2020 U.S. Presidential Election - Took place November 3, 2020. Former U.S. Vice President Joe Biden assumed office January 20, 2021.

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MrJokerRager said:
California has apparently broken the record for ballots cast. Over 1.5 million ballots have been cast so far.

I guess Biden will get like probably 55 million votes and California will add 10 or 15 looking at how super duper pozzed the state is. Majority of the ballota are from Los Angeles and word is that the city has a supreme case of TDS.

Be prepared for the popular vote meme if Trump does not break Obama's record. Basically 80 million is safe for Trump.
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I really hope Trump manages to eke out a popular vote win too, I don't need another 4 years of ELECTORAL COLLEGE BAD FUCK THE FLYOVEROIDS
 
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MrJokerRager said:
California has apparently broken the record for ballots cast. Over 1.5 million ballots have been cast so far.

I guess Biden will get like probably 55 million votes and California will add 10 or 15 looking at how super duper pozzed the state is. Majority of the ballots are from Los Angeles and word is that the city has a supreme case of TDS.

Be prepared for the popular vote meme if Trump does not break Obama's record. Basically 80 million is safe for Trump.
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It's now 2.3 million ballots that have been returned according to Political Data Inc.

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Seems like the 65+ crowd are the ones who are enthused to vote with the 50-64 crowd not too far behind. I do not see a high youth turnout so far at this point in time...

And honestly it makes the assumption that all of the Democrats in California will be voting for Biden... I'm not sure about that though. I'd estimate at least 20% of the Democrats in the state will be voting Trump. I don't know how the independents will swing, but I'm hoping the majority swing for Trump too.

Edit: I would be interested in comparing the vote-by-mail ballot returns of this year to 2016's vote-by-mail ballot returns at this point of time. I can't help but feel that this is significant underperformance to be quite honest. Also, a lot of the Republicans here aren't returning their ballots much because they're waiting until the in-person polling places open on October 31 to November 3, where they will be able to vote in-person since they (rightfully) distrust vote-by-mail in this state and have abided by Trump's warnings about it.

Also interesting was that for the primary election this year in the same state, Republicans were outperforming in returning their mail-in ballots (before Trump was making his warnings about them) and the Democrats didn't really lead in the share section until the last few days...

republican_turnout.png

So make of that what you will.
 
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heyitsmike said:
Please explain why Barrett not getting confirmed is increasingly likely.
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In the case of this:
GuntPunt said:
Mittens says yes to ACB confirmation. It's over.
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X Prime said:

Confirmed.
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I'm wondering the same thing. If Big RINO Mitt is finally saying "sure," then it might be alright. But there is the case of the other 3-4 on-the-fencers and RINOs.

Also, Dems are trying to provoke unrest to delay the vote until after the election because all of a sudden "this is a sham and nonsense" to them. Utterly ridiculous.
 
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CrippleThreat said:
If Big RINO Mitt is finally saying "sure," then it might be alright. But there is the case of the other 3-4 on-the-fencers and RINOs.
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Even if Murkowski and Collins voted no, Romney would be enough to clinch it. But those two are not gonna vote no either. I'd be willing to bet good money there will be zero defections on either side. This will be straight party line. ACB will be on that court and it'll be before the end of the month.
 
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Iceland Heavy said:
I really hope Trump manages to eke out a popular vote win too, I don't need another 4 years of ELECTORAL COLLEGE BAD FUCK THE FLYOVEROIDS
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I would love it if he won the popular vote this time. I want to run up the score.

However, at this point, I just care about him winning the election, period. If he loses the popular vote again, then I don't really care at this point.
 
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heyitsmike said:
That was intentional. Trump wanted to go opposite Biden's town hall.

If the Dems aren't leading in every county during early voting they are screwed.

Especially since Lee and Collier are still positive for the GOP at this stage. After the big four, SW Florida is the next biggest metro in the state.

Those two counties still being red tells me is that he ain't doing as bad with seniors as the media wants us to believe. And that is backed up by the fact that Sumter is just barely light blue.
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Early voting is going to be weird.

I think what we’re seeing is enthusiasm for Trump overrepresenting him in the early vote share as people cast their ballot right as early voting opens. I think the Democrats will slowly pull ahead then develop their expected leadas deadlines approach. It’s basic human nature; people put shit off, and you’re more likely to procrastinate if you see something as a chore to begin with.

For most Biden voters, casting their vote for him is nothing if not a chore.

We won’t know the full picture on early voting until the early voting period starts to close in key states. I expect there are going to be lawsuits and deadline extensions as well, moreso if the Democrats underperform.

