Is the electronics industry as we know it done for?

Romaniac

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kiwifarms.net
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Mar 11, 2025
This is not another one of those threads rehashing folksy maxims like "They don't make 'em like they used to" or "If it ain't broke...".

This is a serious wake-up call about an industry that has lost its cultural cachet.

Tech used to be the industry of the rebels during the 90s and especially the 2000s. It was one of the few white-collar industries where you could dress like a blue-collar worker or even just in jeans and a T-shirt – literally just wear something and maybe don't stink. It was one of the most rapidly-evolving industries out there – while development in cars and home appliances was mostly stagnant with the occasional gimmick here and there, SV and Redmond were churning out so many new ways to do things in a short period of time. It was one of the few industries where it seems like autistic people could thrive – they were often the ones who enjoyed their jobs so much that they would work on "pet projects" on the side. Imagine if civil engineering positions were full of people who poured concrete or drafted on their spare time! Such an industry was surely an anomaly – and it also attracted a kind of rebellion too.

Consider that big tech has unabashedly flouted IP law various times, and were admired by the public for it. Consider that it was Big Tech that put CD-ROM drives in computers to rip disks and get around compulsory SCMS in dedicated equipment. Consider that Big Tech companies helped to strike down SOPA and PIPA, something that I think a lot of the anti-AI crowd would support in addition to a complete ban on automation in the arts. Consider that Big Tech used to release devices that you didn't *have* to connect to the Internet, so you could use them for your own nefarious purposes...

I often feel like all of the above represents a very anomalous time in history, and I highly doubt that time will come again.

The tech industry benefited from a reactionary attitude against 1980s puritanism and conservatism in "brand new" clothes, low tariffs with China, and a culture of people repurposing their International Business Machines for playing games or making beep boop music.

Now, I think Gen Z culture is moving back towards a "gradual" approach to life, where many people don't want a computer in their pocket, a high-powered desktop rig, or a lifestyle significantly different from their grandparents'. They want stricter copyright protection, perhaps a ban on cultural appropriation. They want machines that will correct your unsavory behavior. They don't want to know how things work or be able to see that their computer stopped working because of a divide by zero error – they are content with knowing that "something went wrong." And many of them think tech itself is problematic – I've seen more concerns about screens and eyeballs (including the arguably pseudoscientific research on blue light), tech products being made from Congolese minerals, Apple's logo being a conspiracy to get people to think their products are natural, and concerns about how engaging with this technology is just plain unhealthy no matter how you slice that apple.

Many even wonder if one day, heavy digital technology use will be thought of as similar to cigarettes. I doubt that many will actually switch to flip phones or swear off owning a computer because some TikToker who shares their gender and generation told them so, but there seems to be less... demand for tech products. Many just view them as boring, or merely a necessity you need because your work forces you to have a phone number and machine to type and browse on. A cell phone is like a mattress, and a computer like a vacuum.

I sometimes wonder if the current time, when amateurs can play around with massive ML and see all the profanity/pornography they want on KiwiFarms, will go down in history negatively. I wonder if people will view this time similarly to the early days of the automobile.
  1. There was no such thing as a driver's license in the early days of cars, and states would hand them out to pretty much anyone of any age who could reach the pedals afterwards. People would say "WHOA" instead of braking because they thought they were in a horse-drawn carriage.
  2. DUIs weren't a thing until 1910 in New York, and until the 1980s, most states were very lenient with both giving them out and taking away privileges for them. It was a minor crime, like speeding.
  3. There were no crosswalks and speed limits were inconsistently enforce in many areas.
  4. There was very little standardization for the controls of a given vehicle. A Ford Model T had more in common with a lawnmower of today.
  5. Cars would pollute, pollute, pollute that low-quality gasoline with lead.
  6. Cars were durable, but not people. No crumple zones.
  7. The government did not give a fuck about highways. Many were built and maintained by "auto clubs" that eventually turned into AAA.
Similarly:
  1. There's very little regulation for being a software developer or electronics engineer. No PE or registration needed in the US for computer engineers, as long as you don't mind not calling yourself an engineer in some states, and no one regulates programmers. Amateurs can solder away, or program their own ML algorithms.
  2. For every person given a rigorous punishment for copyright infringement/piracy/illegal emulation, there's thousands of others who openly brag about it in their "Intro to electronic circuitry" class.
  3. There's no limit on how much electricity a home PC build uses as long as you can pay the 40c/hr for a 1000W machine, and no limit to how fast a home computer can be. Unlike radio, we never really tried to keep swear words off the goddamned bitchin' internet.
  4. There's very little standardization in the computer industry over time or between standards. MacOS and Windows are radically different – Java and Python more so, and the way Google employees write their Python is also radically different from the Python in Redmond. Conversely, other fields have opted for as few standards as possible – consider sheet music or pretty much any form of mathematical symbolism you learn in a K-12 math class.
  5. Computers are inefficient and made with blood minerals. They are basically sold at a loss with cheap Chinese labor and the benefit of an unclear supply chain.
  6. Companies care more about their products being made of aluminum and using durable SSDs instead of caring about the connectomes of young women irreversibly scarred by social media.
  7. Cable companies, cellular companies, and satellite companies are fucking cartels.
I sense a future where tech is radically different. Your Xbox Series X or Mac Mini M4 will never look the same.
 
