2020 U.S. Presidential Election - Took place November 3, 2020. Former U.S. Vice President Joe Biden assumed office January 20, 2021.

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RedStorm said:
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Democrats have a lockdown on the mentally ill & physically ill voter
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What does not voting for Democrats have to do with fearing black people? Maybe Democratic policies and politicians just suck? Maybe healthcare would be more affordable if you and your party didn't support open borders and leftist shit like normalizing and celebrating obesity?

No, it's all about black people. Everything always is!
 
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GuntPunt said:
Just wondering, what are the repercussions on Trump defending Kyle would lead to? Does anyone think they can flip the narrative based on that? They are definitely going to try.
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Since the new strategy seems to be "blame the riots on Trump" they'll say he's defending the kid out of guilt because Trump's inaction put him in that situation. Yeah it's easily proven false bullshit, but so was Russia and the "good people on both sides" b.s. people still parrot to this day.

Trump just has to keep pushing the FACT that he reached out to all of these cities with a helping hand and was met with a middle finger in return.
 
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Kane Lives said:
Why do these liberals opt for the fucking shittiest hyperbole every time their "team" doesn't win? Neck yourself already and spare me the whinging. If your health care were already shit maybe you should reconsidering who runs your local/state government to begin with.
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Because the left has been running on 100% pure undiluted emotion for ~6 years now, with the radical left running on pure feeeeeeeeeeeels for longer than that. They've also been feeding their supporters a steady diet of fear and rage.

It's great if you need to keep people ready and willing to riot on command. It's not so great if you need them to STOP rioting on command.
 
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GuntPunt said:
Just wondering, what are the repercussions on Trump defending Kyle would lead to? Does anyone think they can flip the narrative based on that? They are definitely going to try.

Also, my nigga Peoples Pundit and Barnes Law did a podcast today where they talked about the very minute details of the race and how things stack up and why the polling is fucked. Also includes shitting on Nate Silver. Could share some highlights if people are interested and discuss (since this supposed to be more thoughtful than just shitposting).
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I can't believe Nate Silver still has a job at this point. He was confident that the numbers favored Hillary and got reamed when Trump won. He calls the election wrong again (especially if it's a Trump victory) he's toast.

On that note, I'll still treasure my picture of Nate Silver pre-election looking smug and post-election looking like he was drinking heavily.

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HTTP Error 404 said:
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Also, Biden is now literally within Margin of Error on Trump.
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I've never seen someone blow a lead like Biden. Covid and Floyd nearly finished Trump (he admits to the former, iirc). I swear the Dems have set him up to be worse than McGovern and Mondale, but he'll do better because "Not Trump" and candidate with a (D) next to his name.
 
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Can anyone remember the last time the Dems did something that didn't backfire on them?

Coronavirus will end up being a net negative for them. If for no other reason than it artificially extended Biden's candidacy. The fact that he can't even do speeches off teleprompter anymore should have been reckoned with months ago. But they didn't have to and now the cost, whatever they do is astronomical.

Don't even get me started on their support of BLM and the protests.
 
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CrippleThreat said:
I've never seen someone blow a lead like Biden. Covid and Floyd nearly finished Trump (he admits to the former, iirc). I swear the Dems have set him up to be worse than McGovern and Mondale, but he'll do better because "Not Trump" and candidate with a (D) next to his name.
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Was that really a lead though ? Polls are polls, no more, no less.

I doubt Covid or Floyd changed anything to the current political landscape. The medias sure love to make noises around those happening, but at the end of the day, your regular joe will still vote right or left, like he's been doing for years. Voting inertia is a real thing. You don't go full 180° on voting because of one or two happenings.

If anything, on a strict political pov, Covid is good for Trump because of his anti-China stances (that the media mocked him for).

I was quite unsure about Trump reelection because of his old age, but Biden is around the same. People don't dislike Biden as much as they hated Hilary, so it was still up in the air for me.