I’m encouraged that Trump is doing better than expected, but I don’t think that will hold up to the last minute surge. If his lead actually remains, expect the DNC to try and use that narrative to drive Election Day turnout, although the enthusiasm of Trump’s base is going to give him the advantage of people are convinced it’s close.

As an aside, vote by mail is going to be the last nail in the coffin for the idea of record youth vote turn out. Youth registration is down because of the lack of campus outreach, and youth absentee voting will be a disaster as large swathes of 18-24’s forget about the little envelope they pushed to the side of their table to make room for their plate of pizza rolls.
 
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Tour of Italy said:
If his lead actually remains, expect the DNC to try and use that narrative to drive Election Day turnout
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Drive it with what? All the early voters will have already voted. That's most of their electorate. If they don't have enough by then, they'll never have enough. It's too late to start a GOTV drive now.
 
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heyitsmike said:
Drive it with what? All the early voters will have already voted. That's most of their electorate. If they don't have enough by then, they'll never have enough. It's too late to start a GOTV drive now.
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In a scenario where their turnout in early voting lags, people who requested ballots but missed the deadline will still be on the table, and could be persuaded by the Democrats screaming that the sky is falling.
 
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Tour of Italy said:
In a scenario where their turnout in early voting lags, people who requested ballots but missed the deadline will still be on the table, and could be persuaded by the Democrats screaming that the sky is falling.
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That will put them into an intriguing conundrum as they'd then have to start conceding that Joe Biden's alleged insurmountable lead is nowhere near as strong as alleged.

In Florida one poll claimed that Andrew Gillum was up 7 points right before election day. As we all know that race ended up being a nailbiter that just narrowly went to the Republican Desantis. People here have speculated many reasons why Pollsters tend to favor Democrats even though it results in people questioning their validity. A very simple reason why is that it's just natural for people to want to be in the majority. Even though for 99.9% of Americans their vote is ultimately inconsequential a vote for a winning candidate will give the feeling that you yourself have won. Whereas if your candidate loses it feels depressing.

If the polls start tightening or Democrats have to hit the emergency alarm to get out the vote it will make Trump look like he's getting a miraculous second wind. That is the last thing they want.

Personally I'm interested to see how Democrats bring out the low income voters without mass bussing given the Covid pandemic.
 
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Cardenio said:
Personally I'm interested to see how Democrats bring out the low income voters without mass bussing given the Covid pandemic.
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IMO, they fucked themselves hard on this. They all went so deep into the "MUH SOCIAL DISTANCING" and "MUH MASKS" and "YOU DONT WANT TO KILL GRANNY DO YOU?" that any pivot now to encourage people to actually vote will end up fucking themselves even more. The unchecked riots already put normies on notice. If there's one thing humans detest as a group, it's the whiff of hypocrisy in anything.
 
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legalkochi said:
It's now 2.3 million ballots that have been returned according to Political Data Inc.

View attachment 1665746
Seems like the 65+ crowd are the ones who are enthused to vote with the 50-64 crowd not too far behind. I do not see a high youth turnout so far at this point in time...

And honestly it makes the assumption that all of the Democrats in California will be voting for Biden... I'm not sure about that though. I'd estimate at least 20% of the Democrats in the state will be voting Trump. I don't know how the independents will swing, but I'm hoping the majority swing for Trump too.

Edit: I would be interested in comparing the vote-by-mail ballot returns of this year to 2016's vote-by-mail ballot returns at this point of time. I can't help but feel that this is significant underperformance to be quite honest. Also, a lot of the Republicans here aren't returning their ballots much because they're waiting until the in-person polling places open on October 31 to November 3, where they will be able to vote in-person since they (rightfully) distrust vote-by-mail in this state and have abided by Trump's warnings about it.

Also interesting was that for the primary election this year in the same state, Republicans were outperforming in returning their mail-in ballots (before Trump was making his warnings about them) and the Democrats didn't really lead in the share section until the last few days...

View attachment 1665753
So make of that what you will.
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In California you have to register Republican, but can freely vote in the Dem primary (I just voted Coconut Milk Surf Mommy because lol at getting robocalled). I wonder if the party affiliation is based on voter reg or just the ballot returned? Assuming voter reg, because almost everyone appears to request the Dem ballot.

I have already submitted my Trump vote. I doubt it makes much difference in my cucked Bay Area county but I hope the party slags are sweating bullets.
 
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Twitter decide to give up and let the news run their course, Jack backpedaled after the senate was sharpening the knives to fuck him up

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Edit: dont know why the image keeps looking so tiny i already reinserted three times in full image

Edit 2

Jack: Now Senate kun will stop arrite? we don't have to do go this far

Senate kun: No

Screenshot_777.png
 
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