indicator here--if people are generally optimistic about the economy, they re-elect the incumbent party; if they are pessimistic, they vote against them, no matter whose fault it is. And the US economy is in an incredibly bad spot.

Then you have the one-offs that skew votes, like Lehman Brothers collapsing in 2008 and Hurricane Sandy in 2012. Events like that swing important margins of voters, based on nothing more than a candidate's single reaction (McCain suspending his campaign to sit in meetings and do nothing, Obama flying to NJ to shake hands with Chris Christie). Arguably this might have already happened--in Kanye West's interview talking about his decision to run for President, he cites Trump "hiding" in his bunker as a reason he doesn't back Trump any more.

Independents with no party loyalty are the ones susceptible to sentiment voting. Trump and Biden also have their base who won't switch sides, but they need them to get out and vote. We're going into an election where paranoia about public meeting spaces is at its height, and the reasons to dislike your candidate are also high. Those reasons can turn into excuses not to vote.

Between now and election day, if Trump's base feels demoralized, or BLM comes up with some radical new stunt and Trump doesn't respond well, he could lose their support and lose the thin margins he won with in 2016. He needs them to feel he has their back, even if he can manage it without actually doing anything. Trump needs them to feel he is personally needed, badly, enough to risk Cancel Culture and Corona Virus to go vote.

With all the voting by mail that will be happening, he doesn't have that much time to make people feel secure again.
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approval doesnt equal "will vote for biden" clinton and trump iirc were both polled as the least popular candidates ever, also they sampled about a thousand people and have been criticized for its inaccuracy and methods. it is an issue for trump still though since he wins normies by being the second worst choice at best

edit also apparently portland schools have burned books before:

cascadepolicy.org/environment/portland-schools-schedule-book-burning-party/

theguardian.com/books/2016/jun/06/portland-schools-ban-on-books-questioning-climate-change-national-coalition-against-censorship-ncac
 
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Particle Bored said:
Did you see them actually throw books in there? Because those look like pizza boxes next to the fire. Did anyone save a clip?
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There were books and trash.

Also shit just went down, they surrounded a white car then the white car shot something at them.

happned too fast for screens.
 
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stupidpieceofshit said:
Polls if done correctly (i.e. survery across landlanes, cellphones, internet, assuming its a general population poll) and with enough people (I forget the exact percent) and with neutral wording, can be quite accurate. But because methodology isn't disclosed in news reports they can be quite misleading. Example Michigan Democrate polls that predicted Hillary over Bernie in the primaries in 2016, it was only done via landline (IIRC Michigan has some law about it) so boomers and older mostly were polled.
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There's very few polling companies that aren't politically compromised, not to mention the way they aggregate data is lol.

I can't believe I'm linking Styx, but here you go.
 
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