They should've just had a question saying "what do you think 2 + 2 equals"
2020 U.S. Presidential Election - Took place November 3, 2020. Former U.S. Vice President Joe Biden assumed office January 20, 2021.
- Thread starter Pickle Dick
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- Jan 19, 2020
MrJokerRager
kiwifarms.net
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- Nov 2, 2019
Looking at their document. This was a phone call poll.
237 calls by landline
867 calls by cellphone
Looking at the breakdown, its basically either you with him or hate him. His strongly approval rate is lower than his strongly disapproval rate. So basically democrats have forced people towards him it looks like and he needs to convince the 10 percent that somewhat disapprove of him to join him.
Supreme Court's approval rating has gone up lol.
Also Biden's supporters want him to win harder than Trump's lol.
Half the people for both candidate's wont change their minds over what either candidate does.
For the mental soundness question more people don't know about Biden's mental state compared to Trump's.
More people are in favor of confederate monuments taken down than before.
About 15 percent think the founders are bad people compared to 63 percent that they were heros.
The breakdown of voters:
46% Democrat
42% Republican
12% Independent
40% were strong democrat
36% were strong republican
So 36% of these 1000 randos polled are registered Republican voters.
It was conducted with live interviewers from this companies known as Beacon Research and Shaw & Company Research.
237 calls by landline
867 calls by cellphone
Looking at the breakdown, its basically either you with him or hate him. His strongly approval rate is lower than his strongly disapproval rate. So basically democrats have forced people towards him it looks like and he needs to convince the 10 percent that somewhat disapprove of him to join him.
Supreme Court's approval rating has gone up lol.
Also Biden's supporters want him to win harder than Trump's lol.
Half the people for both candidate's wont change their minds over what either candidate does.
For the mental soundness question more people don't know about Biden's mental state compared to Trump's.
More people are in favor of confederate monuments taken down than before.
About 15 percent think the founders are bad people compared to 63 percent that they were heros.
The breakdown of voters:
46% Democrat
42% Republican
12% Independent
40% were strong democrat
36% were strong republican
So 36% of these 1000 randos polled are registered Republican voters.
It was conducted with live interviewers from this companies known as Beacon Research and Shaw & Company Research.
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- Jun 29, 2019
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- Aug 16, 2018
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- Jan 15, 2019
Alright, how many people did that YouGov poll take into account?
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- Aug 16, 2018
That’s by far the biggest flaw in these polls. They don’t say how many, what method(s), or where from. I wouldn’t be surprised if YouGov oversampled as well. If there’s anything I learned from 2016, it’s to not trust polls.
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- Aug 29, 2018
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- Jan 15, 2019
I can't believe this has to be a thing to argue about.
Why do we always have to choose old ass motherfuckers to be the rulers of the free world?
- Joined
- Aug 16, 2018
Few reasons:
- Money (you usually need lots of money to even run for President and being older helps that)
- Experience (people are more likely to put faith in a president that’s at least early fifties than a thirty-five year old, even though thirty-five is the minimum age for President)
- Influence (someone that’s had more time on this earth has a higher chance of gaining more influence over time and become more well known)
- Overall interest (the people wanting to be President could just happen to be older. Being President is a thankless job most of the time)
MrJokerRager
kiwifarms.net
- Joined
- Nov 2, 2019
Since I don't belong to any of those racial groups, FUCK NIGGERS, FUCK SELF HATING CRACKAS and FUCK BEANERS.
Here is the interview he did today.
A very good fanmade campaign commercial.
Some campaign commericals with his Barbie in it.
Sopressata
kiwifarms.net
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- Jul 7, 2020
I was a dumbass in 2016 who was upset when Trump won. I awoke from my idiocy a year and a 1/2 into it. I seriously hope these nitwits are just as stunned and devastated as I was the first time around and Trump wins even bigger than before. Polls are notoriously inaccurate. There is a professor at a university in LI who has a prediction model that has been accurate every time he has used it and even for past elections. This is one article I found about it
“Despite recent polls that identify Joe Biden as the heavy favorite in 2020, a political science professor is still standing by his prediction model that shows President Trump having a "91 percent" chance of winning in November.
Mediaite reported on Wednesday that Stony Brook professor Helmut Norpoth is doubling down on his "Primary Model,” which has correctly predicted five out of the past six elections since 1996 and every single election but two in the past 108 years.
The Primary Model gives Trump a 91 percent chance of winning in November,” Norpoth said. "This model gets it right for 25 of the 27 elections since 1912, when primaries were introduced."
As Mediaite noted, the two elections the model failed to predict were the 1960 election of John F. Kennedy and the 2000 election of George W. Bush.
Norpoth's model examines the results of presidential primaries as the strongest indicator as to the outcome in the general election, not the polls that dominate the political discussion. According to Norpoth, Biden is in a much weaker position than Trump because of his poor showing in the first two primary races.
Before making the stunning comeback in the South Carolina primary and carrying the following races, Biden came in fourth place in Iowa with just 15.8 percent of the vote and came in fifth place in New Hampshire with just 8.4 percent. Norpoth stressed that enthusiasm is key.
