It's obvious Biden is having major health issues. There could not possibly be any reason whatsoever for his absences during a geopolitical shitstorm of these proportions - and they haven't even bothered to make any excuses! It's absolutely insane that the president, commander-in-chief, would disappear for days at a time during a military crisis, avoiding NATO leaders, failing to issue statements, etc. It's a literal dereliction of duty. Crazy stuff. Luckily the sitting president doesn't have that much effect on normal people's day to day lives, but if you're in the military or government and rely on the executive for orders/policy (and to cover your ass), it must be getting pretty uncomfortable.
I'll shed some crocodile tears for the apparatchiks later, along with the profiteers (and they really are mostly profiteers, even if by proxy) awaiting evacuation in Afghanistan. It may not be "right" for daddy gov'mt to abandon it's assets over there, but I'm having a hard time mustering any sympathy for whoever was dicking around in Kabul as the sun set on 20 years of bullshit occupation. I have no sympathy for ideologues or the greedy, neither group deserves any. Sometimes people must suffer for their faith. Unlike the natives, they weren't forced to enter a conflict zone, and also unlike most Afghans they've been well compensated and protected for their dedication.
Predictit has a "Biden resigns in first term" bet that I checked back on today, and the bet shares are currently sitting at 25 cents "Yes" vs. 75 cents "No". For those who aren't aware, the payout on shares is a dollar, so that makes a 50 cent bet even money. 25 cent shares would get you a 4x total return.
Unfortunately, their rules for bet resolution are shit. The bet is specifically that Biden will resign and leave office, which means that if he dies, becomes incapacitated, or is impeached/removed from office without tendering resignation, it's considered a "No" for purposes of the wager. I had initially predicted that Biden wouldn't last the first year, and while his problems (and my confidence) went quiet for a while this crisis has shown that my prediction is probably correct. Even if he holds on for the year, he ain't making a full term. That makes the timespan of the wager very favorable even if the conditions aren't great, so if you wanna put a couple bux on him resigning it's not the worst bet you could make. There's a decent chance that he will tender a resignation when faced with a health crisis or removal from office, it's just not nearly as sure as "Biden will be gone by 2024".