The recent protests though ? That's clearly playing in Trump favor and might swing things for good, if aliens
or some shit doesn't come for space to end 2020 in a bigger clusterfuck.
 
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Article (Archived)

A top Democratic data and analytics firm told "Axios on HBO" it's highly likely that President Trump will appear to have won — potentially in a landslide — on election night, even if he ultimately loses when all the votes are counted.

Why this matters: Way more Democrats will vote by mail than Republicans, due to fears of the coronavirus, and it will take days if not weeks to tally these. This means Trump, thanks to Republicans doing almost all of their voting in person, could hold big electoral college and popular vote leads on election night.
  • Imagine America, with its polarization and misinformation, if the vote tally swings wildly toward Joe Biden and Trump loses days later as the mail ballots are counted.
  • That is what this group, Hawkfish, which is funded by Michael Bloomberg and also does work for the Democratic National Committee and pro-Biden Super PACs, is warning is a very real, if not foreordained, outcome.
What they're saying: Hawkfish CEO Josh Mendelsohn calls the scenario a "red mirage."
  • "We are sounding an alarm and saying that this is a very real possibility, that the data is going to show on election night an incredible victory for Donald Trump," he said.
  • "When every legitimate vote is tallied and we get to that final day, which will be some day after Election Day, it will in fact show that what happened on election night was exactly that, a mirage," Mendelsohn said. "It looked like Donald Trump was in the lead and he fundamentally was not when every ballot gets counted.

    By the numbers:Under one of the group's modeling scenarios, Trump could hold a projected lead of 408-130 electoral votes on election night, if only 15% of the vote by mail (VBM) ballots had been counted.
    • Once 75% of mail ballots were counted, perhaps four days later, the lead could flip to Biden's favor.
    • This particular modeling scenario portrays Biden as ultimately winning a massive victory, 334-204.
    • The methodology, described in detail below, was based in part on polling from FiveThirtyEight in August.
    • The ultimate results may well sit somewhere between these low-end and high-end scenarios and will also be impacted by who actually votes, and how voters' views about their options change over the coming weeks.

      The other side: “The news media should get out of the business of predicting the future,” Trump campaign communications director Tim Murtaugh said in response.

      Between the lines: Hawkfish is not just trying to educate the public about the possibility that Trump could prematurely declare victory, or try to delegitimize a Biden victory if it took days or weeks to determine.

    • The group is also trying to sensitize state and county elections officials, news and social media organizations, and the courts to the perils of premature results — and to the possibility of Trump and his team applying challenges and political pressure to reject a high share of mailed-in ballots counted after election day.
    • And the group is warning voters that rejection rates for mail ballots are higher than in-person voting.
    • To avoid having their votes thrown out, Hawkfish is advising voters to be extra careful about voting early enough and following all the instructions to the letter — or, potentially, putting on masks and gloves and going early either to safely vote in person or return the mail ballot in person.

      Methodology: Hawkfish surveyed 17,263 registered voters in 50 states and DC, July 1-Aug. 16, 2020, to assess who people planned to vote for and whether they intend to vote by mail or in person at a polling place.

    • Responses were filtered for those described as definitely voting or likely to vote and weighted for state and national registered voter demographics.
    • The scenarios assumed votes at polls would be counted on election day itself (Nov. 3). A scenario taking a week to count mail ballots would translate to approximately 15% per day on average.
    • In another scenario, mail ballot counts took four days at 25% per day. For states that have had high vote-by-mail participation rates, Hawkfish assumed they would take two days.

      - End of Article -
 
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ConsoleWarVet said:
They finally hit the acceptance stage of grief?
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They're laying the groundwork for stealing the election through massive amount of mail voting fraud.

The scenario they paint is exactly how such a scenario would look. They want to get out the narrative in advance that it's merely a case of democrats using mail-in voting at a higher ratio (which admittedly is also true).
 
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