They want stricter copyright protection, perhaps a ban on cultural appropriation.
That's a big one to extrapolate from anti-AI creative arts sperging. People like to pirate, remix, steel, and meme everything in sight if it's easy and nobody's stopping them. And I think SCOTUS could settle the matter of copyright and AI, possibly in favor of Big Tech if arguments like this pan out:
Training AI Using ‘Pirated’ Content Can Be Fair Use, Law Professors Argue (archive)

There's no limit on how much electricity a home PC build uses as long as you can pay the 40c/hr for a 1000W machine, and no limit to how fast a home computer can be.
This is the dark ages compared to what could become possible a decade or two from now, and if people are sufficiently scared by it, they may attempt to regulate home Skynet-computers of mass destruction. Maybe you'll be permitted your 128-core CPU and 16K-capable GPU, but neuromorphic chips will be controlled or get you put on a watchlist.

There is a competency crisis and lots of locked down shit, but also more open hardware and cheap crap to tinker with than ever before. Raspberry Pis fly off the shelves and there's plenty of more obscure stuff available, RISC-V as a counter to ARM, etc.

It's too soon to go full doomer on electronics, but it's always a good time to scream into the void.
 
I used a flip phone until they phased out 2/3G, then I got a 4G compatible Nokia with WhatsApp until suddenly you needed to scan QR codes and take photos when something broke. I’m thinking of getting away from it all and I have a plan. The cellphone/computer are simply indispensable in this cyberpunk dystopia without the cool bits. People are just going to keep spending time online, and I’m certain digital minimalism or going offline aren’t realistic options for now.

There probably aren’t many products that aren’t directly or indirectly the result of some unfair labour practices. God has been kind to me - I do not own a desktop computer/laptop now nor do I plan to own one. Really breaking away from this either costs insane money or insane tolerance for less-than-ideal conditions, it’s too bad I don’t have insane money.
 
I though we all agreed that Zoomers were retarded and shouldn't be taken seriously. Zoomers are just that way because they are total Boomers when it comes to tech. They will have to come crying to the Millennials and younger Gen Z to fix their tech gadgets. Remember these are the niggers...I mean people that don't know how a computer file system works. When mocked for this Boomerific failure they whine "well no one taught us anything" all while having the knowledge of the world at their finger tips right in their pockets. Don't worry Zoomers daddy Millennial will turn your PC on for you when you don't even bother to flip the little black power switch on the back of the PSU. We will also charge you like $300 to do this. You will have to just spend less on door dash McDonalds and perm in a bottle for your retarded broccoli haircuts.


Zoomers can become anti-tech troglodytes all they want. It won't do them any good. Tech isn't going anywhere. We aren't going back the 1990 or 1950's in regards to tech because Zoomers are retarded Boomer tier dip shits.

I don't want niggers around and we all know how that's going on.
 
op is an autistic nerd that loves his 'puter

OP be like,

IMG_8985.jpeg
 
What I've noticed recently and don't like is that fact that every new smartphone now, no matter what the price is, all have some sort of AI feature to it. I feel AI now can come across as a dangerous thing depending what the circumstance is, but I feel we also haven't reached the peak of what it is cable of. This is clearly just the new trend all phone manufactures are jumping on by implementing it into every phone, but there's something about it that just doesn't sit right.
 
Tech used to be the industry of the rebels during the 90s and especially the 2000s. It was one of the few white-collar industries where you could dress like a blue-collar worker or even just in jeans and a T-shirt – literally just wear something and maybe don't stink. It was one of the most rapidly-evolving industries out there – while development in cars and home appliances was mostly stagnant with the occasional gimmick here and there, SV and Redmond were churning out so many new ways to do things in a short period of time. It was one of the few industries where it seems like autistic people could thrive – they were often the ones who enjoyed their jobs so much that they would work on "pet projects" on the side. Imagine if civil engineering positions were full of people who poured concrete or drafted on their spare time! Such an industry was surely an anomaly – and it also attracted a kind of rebellion too.

I wear jeans and a collared shirt to work and I'm in engineering. Dressing up for work is one of those things that fell by the wayside in STEM. Its not unheard of engineers to have part time projects tangetially related to what they do during the day. At the same time it is ok to have hobbies that don't align with your work. Even if civil engineering had people who practiced doing things like that in their spare time, they aren't going to discover anything new. Civil engineering like a lot of real engineering is bound by the laws of physics. If there is a new process is being perfected that generally means new, stronger materials have come out and can replace something in construction. With software and electronics you can solder at home, you're just configuring an application, and in the electronics case, once again you're bound by the laws of physics. Software is really creating applications and systems. Here is a nasty secret about computer science in academia: everything under the sun has been done. Papers are now more applications in other fields not improving general computing to begin with.

