2022 movie delay thread, Top Gun 2 and Jackass 4 pushed to 2022 - Place bets for next delay

What will be the next movie delayed to 2022?

  • Dune

    Votes: 8 27.6%
  • Spider-Man: No Way Home

    Votes: 5 17.2%
  • The Last Duel

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • The French Dispatch

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • Eternals

    Votes: 2 6.9%
  • Ghostbusters: Afterlife

    Votes: 7 24.1%
  • Encanto

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • House of Gucci

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • Resident Evil: Welcome to Raccoon City

    Votes: 2 6.9%
  • Nightmare Alley

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • Spider-Man: No Way Home

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • Sing 2

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • The Matrix: Resurrections

    Votes: 5 17.2%
  • The King's Man

    Votes: 0 0.0%

  • Total voters
    29

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‘Top Gun: Maverick’ Flies From Thanksgiving To Memorial Day Weekend; ‘Mission: Impossible 7’ Ignites In Fall 2022​


EXCLUSIVE: After a successful launch of clips and footage at CinemaCon, Paramount is pushing its big Tom Cruise tentpoles, Top Gun: Maverick to May 27, Memorial Day weekend 2022, and Mission: Impossible 7 to Sept. 30, 2022.

Again, these are big potential billion dollar grossing franchises co-produced with Skydance which require the world to be in an ideal order, not crimped by a pandemic. Mission: Impossible alone through six movies has grossed over $3.57 billion. The most recent movie in 2018, Mission: Impossible – Fallout hit a franchise high of $791.7M at the worldwide B.O.

Top Gun: Maverick vacates the pre-Thanksgiving weekend of Nov. 19, and takes over Mission: Impossible 7‘s previous spot of Memorial Day weekend next year, putting the sequel to the 1986 hit back in the summer, where the original first launched and grossed $357M-plus global.

Why is Jackass moving too? Paramount didn’t want to cherry pick which movies will open in the current climate. In their view, all their filmmakers and stars deserve the same consideration and positioning in a future potential robust box office marketplace. For the time being, this leaves the rest of 2021 without any Paramount releases; their first big feature back is the Spyglass Dimension produced reboot of Scream on Jan. 14.

After Paramount consulted with experts and their own global team, they decided to move the movies given the current conditions of COVID and its Delta variant around the world. The outlook for global theater attendance is expected next year, which is the opportune time to maximize box office potential, and overall makes the most business sense for the studio’s movies. Recently, Paramount moved Clifford The Big Red Dog out of the fall and will re-date some time in the future.

There’s been buzz that Sony’s Venom: Let There Be Carnage, after wedging itself on the calendar on Oct. 15 post MGM/UAR’s No Time to Die, opening on Oct. 8, and prior to Warner Bros./HBO Max’s Dune, is expected to take over Top Gun: Maverick‘s Thanksgiving spot. We will see. Sony has released posters for Oct. 15 for Venom 2 and remains assertive that that’s where the sequel is going.





While NRG moviegoing comfort level date has remained stable over the last two weeks at roughly 67%, it’s down 11 points from July. In the latest NRG data from last week, 58% of Parents are ‘very or somewhat comfortable’ taking their children to the movies, which is down 5 points from Wednesday’s wave and is the lowest point we’ve seen on this measure since late April. Moms drove this decline, down 7 points to 53%. Overall, 25+ females have the lowest personal comfort (57%, vs. 79% among Males <25).

Similarly overseas, the comfort in attending a movie theater and positive outlook on the pandemic have declined from earlier this summer. Many markets – intercontinentally – have experienced big downturns over the past few months, including Australia, Mexico, Japan and China.
Some examples of key international markets floundering in the midst of another coronavirus downturn include Australia and Southeast Asia (The Philippines, Malaysia, Indonesia and Vietnam, particularly.)

In Southeast Asia, The Philippines, Malaysia and Indonesia are all fully shutdown, and Vietnam is operating at 2% of the market open. That said, most of Asia is still shut down or slowly return, i.e. Taiwan. Japan and Korea, continue to be more than half off of their normal box office market .

New Zealand, previously the safest place in the world in terms of the pandemic, is now on strict lockdown due to the delta variant, while Australia is still missing 55-60% of its pre-Covid theatrical footprint because of major regions such as Victoria and New South Wales being closed. It appears as though New South Wales (repping 40% of the market) won’t return until the end of October.

Latin American, while it’s seeing great slow growth, has major markets like Mexico and Brazil still 50% off from their pre-pandemic norms at the B.O.

Europe is more on track to be making a robust comeback, but with the vaccine passport in effect (particularly in France, Germany, and Italy), theatrical recovery is still slow. Italy recently posted a 70% decline off its box office norm, while France and UK are down 40%.

 
One of the few perks to the shitshow of all these lockdowns is that it's completely fucking over the entertainment industry.
Yeah, go ahead and push to 2022, your movie will still fail to make money when we're dealing with the Ligma variant next year and mask mandates/bans on indoor gatherings are still widely in effect. Turns out treating something that evolves constantly like the flu as an excuse to shut society down has consequences.
 
