2020 U.S. Presidential Election - Took place November 3, 2020. Former U.S. Vice President Joe Biden assumed office January 20, 2021.

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Harvey Danger said:
A good thread on pre-canvassing in Pennsylvania.

View attachment 1694410

Basically, a lot of counties are only going to start counting mail-in ballots on Nov 4th, so that they can dedicate their full time on Election Day to the in-person voting and ballots. This means that we won't get proper totals until they start in on the bulk of VBM the next day.

Apparently every single county in PA asked the state legislature to let them do pre-canvassing, which is counting the mail-in ballots before Election Day. A deal between the Republicans and Democrats was supposedly in the works, but it fell through, and both sides blame the other. So now on Election Day, we'll only get the in-person results, plus the number of already-received VBM ballots to be opened on the next day.

Cumberland County has roughly 250k population. It's going to be a horrible, nerve-wracking 48 hours.
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I am so, so, so tired of voter fraud. I thought this election would be better, since the dumb agreement where it couldn't be challenged was over because the judge who kept extending it died, but it looks like it still won't be fixed.
 
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737 MAX Stan Account said:
I heard that Biden going to campaign in Minnesota. Now, why would he go to a deep blue state and not a battleground state like... Texas?
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Everyone knows he's not going to win Texas, let's be real. If he was on Obama 2008 hype levels he'd maybe have a 10% shot but probably half his votes are effectively "anyone but Trump." The Democrats lost in 2016 for many reasons but a big one was ignoring the northern Midwest and they aren't trying to repeat that mistake.
 
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Salubrious said:
I like this Joe Biden ad in my Facebook feed that flat out says he's losing the swing states so please donate $25.

Doesn't sound like what the MSM has been telling me.

View attachment 1694842
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Now where have I heard this before...

42e.jpg
 
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Dyn said:
It won't be, Biden's going to take like 340 votes easily.
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>not thinking he's gonna get 400 or Reagan-blowout

oh ye of little faith
#NoMalarkey
Oats12345 said:
Also I don't trust polls that say Biden will win Alabama or Mississippi for God sakes.
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ARKANSAS, MISSISSIPPI, AND TENNESSEE ARE 100% SWING STATES! We just need 1 more donation to get it over the line!
 
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GuntPunt said:
How many staffers did Klob beat up over this court decision?
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I love that the Republican party has been screaming to vote in person for MONTHS, and now that the Supreme Court rulings are coming against the Democrats that strict deadlines will be upheld, they are now screaming "Republicans are trying to supress you! Vote in person! Do the thing Republicans have literally been telling you to do for months!"
 
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Orange Man Costume said:
Here's how that blue Texas is looking (2016 turnout 8,969,226)
Almost the full 2016 turnout is in on TX now, idk why Biden is even flying here.
View attachment 1694577

Wisconsin (2016 turnout 1,105,944)
View attachment 1694579

Ohio (2016 turnout 5,496,487)
View attachment 1694580

Indiana (2016 turnout 2,590,412)
View attachment 1694609

Arizona (2016 turnout 2,604,657)
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Florida (2016 turnout 9,420,039)
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From what I've seen, the red always goes up as the pink/in-person does, but the ratio of red/pink depends on the state, and AZ/FL don't have the blue lead that would hold up to what's happening as the in-person/pink comes in, but its also not in yet so who knows.

Assuming that holds up (in-person = red increase) and there's no crazy surprises, like the independent vote totally leaning to one side, this is my map:
View attachment 1694602

tl;dr Biden landslide isn't possible, either Biden or Trump barely wins, or Trump wins roughly the same EV as 2016 at best. Don't take 330+ EV bets for Trump.
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The problem with looking at TargetSmart data for states like Texas, Ohio, and Wisconsin is that some of these states do not include party preference numbers. That means these numbers are going to be less accurate and should not be relied on to predict the election. I don't buy that Wisconsin, a historically Democratic state, has Republicans at a 6% advantage over Democrats before Election Day. States like Florida are different because they actually provide how many people from which party is voting and thus can provide a different picture of how the election is doing. It's why I'm confident in Florida but not in Wisconsin.
OttoWest said:

Thousands of Mail-in Ballots Feared Missing in Butler County, Pa., as Officials Rush to Deliver Replacements​


Butler Co is a reliably red one.
Archive
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Between this and realizing that most, if not all counties in Pennsylvania won't be counting mail in ballots until after Election Day.

Un-fucking-believable.

