Hunter Biden introduced his father, then-Vice President Joe Biden, to a top executive at a Ukrainian energy firm less than a year before the elder Biden pressured government officials in Ukraine in…
FBI has had the laptop for over a year already and didn't say anything. Remember when Trump got impeached for congratulating the new President of the Ukraine?
What the hell is the FBI doing?
Supposedly there is also a video of him engaged in a "sex act" and a couple of photo's of him. This is one is particular juicy
When reading on this shit, I keep thinking "ok NOW it cannot get any worse" and yet the downward spiral just continues
this is reaching degeneracy levels I never thought possible
Whorebanger crackhead Hunter Biden makes a more appealing candidate than Joe Biden ever has. I don't know if this will change many minds. Nobody but TDS people like Joe Biden, and they're not going to shift away from lunacy over something like this.
Maybe I phrased the poorly. All the 'quality' papers and the TV channels have said it's Russian disinfo. Two right-wing Tabloids have covered it in a more or less unbiased way.
They're focusing on the initial statements all the FORMER intel agency staff said that this COULD be russian disinfo, while coincidentally not spreading the information about every alphabet bureau updating and saying it isn't.
Totally unbiased journalism we should all trust though, folks.
The utterly dystopic evil nature of the UK press makes me appreciate what [few remaining] freedoms Americans are privy to. Our press is garbage also, but not entirely. Like 99% shit, but dammit there is some hope... I hope.
Yep. Had someone link a HuffPost article that completely ignored that. Still considers himself "informed".
Odds are good that Joe Biden could have had the "Chairman Mao's anti-aging" treatment and the media will cover it up, not that it would matter much since people would probably ignore it flat out anyway.
(Urban legend is that Mao had sex with six virgins a day in an attempt to stave off death.)
You say 50 million (or however many) have already voted, but which states are those 50 million from, and what are the state-by-state distributions of those votes?
Yesterday, I decided to look into early voting in Miami-Dade County. Earlier today after it updated, I decided to check again. Baris has been talking a lot about how due to the Cubans and Venezuelans becoming a solid red voting block towards Trump, Miami-Dade will shift to a lighter blue than usual. I personally believe it, but I wanted to give it a courtesy glance since Larry Scheweikart talked about early voting (granted some of the numbers he reported were off) and how well Republicans apparently were doing. Miami-Dade County is the most populous county and as such, voted the most in 2016 with 980,204 votes (archive). It was also the third most Democratic county in the state with Clinton winning 63.68% of the vote compared to Trump's 34.07%, a 29.61 point margin in favor of Clinton.
People talk about how early voting is going so well for the Republicans despite the Democratic advantage. I believe reading the tea leaf for early voting based solely on party break down is a massive head ache and not an issue I want to work myself up over, especially not compare it to previous years. But I was looking at the in-person early voting in Miami-Dade and boy was I shocked (picture from today),
The third column are Republicans, fourth columns are Democrats, fifth column are third-parties, and sixth column are Independents
In one of the bluest counties in the state, Republicans were beating Democrats when it comes to in-person early voting. Not Election Day voting, in-person early voting. Granted, Democrats have a significant lead in VBM, but that is to be expected. Even then, that lead is less impressive when you realize that they only have a twenty-two point lead of Republicans there. With that revelation, I knew it was worth looking into, so I made an exception into looking into early voting and broke down the percentage of Republican, Democratic, third-parties, and Independent,
Republican
90,308 / 236,009 = 38.26%
Democratic
87,849 / 236,009 = 37.22%
Third-Party
2724 / 236,009 = 1.15%
Independent
55,128 / 236,009 = 23.36%
Republican
95,910 / 372,516 = 25.75%
Democratic
177,400 / 372,516 = 47.62%
Third-Party
3878 / 372,516 = 1.04%
Independent
95,328 / 372,516 = 25.59%
After that, I combined the early voting and VBM total and got this,
A thirteen point lead between Republicans and Democrats is not impressive for Biden. They should be closer to thirty percents, not nearing single digits leads in biggest place for Democrats to make gains. They cannot afford such a significant bleeding. That said, the gap alone does not tell the whole story. There's still a significant Independent voting share happening and obviously the county is not turning red anytime soon. So let's break down numbers In Biden's favor to see if a shift really is happening.
