2020 U.S. Presidential Election - Took place November 3, 2020. Former U.S. Vice President Joe Biden assumed office January 20, 2021.

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Found this great comment on 4chan this week,

Screenshot 2020-10-17 123650.png


And for once, some pro Trump Hollywood talk.


 
Found this great comment on 4chan this week,

View attachment 1671059

And for once, some pro Trump Hollywood talk.


View attachment 1671060

Soothing, powerful, and said with conviction of a true believer.

I need John Voight to get on my Calm app and have a story where he says shit like this to lull me to sleep.

Also, trump has the attention of, and is talked about more by, the common people which gets all the feathers ruffled in the land of Hollwierd and their "PAY ATTENTION TO ME NAO!" mentality. Jealousy is a savage beast.
 
I like the suggestion I saw on YouTube on the ABC video that arrow in your quiver is her mk ultra trigger or some such lol.

Probably just going senile though unfortunately
I know this is a no-fun take, but she was probably just launching into what she thought was a new interview with a new person. The new person's face came up on the monitor she was speaking to, but the video feed kept going to Stephanopolous, or they thought they'd hung up on Mr. S when they hadn't.
 
Trump's base is disproportionately planning to hit the polls on Election Day itself, possibly by a 2-to-1 margin. So bad weather on that day disproportionately affects his base, while Biden's base is expected to vote early or mail in ballots.

(Yes, that's Newsweek referencing a Pew poll, but many other polls show that trend, including the People's Pundit Big Data polling. It's just a question of the magnitude.)

Trump supporters should be praying for good weather and volunteering to drive their fellow supporters as early as possible.
Speaking of weather, let's keep track in the days leading up to Election Day when it comes to swing states (even ones we presume are safe for Trump like Texas, Ohio, and Georgia). The Tuesday before is a good start.

I'm sure the weather will be just fine in Arizona (at least in Maricopa County which will decide the election) and southern Nevada since the weather will still be warm and almost as dry as Death Valley, but every other swing state happens to be either very rainy or freezing weather. One of the disadvantages of Trump's tactic to get people at the ballot on Election Day is that bad weather disproportionately affect people in rural areas who may have to travel for half an hour, if not more, just to get to the poll. If a blizzard hits northern Minnesota - Trump's strongest area - he's shit out of of luck in that state.
 
Speaking of weather, when it gets to Election Day, let's keep a track on how the weather is going to be on Election Day when it comes to swing states (even ones we presume are safe for Trump like Texas, Ohio, and Georgia).

I'm sure the weather will be just fine in Arizona (at least in Maricopa County which will decide the election) and southern Nevada since the weather will still be warm and almost as dry as Death Valley, but every other swing state happens to be either very rainy or freezing weather. One of the disadvantages of Trump's tactic to get people at the ballot on Election Day is that bad weather disproportionately affect people in rural areas who may have to travel for half an hour, if not more, just to get to the poll. If a blizzard hits northern Minnesota - Trump's strongest area - he's shit out of of luck in that state.

That reminds me of when Hurricane Sandy hit New Jersey in 2012 and Christie gived his support to Obama in the aftermath. I heard once of conspiracies theories saying then Obama and his staff activated HAARP, lol.
 
That reminds me of when Hurricane Sandy hit New Jersey in 2012 and Christie gived his support to Obama in the aftermath. I heard once of conspiracies theories saying then Obama and his staff activated HAARP, lol.
I remember hearing all about Hurricane Sandy right before the election. Of course, as someone who didn't live in the area, that did not faze me beyond hearing it in a few newscycle.

But that has me thinking. If Hurricane Katrina had hit with the same ferocity and devastation in the 2004 election season, could that have gotten Kerry elected? Lots of people raked Bush over it when it hit in 2005 and I'd imagine that could have moved the margin in critical swing states. Even Florida might have turned blue. It would have been to Bush was the coronavirus is to Trump, a weak point his enemies use to attack him.
 
So I like to peruse more Twatterverse pollsters and election gamblers. With this place having its pro-Trump leaning, don't want to put blinders on and ignore what points Riden with Biden folks have to counter voter enthusiasm, cooked/oversampled/hyperfocused polls, and Targetsmart's data on early voting.

I've discovered that even more partisan liberals don't like Nate Slimer... because he's not projecting Biden with a 96% chance of winning.

Meet LeanTossup. A Canandian polling analysts who've successfully modeled some UK and NZ elections. Sounds cool, huh? Well, they not only think Blue Georgia's a near gurantee--they have BLUE TEXAS at ~75%. 410+ is their likely estimate.

purelunacy-png.1671088

Naturally, when you look at their methodology, they base their models primarily on national polls (the ones with Biden +10), muh demographics, and orange man bad (labeled 'negative incumbancy effects'). Then they throw these results into simulated elections until Biden swamps 96% of the time. So, think something like 538, but they give even less of a shit about state polls than even Slimer does.

Looking at their team, you can be assured all these grad/master students know what they're doing. Sure, none of them ever worked as a trained pollster in their <30 years of life, at least in the US, but what does that matter? They have biochemistry and political science degrees, of course they know what they're doing!

So, this is what top-tier minds at PredictIt or other similar betting sites think is good evidence for a Biden landslide. If this is the best people who know of Barnes and Baris and disagree with them has, I think I'm pretty satisfied with my position at the moment. That, or this is one big gaslight to get people to bet on Biden, so Trump shares can be cheaper.
 
