Like many of you have said this is an unmitigated disaster, but my question is how did it get to this?
From what I can tell, it's the end result of what we've been building towards in Afghanistan for over a decade now. What we saw there for a long time was a strange confluence between something at once vitally important and something not given a lot of oversight. For the most part, what political forces wanted to say happened there was what was going on, regardless of the facts on the ground. The Washington Post
has a far more in-depth analysis of this here, but suffice to say there were plenty of voices speaking out and plenty of eyes seeing differently. It just wasn't politically desired or expedient, so they were ignored in favor of a safe, stable quagmire, and the tax of dozens of American soldiers and billions upon billions of dollars each year.
And then, suddenly, it's coming to an end. The Trump deal is put into place, and now there's a deadline. Regardless of the Biden administration's actions, the situation not only was going to change, but all the pieces were going to fall into place. The fiction that financial and political interests were telling themselves was about to get a reality check... but my thought process is, they spent so long lying to themselves that they started believing it. I think there was a genuine belief that Afghanistan would at least hold out until we left.
Until it didn't. Until the end result of almost decades of work, trillions of dollars, and thousands upon thousands of lives was a government propped up to extract as much from us as it could before it collapsed and fled in a matter of days. Until the intelligence apparatuses we trusted were revealed to have been either unwilling or unable to tell the truth on the ground. Until it became clear that every life lost on the ground these past few weeks, every person stranded that we cannot evacuate, every square meter of land lost to the Taliban/ISIS wasn't an accident or act of God. It was all part of a grand tapestry of the demise of our Afghanistan fiction, the end of the intoxicating delusion that's defined the last four presidential periods in the United States.
Was it all worth it in the end? All of those lives, all of that money, political capital at home and Internationally spent, was it worth it? The answer to all of us is "absolutely not." It's our moonshot crashing back to Earth without leaving the atmosphere, our grand society devolving into a hellscape (if ever it wasn't), and our dreams of who were are and what we can do consumed into a nightmare. This is who we are now. God help us all.
Tl;DR: Just imagine somebody screaming until their lungs give out.