My (nightly) analysis right now:
1. PA is such a massive shitshow I doubt the Trump lawyers know what evidence to bring before the SC first. Illegal precanvasing, poll observer intimidation and removal, postal ballot fraud, VIOLATING ALITO’S ORDER TO KEEP MAIL IN BALLOTS SEPARATE AFTER 8PM. Those by themselves would get whole counties worth of ballots ghosted, at least without some serious explanation from the opposing party. The SC can always cuck, but it’s just too much.
2. Arizona might be won in the first ballot count or in the recount. May require lawsuit to remove a chunk of ballots. It’s unlikely, but possible
3. MI is another PA. There’s literally video of poll workers boarding up the building. It doesn’t inspire confidence with regards that the election process there was free and fair.
4. Georgia is big unlikely. I doubt a recount will change much, the issue will be over the ballot harvasting loophole in a lawsuit; which is not the SC’s responsibility to close, it’s the GA legislature’s. But there could be a surprise ruling. Who knows. The GOP here seem slightly chickenshit, so don’t expect direct appointment unless a bigger scandal develops. GA senators know their own election in Jan is at stake, so more pressure could be put as well.
5. Last night I would have put WI in the same category as GA, but the recent scandal here (behind premium paywall, grrrr) gives some hope.
The computer glitch story is still only being reported by Gateway Pundit and based off of cell phone screenshots of news coverage. Not confidence inspiring.
Put WI on an unlikely but possible with lawsuit. Also if the waters are kept muddy for a month, state legislature could direct appoint.
6. Nevada. It shouldn’t even be on this list, but the Signature Machine scandal will likely go to SC and I can’t say how that will go. But if those votes do get thrown out, suddenly Trump could flip NV.
7. With the Republican party line now firmly being “widespread election fraud happened”, the Senate could refuse to certify the result in Jan. Pence will lead that procedure, and will likely bring the issue up. Normally this is just a formality, but guess why there’s this one last step? If Senate refuses to certify, it goes to House where the vote is by delegation. Trump wins.
It all depends on three nuclear options. SC crowning Trump in two to three states, direct appointment, or final defiant coup in Senate. Or GOP cucks and likely kills enthusiasm for GA senate races. Take your pick. They were all insane to even imagine just a few weeks ago, but GOP found their balls and now all they have to do is keep them fastened for at least two months.
Most has been said before, but this is gonna be a daily summary for those with only tangental interest.