2020 U.S. Presidential Election - Took place November 3, 2020. Former U.S. Vice President Joe Biden assumed office January 20, 2021.

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This is all GEOTUS's year to lose.

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Okay, fun little game to play.

If Trump was a Super Robot or some shit like that, which theme song would he have?

I'd vote a Eurobeat version of the American Anthem tbh; fits the hype that's building around him.
 
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The Pink Panther said:
Wow.

This was the worst fucking night for YT ratings. I'm impressed. The final night is usually the rope.
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Basically the only reason Day 3 was decent was because of Obama. Otherwise it was going on a downward trend. These ratings are taken after the convention ends before YouTube has a chance to fuck hard with the likes and dislikes.

Day 1

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Day 2

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Day 3

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Day 4

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Also, coming off of watching Seinfeld the full way through, it was a tough battle seeing Julia Louis Dreyfus hosts tonight's fuckshow without Larry David's writing on her side to boost her up. So all we had was stale TDS ORANGE MAN BAD jokes on her side and it was depressing.

Hell, even Larry David made better Tramp jokes in the form of saying that using the hat is a great way to make people feel uncomfortable, which even if the intention of the joke is to kowtow to left's whole thing about Tramp being a monster, it has wider appeal because the understanding of Tramp being somewhat of a controversial figure that can turn off certain people.
 
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A lot of hot takes about how the right shouldn't have lowered the bar about Biden's condition so much because now he cleared it easily.

First off, do they really think we shouldn't have pointed out the obvious?

And second, they don't seem to get that there's levels of difficulty.
1. Scripted Speech <-- Biden is here
2. Friendly Interview
3. Hostile Interview
4. Debate

Congrats, Biden made it to level 1. Dude couldn't even make it to level 2 and get through an interview with Cardi B earlier this week.

They probably woke him up an hour before going on air so the meds wouldn't wear off before he finished. He's probably already back in bed now.
 
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Harvey Danger said:
My biggest concern is that American voters overwhelmingly vote on how they see the economy going, and it's currently in the shitter.

You can give all the usual explanations, like "it's China's fault, Trump didn't shut down cities the governors did, nothing anyone could do", etc. But they don't matter; it's a question of how the electorate feels about the economy, and if it's negative it automatically goes against the incumbent.

I wish Trump had another 1-2 months to let the bounce back be fully felt. I still think he was planning for a "grand re-opening of America for business" style campaign at the Republican convention, but had to cancel, and thus lost his best pitch for re-election.

If everyone is still depressed about the economy by the end of October, the Rust Belt states are easily in play.
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This is why I, unfortunately, think Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Michigan will vote blue again and why possible predictions of New York becoming redder are optimistic. I still think Ohio and Iowa will go to Trump no matter what, but I also think their days of being swing states are over.

That means in order for Trump to win, he has to keep every other state he won in 2016 and figure out how to take Minnesota. While I think North Carolina, Georgia, and the 2nd congressional district of Maine and Nebraska will likely go to Trump, Arizona and Florida are much dicier. I have said this before, but Trump needs to put everything he can into winning Arizona, Florida, and Minnesota and hope that an unfaithful electorate doesn't decide to let the House of Representative pick Biden Harris anyway. I also think Trump has a shot of taking Nevada if he can narrow Biden's lead there (but it has also been forever since we last had a poll), but it will only be useful for deal with the potential problem of unfaithful electorates.

I don't think anyone has realized that if the electoral vote is close enough that unfaithful electorates could decide who the next president is, and that is a scary thought.
 
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IMO Trump should have just livestreamed a reaction video to the final DNC night with Hannity/Tucker, which would have just been them drinking cold drinks and lobbing cheap potshots, bad jokes, and quips at Biden and the DNC.

Would have easily cleared a million views in the first day or so, easy. And the boomers and blue-collars would love them for that.

Someone Awful said:
This is why I, unfortunately, think Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Michigan will vote blue again and why possible predictions of New York becoming redder are optimistic. I still think Ohio and Iowa will go to Trump no matter what, but I also think their days of being swing states are over.