Nearly half of the voters do not trust the integrity of this election and shit like this is why. We have had numerous reports of voter fraud and ballots "disappearing" in states like Pennsylvania and Michigan. Every warning about how fraud would affect the outcome of the election from Trump and the right have come true and there are no signs that if fraud flips Pennsylvania - and thus the election - to Biden that Trump can actually fight it in court seeing as Kavanaugh is being wishy-washy and Barrett is still an unknown factor.

The DNC, big tech, and news media are doing everything in their power to destroy the legitimacy of our electoral system. There are third-world nations that can get their ballots counted on their election day so that they find out who their president is. We can't even do that in the world's most powerful nation. Three days to count ballots, nine days to count ballots, two weeks to count ballots. Then we wonder why Krystal Sinema is an Arizonan Senator when the DNC stole the seat from McSally.

If the DNC steals Pennsylvania and thus the election, we won't be having a fair election for a long time, if ever. They will have perfected the art of fraud and repeat this every opportunity they get. Most of the population will never again trust the republic, or even that it exists, and we will transform into a kleptocracy bought by the Communist Party of China. If Trump pulls out a narrow win - and it won't be a popular vote win - the cries for abolishing the Electoral College will become even louder since the DNC will never back down from any of their insane, authoritarian positions as they will immediately push the narrative that Trump stole the election despite it being a projection. Either way, the way we have handled this election process has made us the laughing stock across leaders in the world.

We have been conditioned to wait for weeks for the electoral results for the "right" winner to come out. Slowly but surely, my faith in the electoral system has been shaken by the biggest fraud scheme we have ever seen. If the DNC pulls it off, then I have no hope for fair elections in the future and will be staying home.
 
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brahmarakshasasolempi said:
It's not like it's impossible, afair NOAA came out and said it couldn't be done but only because we didn't have sufficiently large and/or enough nuclear weapons and that the fallout would be bad for africa and south america given likely prevailing weather patterns.

We can fix the former and who cares about the latter?


Off the top of my head some nerd on YouTube calculated we'd need to drop a 100 megaton weapon into the eye every 20 minutes for a few hours to downgrade a cat 5 to a cat 2 or something like that.


Mass death and irradiating two continents is a price I'm willing to pay to stop my beach house being swept away every decade or so.


Better make it 200 megatons every fifteen minutes now that I think on it
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More importantly though, we can finally get that Nuclear apocalypse reality show that we always wanted.

Why did The Colony get canceled?
 
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No one knows what the fuck is going to happen on November third. Trumpistas? Gird yourself for a Kamala Harris presidency. Californian here, she’s a piece of work. #Resist types? Be ready to put up with another four years on the Trump train.

I’ll repeat here what I said in another thread; if your big assumption is that the polls models are wrong? Prepare to be disappointed. That’s what they said in 2012. However the last time we had significant polling failure that failed to foresee a change in leadership? 2014.

But for my money? There are too many contradictory indicators, the polls are all over the place and if Jesus Christ himself was the Democrats’ nominee, I would not believe for one second that he was up seventeen points.
 
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Tacitcal Wizard said:
No one knows what the fuck is going to happen on November third. Trumpistas? Gird yourself for a Kamala Harris presidency. Californian here, she’s a piece of work. #Resist types? Be ready to put up with another four years on the Trump train.

I’ll repeat here what I said in another thread; if your big assumption is that the polls models are wrong? Prepare to be disappointed. That’s what they said in 2012. However the last time we had significant polling failure that failed to foresee a change in leadership? 2014.

But for my money? There are too many contradictory indicators, the polls are all over the place and if Jesus Christ himself was the Democrats’ nominee, I would not believe for one second that he was up seventeen points.
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I obviously don't know for sure but I'm confident enough in a Trump victory to bet $120 and a 2 week ban on it.
 
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Tacitcal Wizard said:
No one knows what the fuck is going to happen on November third. Trumpistas? Gird yourself for a Kamala Harris presidency. Californian here, she’s a piece of work. #Resist types? Be ready to put up with another four years on the Trump train.

I’ll repeat here what I said in another thread; if your big assumption is that the polls models are wrong? Prepare to be disappointed. That’s what they said in 2012. However the last time we had significant polling failure that failed to foresee a change in leadership? 2014.

But for my money? There are too many contradictory indicators, the polls are all over the place and if Jesus Christ himself was the Democrats’ nominee, I would not believe for one second that he was up seventeen points.
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If Jesus Christ were to run Trump would landslide, the only thing Marxists hate more than Trump is Jesus.
 
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