Roth IRA is all in funds: 40% domestic stock index, 40% international stock index, 10% domestic bonds index, 10% international bonds index. Contributions maxed quickly every year and immediately used to buy into those same funds.
403b with maxed contribution, and employer matching sucks here.
Everything beyond that goes in high-yield savings, and I just moved it from 2.5% to 4.85%. Checked CDs, but they're only about 0.4% higher than my new savings account and require more maintenance due to their short maturity.
My savings account was originally my emergency fund with six months of expenses saved, but then I just kept dumping more into it after I reached that.
Mid-30s, hoping to retire in mid-60s, but given the political climate, maybe I should shoot for mid-90s.
Alright, this is going to be a long (and hopefully) well structured post but I want to put this up front because it is easily the overriding concern here and must not be missed:
>>Your 121k should be in a normal brokerage account and invested in a market index.<<
There are a few caveats** to that that I'll get into but it needed to be short and to the point. Also you're to be commended for saving what you have even with sub-optimal investments. You're already way ahead of the average person. That said...
I. Investment returns and inflation
There is a critical thing I think people don't grasp well is that while money if fungible investment returns are also fungible. Interest you are paying is just an investment with a negative return. Inflation can also be though of as a return on investment but inverted in that it reduces positive returns and "increases" negative returns. For example a mortgage at 2% right now is "making" 7%* so you're essentially getting 5% returns and should not pay your hypothetical mortgage any faster than you have to.
One of the consequences of this is that money just sitting in a checking account (or in your mattress, or wallet) essentially has a negative return. Similarly because the interest you get in a savings account will always be below the prime interest rate set by the fed and that is basically never more than even the government's inflation numbers money in a savings account essentially always has a negative return. The fed just lowered rates so you will see savings interest come down. For instance popular direct just reduced their CD rates in the past couple days. The takeaway here is the you have six figures making a negative return.
*if you believe the government numbers, which are fake and gay.
Shadow Stats is probably closer to the truth.
II. Investment options and time horizons
It is well known that stocks aka equities return more than bonds do. So then, grug want most money, why grug ever buy bonds? The answer is volatility or in other words while the overall trend for stocks is higher the day to day (or in some cases, year to year) swings are bigger. If you bought stocks in 2007 and waited until 2017 you did pretty well. If you bought stocks in 2007 with the intent to buy a house using that money in 2008 you got hosed. Compare to bonds which would've worked in the short term from 2007 to 2008 but have done much worse between 2007 and 2017. Savings (I am using a money market fund here as a proxy you're just going to have to trust me bro on this) would have lost significant money.

This is $10k in VTSAX (stocks) vs. VBTLX (bonds) vs. VMFXX (savings) from 2007 to 2017, inflation adjusted using government numbers, from
testfol.io.
So what does this mean? Well I can't predict the future but IMO that means if you have money that you're going to need in the next couple months (or unexpectedly) you should keep it in savings, if you're going to need in in the next few years it should probably be in bonds, and if you're not planning on needing it in the next 5-7+ years you should be in stocks. Again to hammer this home. When looking at this your 121k is in the yellow line going down. From 2007 to 2017 your $121,000 would've turned into just over $100,000 *IF* you believe the government inflation numbers and *IF* you were in a money market fund. Your savings account is realistically going to earn less than a money market fund and as established the inflation numbers are under reported, so you would've managed to turn six figures into five figures.
**Most people will recommend you keep some months of expenses on hand. I'm on the fence about that since you can sell stocks in a couple days and have a month+ buffer with a credit card but if you want to then not all of your 121k would be invested. I am also assuming this money is for retirement or at least has no near term purpose as you didn't mention any.
III. Asset allocations or why bonds are gay and smelly third worlders + europoors don't work hard enough
You say your IRA is 40% US market, 40% int'l market, 10% US bond market, and 10% int'l bond market. That almost looks like a target date fund (but the int'l percent is too high). Regardless they're a good lead in so if you'll allow me to sperg a bit: Target date funds are the CYA funds that retirement plans default to and as a result invest in bonds way too early. If you remember from earlier bonds for anything over 5 years are probably a bad idea but as an example the vanguard 2035 target date fund (VTTHX) has fucking 30% bonds
right now despite it being 11 years away. If you're in your mid-30s' and aiming to retire at 60 (or indeed any age and planned retirement is over a decade away) I would not have any money in bonds.