That means in order for Trump to win, he has to keep every other state he won in 2016 and figure out how to take Minnesota. While I think North Carolina, Georgia, and the 2nd congressional district of Maine and Nebraska will likely go to Trump, Arizona and Florida are much dicier. I have said this before, but Trump needs to put everything he can into winning Arizona, Florida, and Minnesota and hope that an unfaithful electorate doesn't decide to let the House of Representative pick Biden Harris anyway. I also think Trump has a shot of taking Nevada if he can narrow Biden's lead there (but it has also been forever since we last had a poll), but it will only be useful for deal with the potential problem of unfaithful electorates.

I don't think anyone has realized that if the electoral vote is close enough that unfaithful electorates could decide who the next president is, and that is a scary thought.
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Florida, Ohio and Iowa are relatively safe IMO. Trump might be able to get Minnesota if he plays the right cards, but I still think it leans blue.

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The Rust Belt and NC/Georgia is where attention needs to be paid. Arizona, maybe, but it's likely a harder uphill battle especially with McSally.

Important note is to see where the candidates spend their time (also keep an eye out for state polls, national ones are useless at this point):
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UselessIdiot said:
Nah, I don't think Arizona is going blue this year. Latinos aren't going to come out en masse for Biden and Kamala. They preferred Bernie in the primaries and they vote at a low rate to begin with.
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Try to get a million first-generation, broke-ass dishwashers to take a shift off work to vote for Biden or Trump. not happening.

Sanders at least drew them to political action. They've got relatives in the Trump/Obama cages, they're not going to turn out for this round. AZ will probably be red.

edit to add; I wouldn't be so sure about Iowa. Most jobs there are packing plants, farming. That derecho wiped them the fuck out, after two years of economic battering from Trump (or that they perceive as from him) and they're not pleased.
 
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Harvey Danger said:
Worth noting, 2016 had the highest number of faithless electors since 1896.

View attachment 1535969

(Read the main article for some really wild episodes in our nation's electoral history. The EC is there for a reason, even if incremental laws try to keep "fixing" the problems it solves.)
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That's the unsung story of 2016 and honestly one of my biggest concerns for 2020. We're starting to see traditions of 200+ years getting disrespected over partisan bullshit, and they're traditions that have way more impact than people give them credit for. Colin Powell having more votes in the only election that matters than 3+ candidates who made the ballot in all 50 states is just the initial ripple of institutional instability, and that is ripe for being furthered by whatever butthurt children become electors this cycle as well.
 
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cuddle striker said:
Try to get a million first-generation, broke-ass dishwashers to take a shift off work to vote for Biden or Trump. not happening.

Sanders at least drew them to political action. They've got relatives in the Trump/Obama cages, they're not going to turn out for this round. AZ will probably be red.

edit to add; I wouldn't be so sure about Iowa. Most jobs there are packing plants, farming. That derecho wiped them the fuck out, after two years of economic battering from Trump (or that they perceive as from him) and they're not pleased.
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The key to Iowa is probably to keep getting the Chinese to keep buying corn/soybeans (surreptitiously happening after their major floods), and to dump subsidies and disaster relief on the state.

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Edit: Trump damage control:
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www.agriculture.com

Trump visits derecho-hit Iowa, talks about China

President Trump spoke of large corn exports booked for delivery to China while assuring Iowans of “the full support of the federal government” in recovering from a derecho in a Tuesday visit.
www.agriculture.com www.agriculture.com
 
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jje100010001 said:
The key to Iowa is probably to keep getting the Chinese to keep buying corn/soybeans (surreptitiously after their major floods), and to dump subsidies and disaster relief on the state.
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Most assuredly true. problem is, Iowa just lost a third of their crops of exactly those items and there's no disaster relief arriving. If they've got nothing to sell to China, they go under even if the demand is there.

That thing was destructive as fuck, you can see the damage from the space station with the naked eye.

Keep in mind: those were the crops that would be getting harvested in September through November.

edit: yes, he went there to talk, but they've been screwed his entire term and he's not acting. just talking about acting.
October will be when the banks take the farms.
He can't create enough funds to fix that.
 
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