2020 U.S. Presidential Election - Took place November 3, 2020. Former U.S. Vice President Joe Biden assumed office January 20, 2021.

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Jesus Christ.
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Holy shit.

Will Joe's handlers kill him physically just to compete with Drumpf in events again? Also, lol at the Scranton rally, and Trump seems to want to emulate 2016 with the late night rally in Grand Rapids.

EDIT: I guess that for New Hampshire, Minnesota, and Nevada, Trump is hoping his investments and ads pave the way or he's going to go hard on Tuesday.
 
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I don't live even live in the US, and I feel like I obsess over the US election too much. I think I'm going to abstain from any more speculation and following the election until the election day. This shit is just too time consuming and complete crapshoot.

Edit: although I might be unable to do that since this shit is too autistic
 
The true 4d chess move was Trump turning Hispanics and immigrants into conservatives so that Dems go “oh shit” and start flipping hard towards wanting a secure border.
Or they just assume some hispanics have been here long enough to become "assimilated into whiteness", and they have to import new people even faster to counterbalance that. It happened with the Irish and Italians after all, why not the mestizos?
 
I feel bad for Americans having a two party system. While it might have it's merits, most of my family is part of the what's considered the cuckservative party here, while I'm supporting the "Far right" party. I love bantering with my family about it back and forth without it breaking the relations between us. It feels bad to think that US families might be split by the Dem/Rep divide.
 
The hidden Trump voter is people who are embarrassed to vote for him or are scared of the repurcussions of saying so. I am not surprised that the hidden vote is women.

There are cookie polls like this all over the Rust Belt, in PA, WI and MN, showing Trump beating Biden 2-1 at worst, a complete inverse of 2016. Women will lie to pollsters and others, but they will go to their favorite bakery in the area (or order it online which is even better for their privacy like a voting booth), see a cookie poll, and feel comfortable with buying the Trump one. That is something Baris unfortunately can't account for: natural behavior over being interrogated about your vote by a pollster.

This could also mean that the Biden woman vote is demoralized. Dunno. We shall see.
But what kind of women buy cookie polls? Probably old housewives, and they are reliable Republicans.
 
That is something Baris unfortunately can't account for: natural behavior over being interrogated about your vote by a pollster.

Yes, and that's why i think even Baris' numbers aren't Trump-friendly enough. Nobody is afraid to tell a stranger they're voting for Biden. The "shy" vote is almost entirely Pro-Trump. The only question is how large a group that is, and how their lying or non-response skews even a poll as "fair" as Baris.
 
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Yes, and that's why i think even Baris' numbers aren't Trump-friendly enough. Nobody is afraid to tell a stranger they're voting for Biden. The "shy" vote is almost entirely Pro-Trump. The only question is how large a group that is, and how their lying or non-response skews even a poll as "fair" as Baris.
Exactly. I openly show disdain for the MSM, to the chagrin of my mother, but I can easily feign support for ol' Biden. No way in hell will I say verbatim, "I am voting for (Donald) Trump."

That doesn't explain why Hillary was leading these cookie polls in 2016.
Trump was exceedingly more of a gamble back then than he is now, and while more people wanted nothing with Clinton or Trump, Hillary was still seen as the superior.

But honestly, it was probably because the shy-Trumps then were super shy. Something like a cookie poll now is harmless, but they aren't going to be screaming support for Trump, even on their lawns (the signs/flags).
 
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Yes, and that's why i think even Baris' numbers aren't Trump-friendly enough. Nobody is afraid to tell a stranger they're voting for Biden. The "shy" vote is almost entirely Pro-Trump. The only question is how large a group that is, and how their lying or non-response skews even a poll as "fair" as Baris.
Nigger, what you are staring at? You never seen a Trump sign before?
I was out on my bike, the trump banner is a sticker perfectly to my motor controller, it fits perfectly on the back of my bike. I was going to get tested and there was this black guy in a car, just staring at me. Like wtf. It's a Trump sign, so what? Do you think I'm racist or some shit? I should've waved at him but I was caught off guard by his staring. Some people.
 
Drumpf in Michigan:


It's the assumption that if Biden is carried into office through the decency argument and 25th to bring in Kamala, she will likely be used as a puppet to pass some dumb things (a la Green New Deal), and undo some of the good things Trump did. People will probably "WTF?!" and hopefully vote red down ballot, less the Dems master fraud. Unless the GOPe cucks and puts another RINO forward, Kamala is likely gone.

If Biden wins and is removed to install Kamala she’ll be primaried in 2024 and lose. Biden seems like the perfect puppet president though. His brain is almost gone and once they take him off his meds they can have him sign whatever they want.
 
In what universe does New Hampshire go Red, or Nevada Blue?

Arizona has me concerned. I suspect fuckery if somehow Trump wins it but Martha McSally doesn't.

Hillary won NH in 2016 by 0.37%.

Arizona atm is 38%D 37%R 25%I with only 2% of in-person voting in, so that number is basically just mail-in, based on how every other state is going, in-person votes increase the red vote and the mail-in needs a big blue advantage to hold up, so AZ definitely looks like it'l be red but I guess we'll see. These are also just voter registrations, so that independent vote can swing either way.
 
I saw a snippet on the crawl of the news this afternoon, Biden is coming to a small private hangar at Mitchell Int'l Airport outside of Milwaukee. Didn't catch the time, and I've not seen anything else on it.

Harold Mester, Director of Public Affairs & Marketing, for Milwaukee Mitchell International Airport, said it was the airport's understanding Biden will hold "a small private meeting with about a dozen people on Friday at AvFlight, which operates a private aircraft terminal. We have been told that the meeting is not open to the public."

Link / Archive

I also saw a new America First Action ad this morning featuring clips of Boblinsky talking about Biden's Chinese connections. At least it's getting out there on network TV this way.
 
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I could see myself voting Democrat in the future, but only if these changes are made first:
  • No more catering to woke politics
  • No more support for BLM/AntiFa
  • No more putting multinationals above small businesses
  • No more endless lockdowns
  • No more guilting people that don’t vote “the right way”
  • No more moralizing and lording over people for being supposedly better, while being guilty of the things they accuse their opponents of

Similarly, I could see myself voting Democrat if the DNC tosses out the Marxists infesting its ranks.
There's a snow droplet's chances in Hell of that happening, though.
 
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