Regarding the US stock market vs. the international stock market this one is a bit more up to taste however there are some considerations. The main argument for the US market is over the last several decades US returns have been higher than international returns. Additionally if shit hits the fan in the US then things are probably grim everywhere else too. There is a saying "when the US sneezes everyone gets a cold". On the other hand owning both is obviously diversifying and there's not guarantees the US returns continue to beat international returns. Although if you think Pierre, Abdul, and Zhang are going to be more honest and hardworking than John I would probably disagree.
For comparison Warren Buffet recommends all US market and most target date funds are 60% US and 40% int'l. I think anything within that range is reasonable and personally go for 66/34 just because the math is easy to do. It also doesn't need to be exact. Accordingly I think your 50/50 split is too high.
IV. Expense Ratios aka wtf I hate investment bankers now
Throughout this I've continually referred to US market indexs and Int'l market indexes. Any reputable broker will have their own versions of these with a low (less than 0.1%) expense ratio. I presume you are smart enough to use these and not invest into any retarded meme funs with 1% or higher expense ratios. However I feel like I must mention this because I have personally seen people who lost multiple hundreds of thousands of dollars by being invested in funds with 1.25% expense ratio for decades vs. a bog standard S&P 500 fund. I don't want to belabor the point but briefly an expense ratio is essentially compound interest against you and while 1% might not sound like a lot, it is. Anything more than 0.15% should not be considered.
V. Dollar Cost Averaging and don't fucking fuck with it or you'll fucking fuck it up fucker
Much like expense ratios I expect this to be common sense but feel the need to mention it lest you rekt yourself. If you were looking at things in 2008 like in the chart above things would look pretty grim but if you just ignored it you would be fine. However if you sold on the way down and didn't buy back in you would be completely fucked. You might also be tempted looking at the chart to think "well, just sell before it goes down and buy in at the bottom". This would be a retarded idea that seems possible only in hindsight. The truth is you cannot predict the market (no one can) which is the entire point of using an index fund. Moreover even if you could there are people out there with insider information such as Nancy Pelosi who will eat your lunch.
You should invest regularly without regard for how the market is doing. If it's down you're getting a discount, if it's up your getting in while it's hot. The idea is to buy equities and then only sell them when you're actually going to use the money for something else (ie. retirement). Also you should be re-investing your dividends.
VI. All of this shit applies everywhere
Everything said so far applies to money in any of your accounts (brokerage, savings, 403b, roth IRA) because money is fungible. This obviously means you shouldn't be holding a ton of cash or bonds anywhere and should not be in any high expense ratio funds anywhere.
Where this falls apart are things like a 401k or 403b that only give you limited options. Many times you won't even get a full US market or int'l market fund. For that you'll want to do your best to
approximate it. At worst you'll probably have access to an S&P 500 fund and can simply dump everything in that. I do remember one client with a particularly shit 401k that the lowest expense ratio fund was an S&P 500 at .75% which was just awful but I doubt you're so unlucky.
VII. Actually Retiring
So you took the advice from some raging anti-semite on the evil doxing fourm and now you're big dick swinging with a couple mil (2024 dollars) in the bank. Even better the US didn't collapse and you now want to retire and enjoy your gains. But what if 2008 happens again right after you retire? Well if you're planning to retire soon that means your time horizon is under 5 years. If you remember from the beginning of this screed that means bonds will now be useful. But how many? Should you transfer everything into bonds and pay capital gains on your entire stack? Well, no, that's obviously retarded.
The short version is for a few years before retirement you should switch to acquiring bonds and then immediately after retirement live off those same bonds. This will help reduce your sequence risk (ie. how bad it is if shit hits the fan immediately once your retire). I won't get into it since this is already too long but I will recommend the entirety of truly excellent early retirement now blog and specifically
their article on it. Also FYI you can draw about 3% per year (inflation adjusted) from a portfolio and not deplete it (See the ERN safe withdrawl rate series).
VIII. What I would do in your shoes.
So I've written this screed but what does that mean for you specifically? If I were you I would:
- Invest all (or all except a small emergency fund) of your after-tax-121k into 66% US market and 34% int'l market low expense funds with a normal brokerage account at ex. fidelity. Continue to add to this as you have extra money.
Do not try to time the market.
- Continue to max out your roth IRA and 403b. Tax advantaged accounts will basically always beat regular investing. Doubly so if you're getting
any kind of match. (Re-)Allocate those funds like your brokerage. If your IRA isn't someplace you can do that roll it over to some place that you can. Do your best with your options in your 403b. Seriously,
check your 403b options. You don't want to be in some 1% fund.
- Once your 55 start buying bonds. Then retire at 60. If you've saved enough that 3% is enough to live on you can really set your heirs up, donate to a charity, or whatever.
- Read through the ERN blog.
- I hope you found this useful.