Wasn't Top Gun 2 supposed to come out back in 2018 or something?
July 2019. but they delayed to "allow the production to work out all the complex flight sequences"

 
One of the few perks to the shitshow of all these lockdowns is that it's completely fucking over the entertainment industry.
Yeah, go ahead and push to 2022, your movie will still fail to make money when we're dealing with the Ligma variant next year and mask mandates/bans on indoor gatherings are still widely in effect. Turns out treating something that evolves constantly like the flu as an excuse to shut society down has consequences.
The most delicious part of all is that the group of bleeding narcissists we call Hollywood actors, in a mental context, may actually be the hardest hit of all by the COVID crisis. You and I, we can go out and get a job, bone a bitch, enjoy our lives when/if this fucking shitshow's concluded. But for them, without the daily reminder that they fucking matter, without pompous movie premieres and nightly appearances on the symphony of woke garbage that is late night television, without more red carpets than an Irish orgy, these people are lost. They don't know what to do with themselves, and in a world where Trevor Noah's being outdrawn by Zoom calls on YouTube, I doubt very much they'll find their way back anytime soon. Nothing screams Hollywood in Current Year more blaringly loud than Jane Fonda calling COVID "God's gift to the left" as a gaggle of creepy skinned quinquagenarian cock-holsters cup their fake titties to remind you they merely exist. Many people have long predicted the digital cinematic distribution model, once released from its prison by COVID, is never going back in the bottle. It's here to stay, and theaters and film studios - what few will remain thereafter - are simply gonna have to fucking deal with it.

As an entertainment industry, unlike say, banking or the auto industry, they already have a built-in bailout: it's called their fucking audience. You know, the people they keep telling not to watch their increasingly shitty movies? Maybe if they stopped pinching woke turd logs in our mouths for 15 fucking seconds and offer us something we actually want to watch, they wouldn't be suffering as hard right now.

Edit: grammar
 
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Most of the Hollywood movies in question on the list are either superhero flicks, unnecessary sequels or movies adapted from video games that gamers never asked for.
Tried to add movie not like those, but most of the ones I could have didn't have trailers or seemed too small to be moved.

But do wonder what happens to the award seasons, will the studios risk them losing money, in order to get awards.
 
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I would also like to thank Hollywood for normalizing streaming during the pandemic. Now I can watch an HD pirated version on release day to see if any given film is going to turn out to be poorly written woke horseshit, instead of something Arjun taped on his Sony Handycam.
 
OK, here goes:

Everything by Warner Bros will stay on date, they release everything on HBO Max 2-4 weeks after the cinematic release anyway, the theater profits are just to cover the production costs more or less.
Spider-Man is big enough that it will make money, not as much as the last one but over $700 million worldwide easily, it also has to release on time to set up future MCU shit.
Disney/Fox stuff will either be on date or end up on Disney+.
Resident Evil is coming out in 3 months but we haven't even seen a trailer... that might get pushed back.
Ghostbusters was already pushed back, it will look bad for the movie's cred if they'll push back again... then again, Sony is retarded.
The Last Duel looks like the most boring shit ever made, that would bomb regardless of how the economy would look like, that will stay.
The French Dispatch will probably make around $60 million at least so that's a sure bet, the people who watch Anderson's movies will go see it and that's enough, plus that's expected to win some Oscars.
House of Gucci is major Oscar bait, so is Nightmare Alley, that has to come out this year.
Sing 2 is a Christmas release and it's cheap so that will stay on date, it will probably make enough to cover at least the production + marketing costs, probably more than that.

I might be wrong on 1 or 2 but I think I'll be on the money in most cases.
 
One of the few perks to the shitshow of all these lockdowns is that it's completely fucking over the entertainment industry.
Yeah, go ahead and push to 2022, your movie will still fail to make money when we're dealing with the Ligma variant next year and mask mandates/bans on indoor gatherings are still widely in effect. Turns out treating something that evolves constantly like the flu as an excuse to shut society down has consequences.
Movie theaters are open now where I live, but the process to go see one is like going through airport security from what I hear, so I'd rather stay home, get drunk off my ass and watch a movie from my collection.
 
I would also like to thank Hollywood for normalizing streaming during the pandemic. Now I can watch an HD pirated version on release day to see if any given film is going to turn out to be poorly written woke horseshit, instead of something Arjun taped on his Sony Handycam.
How does Warner Bros. even make money with this model of putting their movies on HBO Max like this? We've reached the point where Tenet is now a benchmark for how much money a big-budget movie can make to be "successful".
 
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Movie theaters are open now where I live, but the process to go see one is like going through airport security from what I hear, so I'd rather stay home, get drunk off my ass and watch a movie from my collection.
I'm not sure if you're American, but I've been to the movie theater several times recently,, and it's totally normal. If you're Australia n or something like that, you have my sympathies.
 
Movie theaters are open now where I live, but the process to go see one is like going through airport security from what I hear, so I'd rather stay home, get drunk off my ass and watch a movie from my collection.
What's kept me away is not knowing what shape my local theater is in, is the screen dirty? Is everything run down and dirty? I dread the potential of the sure to be awful experience of paying to see a movie in a fucked up theater and deciding whether to take the hit or leave and ask for a refund.

Only movie I really care about seeing in theaters is Ghostbusters.
 
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Movie theaters are open now where I live, but the process to go see one is like going through airport security from what I hear, so I'd rather stay home, get drunk off my ass and watch a movie from my collection.
Don't know what theaters think they're going to accomplish with this. Ones near me for a new blockbuster movie had almost all the seats open - on opening night. Multiple theaters in the area either went nearly bankrupt or were bought out by other larger companies. Apparently there's some that go as autistically far as bringing people in to flick flashlights around to catch people not masking up like they're stopping those pesky piraters. I can see theaters continuing to bleed money if this continues.
 
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