One of the disadvantages of Trump's tactic to get people at the ballot on Election Day is that bad weather disproportionately affect people in rural areas who may have to travel for half an hour, if not more, just to get to the poll.
If you're in such a rural area that it takes you a half hour to get to your voting location, you probably aren't the type to let a little bad weather ruin your day, especially this day.
 
If you're in such a rural area that it takes you a half hour to get to your voting location, you probably aren't the type to let a little bad weather ruin your day, especially this day.
Haven't Trump supporters made the pact to get his name on their ballots even in the worst conditions?
 
Haven't Trump supporters made the pact to get his name on their ballots even in the worst conditions?
This will be the last opportunity ever in the history of the world to vote for Trump. This is it. Suicide pact or pact with the devil, Trump supporters are going to show up in droves.
 
If you're in such a rural area that it takes you a half hour to get to your voting location, you probably aren't the type to let a little bad weather ruin your day, especially this day.
"Probably" is the key word here. Most will make sure to vote no matter what, but the problem is that most might not be enough when this is going to be one of the closest elections in the history of this country. He needs every vote he can get in the Rust Belt.

If it's just rain or even light snow, I doubt this will affect Trump's base turnout much. But a blizzard or a flood is a whole different matter. If someone can barely see what is outside while driving or there is so much snow that they cannot even get on the road to vote, then they have no choice but to stay home even if they don't like it. Most people are not going to choose a high risk of death over staying home just to vote. Best we can hope for them are that voters who are expecting bad weather on Election Day vote in-person right beforehand to avoid risking not having their vote counts.
 
Trump's base is disproportionately planning to hit the polls on Election Day itself, possibly by a 2-to-1 margin. So bad weather on that day disproportionately affects his base, while Biden's base is expected to vote early or mail in ballots.

(Yes, that's Newsweek referencing a Pew poll, but many other polls show that trend, including the People's Pundit Big Data polling. It's just a question of the magnitude.)

Trump supporters should be praying for good weather and volunteering to drive their fellow supporters as early as possible.
While I enjoy seeing these bizarre polls, what I'm really looking forward to is the weather report for election day. Hoping it will be a very rainy, windy day across the country.

After all, which base is more likely to brave the elements? The lot doing parades and waving flags for their guy, or the group that bitches on Twitter and can't be bothered to push into triple digits at Biden speeches? Staying home will be a real enticing prospect when the alternative is standing in a line in the pouring rain for a guy you barely even like.
Speaking as a member of Trump's base who cast his ballot yesterday: if we're gonna be literal fair-weather supporters and let a few hours of bodily discomfort at most dissuade us from an action that would keep psychopaths out of power, then we deserve to lose.
 
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"Probably" is the key word here. Most will make sure to vote no matter what, but the problem is that most might not be enough when this is going to be one of the closest elections in the history of this country. He needs every vote he can get in the Rust Belt.

If it's just rain or even light snow, I doubt this will affect Trump's base turnout much. But a blizzard or a flood is a whole different matter. If someone can barely see what is outside while driving or there is so much snow that they cannot even get on the road to vote, then they have no choice but to stay home even if they don't like it. Most people are not going to choose a high risk of death over staying home just to vote. Best we can hope for them are that voters who are expecting bad weather on Election Day vote in-person right beforehand to avoid risking not having their vote counts.
Okay, let me rephrase:

If you're in such a rural area that it takes you a half hour to get to your voting location, without a doubt you aren't the type to let a little bad weather ruin your day, especially this day.
 
I know this is a no-fun take, but she was probably just launching into what she thought was a new interview with a new person. The new person's face came up on the monitor she was speaking to, but the video feed kept going to Stephanopolous, or they thought they'd hung up on Mr. S when they hadn't.
Perhaps, but then why did she follow "good morning" with "sunday morning"? Even if what you said were true, I would still be weirded out by the full quote.
 
So I like to peruse more Twatterverse pollsters and election gamblers. With this place having its pro-Trump leaning, don't want to put blinders on and ignore what points Riden with Biden folks have to counter voter enthusiasm, cooked/oversampled/hyperfocused polls, and Targetsmart's data on early voting.

I've discovered that even more partisan liberals don't like Nate Slimer... because he's not projecting Biden with a 96% chance of winning.

Meet LeanTossup. A Canandian polling analysts who've successfully modeled some UK and NZ elections. Sounds cool, huh? Well, they not only think Blue Georgia's a near gurantee--they have BLUE TEXAS at ~75%. 410+ is their likely estimate.

purelunacy-png.1671088

Naturally, when you look at their methodology, they base their models primarily on national polls (the ones with Biden +10), muh demographics, and orange man bad (labeled 'negative incumbancy effects'). Then they throw these results into simulated elections until Biden swamps 96% of the time. So, think something like 538, but they give even less of a shit about state polls than even Slimer does.

Looking at their team, you can be assured all these grad/master students know what they're doing. Sure, none of them ever worked as a trained pollster in their <30 years of life, at least in the US, but what does that matter? They have biochemistry and political science degrees, of course they know what they're doing!

So, this is what top-tier minds at PredictIt or other similar betting sites think is good evidence for a Biden landslide. If this is the best people who know of Barnes and Baris and disagree with them has, I think I'm pretty satisfied with my position at the moment. That, or this is one big gaslight to get people to bet on Biden, so Trump shares can be cheaper.
Canadians need to be deported from the United States and sanctions placed on them. Or sell them off to China. Micheal Moore was spot on with Canadian Bacon. When will those maple niggers did the rake?
 
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