Republican
.3060 x .85 = 26.01%
Democrat
.4359 x .05 = 2.18%
Third-Party = 0%
Independent
0.2472 x 0.425 = 10.51%
Total
26.01 + 2.18 + 10.51 = 38.7%
Assuming that Trump loses a significant portion of his base, gets almost no Democratic crossover, gets zero third-party support, and gets trashed by Independents by fifteen points (and I factored in extra edges due to VBM), he still gains 4.6% compared to last year. That's a huge increase given Miami-Dade's population. Now let's look at Biden,
Republican
0.3060 x .15 = 4.59%
Democrat
0.4359 x .95 = 41.41%
Third-Party
1.08%
Independent
0.2472 x 0.575 = 14.21%
Total
4.59 + 41.41 + 1.08 + 14.21 = 61.29%
Assuming that Biden has Obama-level enthusiasm among Democrats, gets Republican crossover like what George H. W. Bush got with Democrats in 1988, he gets all of the third-party votes, and Independents flocks to him like birds migrating South, he is still losing over 2% compared to Clinton. In a county like Miami-Dade that is supposed to be one of his best places to win votes and in a state that is decided by tens of thousands of votes, he can't afford this kind of bleeding. Let's take a look at the margin in this worst-case scenario for Trump,
[Trump
38.7 - 34.07 = 4.63
Biden
63.68 - 61.29 = 2.39
4.63 + 2.39 = 7.02% swing towards Trump
If voting in Miami-Dade were to stop today and Election Day got cancelled, Trump would already have a 7.02 point swing towards him. That's already better than Mitt Romney's performance in 2012 (archive) and again, assumes the worst case scenario. It also does not factor in the seven additional early voting days left that will almost certainly widen the margin and Election Day where Trump supporters will be the vast majority of voters. With that considered, these are big numbers for Trump as in this scenario, he is only 22.59 points behind Biden. Just for fun, we'll also apply the results if Trump and Clinton had these same margins in 2016 (total votes, not early),
Clinton
980,204 x .6129 = 600,767
Swing
600,767 - 624,146 = -23,379
Trump
980,204 x .387 = 379,339
Swing
379,339 - 333,999 = 45,340
Total
23,379 + 45,340 = 68,719
Overall, Trump right now is looking at at the absolute worst 68.719 more voters from that county than last year and that is assume we do not see an increase in voters (which is going to happen). I am confident that Miami-Dade will see a double digit swing towards Trump, which would net him about a 100,000 voters just from that county alone. Heck, if current trends continue, we may see evidence of that before early voting ends. If there was proof that Cubans and Venezuelans were turning out for Trump before Election Day, this is pretty close to it.
I'll come back to it after early voting ends on October 31th and see if my predictions come true. Those who wants to bet on Florida for Trump can do so with a reasonable amount of confidence.
"THE DOCUMENTS The #BidenCrimeFamilly is owned by the #CCP and can never achieve power. Remember this loan rolled since 2013. This was how they funded every deal. Nothing @Fbi , #SEC? @CNBC don't y'all report on fraud?"
Yeah this right here is the question. Why the fuck is a wealthy and connected son of a former VP unable to get all the Top Grade CIA Nose Candy he fucking well wants? Crack is the drug of urban derelicts, not the wealthy elite.
Can we get an organized OP with all of the most interesting things indexed replete with a timeline? I cba to go through page after page and I think it'd assist the cause well if we had it all cataloged properly.
Depends, on the low-end I'd say somewhere between 13% to 14% and 50% to 88% on the high-end of the people responsible are either dead or in a CIA blacksite somewhere(lol at the idea that they'd ever end up in a civilian jail or prison of any sort in the US). In terms of absolute numbers I expect this to eventually lead to either the "disappearence" or death of at least 42069 people.
I just realized something. I know it will sound retarded because probably all of you figured it out already, but it looks like they arrested Bannon on bogus charges because they knew he has this info.
Women still have standards. An instathot will drop their panties for any one of these fucks because drugs and sex are all they live for but when you hit the more conscientious types they'll likely balk because they value their standing and haven't had their senses fried by drugs.
nypost.com
FBI has had the laptop for over a year already and didn't say anything. Remember when Trump got impeached for congratulating the new President of the Ukraine?
