One of people I frequently talk to keeps asking me why I'm so adamant in my belief that Joe Biden didn't win, and we've been at this 'stage' for awhile where no amount of actual evidence will persuade them because they'll slap it to the floor before they so much as look at the first paragraph or the first pixel, so we have a dynamic that's boiled itself down to "common sense arguments" because they refuse to look at anything I present, and I can't quit laughing whenever they pull up Snopes or VICE.
Setting aside all of the videos and pictures and Benford's laws and hockey stick graphs, the argument reduced all the way down to, "I do not legitimately believe that Joe Biden won the election, because his ability to win the election makes no historical or mathematical sense." Joe Biden, thus-far, is nearly at 75,000,000 votes, and through sheer numbers this means that he's performed extraordinarily well in every single demographic. Trump did better as a percentage of these demographics and in comparison to his 2016 election, but Biden would have performed better in total.
This would make Joe Biden the most electable man in the history of the United States. He will have outperformed every single candidate in the history of this country, despite the fact that a very large portion of the DNC hates him (Bernie's camp), the Conservatives and no small portion of the Independents either hate or strongly dislike him (Essentially 50%-60% of America), and he has an enthusiasm threshold so low that it can't be measured. Hate or dislike for a candidate from someone's own political party depresses turnout. They don't generally go out and protest vote or "settle for" the nominee, they just sit it out. Despite that, he's inexplicably broken the trend and broken every record.
You could argue that's due in part to Trump's unpopularity, so this a massive swell of protest votes against him. Oddly, they didn't make that argument, but it would be a good counter-point. I don't buy it, though. If Trump was considerably unpopular, he would not have received almost ten million more votes in 2020 than he did in 2016. His support base grew, it did not shrink. Barack Obama was solidly unpopular to the Conservatives and some moderates in his second election and he still performed very well. George Bush was thoroughly demonized by the media and the Democratic party, he'd gotten us into and maintained several wars, and he'd passed incredibly unpopular legislation like the Patriot Act, but he still wasn't toppled by a massive swell of protest votes. Despite a significant amount of disdain and a fairly unappealing opponent, the both of them went on to win by comfortable margins.
The only two states in the Republic that have very stringent laws to prevent fraud using absentee and mail-in ballots are Ohio (Thanks to 2004) and Florida (2000). These are the only two states that immediately swung for Trump and locked in, and he won them by very comfortable margins. I think that this would have been the case for most states in the Union, and this is why those other states that Joe Biden needed inexplicably locked down almost immediately after the counting started, and stopped counting entirely. I think they saw the gap widening, knew they had to close it, but the margin between the two was so wide that by the time they closed it, the results became absurd.
That's why the numbers don't make any sense. That's why all the graphs are fucked up, that's why Trump's support base grew in every demographic and he received almost ten million new supporters and yet it still looks like he's somehow lagging behind by an unreasonably large margin Every part of his support base grew, and yet he's still behind. I don't buy it. That makes absolutely no sense and it's in defiance of every single electoral pattern in history. I think that they were trying to crush him into a concession on the night of the election or shove so far ahead of him that it went beyond the threshold that allows for a recount, but they completely underestimated how well Trump was going to perform, so as they kept forcibly closing the gap, the 'fix' spun wildly out of control.
Suffice it to say, I was called a boot-licker. We don't have productive arguments.
