- Joined
- Jun 9, 2020
In all Western economies, precisely two things are true:
1) Asset prices are too high. If people are spending all their money to pay rents to a tiny ownership class, this causes immense long-term economic and social problems, as seen in South America. Thus, asset prices have to go down.
2) If asset prices go down, the economy crashes, since people's (boomers') wealth is tied up in these assets, and the banks also have a stake in it through the mortgage market. If asset prices go down (or even stop going up), the boomers will have much less money to spend, which hurts the economy. Thus, asset prices have to go up.
This is a bit of a paradox. Asset prices have to go up and down at the same time, or otherwise the economy will crash. How do our central planners square this circle?
I think the answer to that question is inflation. Let's say we have 10-15% inflation - extremely high by modern standards, but about what we had in the 1940s and 1970s. Then what?
Now, it would require a leap of faith to suggest our central planners are competent enough to pull this off successfully. But I don't see any obvious downsides to large inflation. Heck, even hyperinflation seems fine. Inflation is the only way to make everyone happy, such that boomers do not see notional value losses while millennials still have a decent purchasing power.
Can anyone of you faggots explain what's so bad about inflation, why I should worry about it, and why it shouldn't go to a sensible 10-20-30%?
1) Asset prices are too high. If people are spending all their money to pay rents to a tiny ownership class, this causes immense long-term economic and social problems, as seen in South America. Thus, asset prices have to go down.
2) If asset prices go down, the economy crashes, since people's (boomers') wealth is tied up in these assets, and the banks also have a stake in it through the mortgage market. If asset prices go down (or even stop going up), the boomers will have much less money to spend, which hurts the economy. Thus, asset prices have to go up.
This is a bit of a paradox. Asset prices have to go up and down at the same time, or otherwise the economy will crash. How do our central planners square this circle?
I think the answer to that question is inflation. Let's say we have 10-15% inflation - extremely high by modern standards, but about what we had in the 1940s and 1970s. Then what?
- Asset prices (i.e. property, stock market), can continue to go up by a stable 5-10% a year, meaning people will not lose money, and their debt will not overtake them
- Asset prices (i.e. property, stock market), can go down in real terms (e.g. 5% growth at 15% inflation means it "actually" gets 10% cheaper), meaning people will be able to afford them
- Also, debt would go away (owing someone $2k is less of a problem if that's only worth like $500)
Now, it would require a leap of faith to suggest our central planners are competent enough to pull this off successfully. But I don't see any obvious downsides to large inflation. Heck, even hyperinflation seems fine. Inflation is the only way to make everyone happy, such that boomers do not see notional value losses while millennials still have a decent purchasing power.
Can anyone of you faggots explain what's so bad about inflation, why I should worry about it, and why it shouldn't go to a sensible 10-20-30%?