“The terrain of presidential contests is littered with nominees who saw a poll lead in the spring turn to dust in the fall,” Norpoth told Mediaite. “The list is long and discouraging for early frontrunners. Beginning with Thomas Dewey in 1948, it spans such notables as Richard Nixon in 1960, Jimmy Carter in 1980, Michael Dukakis in 1988, George H.W. Bush in 1992, and John Kerry in 2004, to cite just the most spectacular cases."
Norpoth's model, which correctly predicted Trump's victory roughly nine months before the 2016 election, suggests that the president will win by even a wider margin in the electoral college with 362 electoral votes versus the 304 he earned against Hillary Clinton. Mediaite pointed out such a victory would nearly match Barack Obama's 2008 election, when he earned 365 electoral votes.
The Stony Brook professor appeared on "The Ingraham Angle" back in May making the same prediction.
While the "Primary Model" hands Trump his reelection, national polls suggest Biden will win handily in November. The Real Clear Politics average shows the former VP besting the sitting president by 8.7 points. In the latest Fox News poll, Biden has a 12 point lead over Trump.
The president's polling has taken quite the hit in recent months amid the coronavirus outbreak and increased racial tensions following the death of George Floyd.”
“Despite recent polls that identify Joe Biden as the heavy favorite in 2020, a political science professor is still standing by his prediction model that shows President Trump having a "91 percent" chance of winning in November.
Mediaite reported on Wednesday that Stony Brook professor Helmut Norpoth is doubling down on his "Primary Model,” which has correctly predicted five out of the past six elections since 1996 and every single election but two in the past 108 years.
The Primary Model gives Trump a 91 percent chance of winning in November,” Norpoth said. "This model gets it right for 25 of the 27 elections since 1912, when primaries were introduced."
As Mediaite noted, the two elections the model failed to predict were the 1960 election of John F. Kennedy and the 2000 election of George W. Bush.
Norpoth's model examines the results of presidential primaries as the strongest indicator as to the outcome in the general election, not the polls that dominate the political discussion. According to Norpoth, Biden is in a much weaker position than Trump because of his poor showing in the first two primary races.
Before making the stunning comeback in the South Carolina primary and carrying the following races, Biden came in fourth place in Iowa with just 15.8 percent of the vote and came in fifth place in New Hampshire with just 8.4 percent. Norpoth stressed that enthusiasm is key.
“The terrain of presidential contests is littered with nominees who saw a poll lead in the spring turn to dust in the fall,” Norpoth told Mediaite. “The list is long and discouraging for early frontrunners. Beginning with Thomas Dewey in 1948, it spans such notables as Richard Nixon in 1960, Jimmy Carter in 1980, Michael Dukakis in 1988, George H.W. Bush in 1992, and John Kerry in 2004, to cite just the most spectacular cases."
Norpoth's model, which correctly predicted Trump's victory roughly nine months before the 2016 election, suggests that the president will win by even a wider margin in the electoral college with 362 electoral votes versus the 304 he earned against Hillary Clinton. Mediaite pointed out such a victory would nearly match Barack Obama's 2008 election, when he earned 365 electoral votes.
The Stony Brook professor appeared on "The Ingraham Angle" back in May making the same prediction.
While the "Primary Model" hands Trump his reelection, national polls suggest Biden will win handily in November. The Real Clear Politics average shows the former VP besting the sitting president by 8.7 points. In the latest Fox News poll, Biden has a 12 point lead over Trump.
The president's polling has taken quite the hit in recent months amid the coronavirus outbreak and increased racial tensions following the death of George Floyd.”
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- Apr 16, 2019
But we haven't always... Here's the exhaustive list of Presidents who were 65+ when they took office: William Henry Harrison (68 ), James Buchanan (65), Ronald Reagan (69), Donald Trump (70)... end of list. That's it. That's all of them.
We elect a 70 year old once and all of a sudden it's a systemic problem?
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- Apr 16, 2019
So you're declaring a problem based on a sample size of one?
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- Jan 15, 2019
I'm declaring a problem in that a lot of the people who ran for the Dems are old fucks and their nominee is a senile old fuck and the president is an old fuck too joking about cognitive ability tests and how Biden can't take one when it really shouldn't be a focus.
- Joined
- Apr 16, 2019
Well, the original post said choose to be leader of the free world. That, to me, means elected President. The Dems in the primary have not been chosen to be the leaders of the free world, so I didn't think they were being referred to.
But since y'all bring it up, I attribute that to the fact the Democratic Party has been so hollowed out for so long there is no longer any young political talent to be found in that party. I don't consider that a systemic problem, I consider that a Democrat problem.
The 2024 GOP field will not have that problem. Pence, Cruz, Haley, Scott (FL), Scott (SC), DeSantis, Noem, Hawley, Cotton, Trump Jr, etc will almost all be in their 40s and 50s.
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- Jun 14, 2018
History only began 40 minutes ago, don't you know?
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