Consider that big tech has unabashedly flouted IP law various times, and were admired by the public for it. Consider that it was Big Tech that put CD-ROM drives in computers to rip disks and get around compulsory SCMS in dedicated equipment. Consider that Big Tech companies helped to strike down SOPA and PIPA, something that I think a lot of the anti-AI crowd would support in addition to a complete ban on automation in the arts. Consider that Big Tech used to release devices that you didn't *have* to connect to the Internet, so you could use them for your own nefarious purposes...

Doom and gloom and I'll offer this: all big companies will fail one day. Look at the S&P 500. How many companies that were on the S&P 500 back 30 years ago are still on it now? Big tech companies will eventually start disappearing. Lot of the push for putting things on forcing device on the Internet come from consumer demand and trends that the consumer wants to control things on their smart phone. Eventually people will realize their fridge and refrigerator don't need to be controlled by an app and the demand for such products will diminish.

There's very little regulation for being a software developer or electronics engineer. No PE or registration needed in the US for computer engineers, as long as you don't mind not calling yourself an engineer in some states, and no one regulates programmers. Amateurs can solder away, or program their own ML algorithms.

I can live without software PE's. As an engineer, PE's are only required when human safety is a factor. Other than that, the accreditation board is a cash grab since you have to pay money to take exams. The first exam you take in your process to become a PE is a multiple choice, standardize test called the Fundamentals of Engineering (FE) and its eight hours long. Fuck that shit. I had to take the PE once during my undergraduate program for electrical engineering. It was required by my school for their ABET accreditation. I had to wake up early on a Saturday and sit there to take an eight hour exam all while I had my senior design project presentation coming up the following week. I spent a whole 25 minutes trying to do it right before guessing on every answer and leaving the exam early. I was studying signal processing and RF communications, not power systems, I didn't give a shit and it has never come up once in my career.

Lets say you have a nuclear power plant and there is software involved, you don't need an accredited software engineer since all engineering changes will go by the chief engineer who you can presume would be the PE providing the stamp. If software can't prove their software works without extensive documentation requiring peer review and signatures by stakeholder, safety reports with similar attributes, and witnessed testing with quality engineers involved witnessing as the test performs, then the chief engineer isn't approving anything. You don't really need a software engineering PE for this, a civil engineer with a PE would be adequate with how the engineering process supports it.

There's no limit on how much electricity a home PC build uses as long as you can pay the 40c/hr for a 1000W machine, and no limit to how fast a home computer can be. Unlike radio, we never really tried to keep swear words off the goddamned bitchin' internet.

Oh yes there will be just by nature of how small you can fabricate a silicon semiconductor. We will eventually reach a point where we can't make processors any smaller since the wires and substrates connecting the chip circuit elements will be too small and quantum mechanics will introduce entropy making an unreliable computer. Eventually computers will hit a wall. Making two socket processor machines to get more cores out isn't much of a solution because multi-processor programming is a bitch and has use cases which means you can't just parallelize everything. Eventually computers just won't get any better, faster, or consumer more electricity. There is a ceiling.

There's very little standardization in the computer industry over time or between standards. MacOS and Windows are radically different – Java and Python more so, and the way Google employees write their Python is also radically different from the Python in Redmond. Conversely, other fields have opted for as few standards as possible – consider sheet music or pretty much any form of mathematical symbolism you learn in a K-12 math class.

You're about to make interesting point about standards but veer into a non sequitur example and a pretty dumb one at best. Yes, operating systems are different. Yes, computer languages vary. Yes, Python is a language where there is numerous ways to do something. Who gives a shit?

Yeah there should be standards on peripheral buses since it keeps computer devices all compatible and corrects the issue of back in the day when normies are standing around in CompUSA wondering if their Window's machine can accept a mouse that on the box says "IBM PC compatible." When it comes to the nuts and bolts that make up these machines? I don't think there needs to be standards beyond interacting and interfacing like JSON or communications protocols. Right now we have a massive "hacker" culture going on with web services and those companies are rushing to get their product online quickly as possible. They aren't going to waste time writing a standard so other companies can interface with them seamlessly. They create an API and move on. If there was a profit incentive to do so, then they would. Going back to language standards, yeah Python has a set language standard and standardization committee. Lots of languages have these. Python intentionally makes thing flexible as its applications are all over the place and the standardization committees don't mind since their use cases are represented. I don't think there should be set standards across languages because languages cater to their application not to other languages. Java is only radically different depending on what version you use since Java before Java 8 was very verbose.
 
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American are sellouts who cry like babies about being sellouts. Everything has been made in China for the better part of a century and people crying about 'ma america' has been going on for just as long. What people forget is that the Americans moved their manufacturing over seas. The Americans wanted to short change their customers and make a cheap buck and then bail out. The Americans chose to outsource to foreign companies. Didn't want legacy. Didn't want multi-generational company. All the idea of 'made in america' comes from the time right after World War 2 when the United States was one of the few industrial countries (England Germany ...) that wasn't bombed to shit.

Americans pretend to like freedom, but they actually want to you to have a licence for everything. This might seem extreme, but eventually you'll even need a licence to have sex. you already have a marriage licence. A sex licence isn't even that different at this point. While the American Federal Constitution says all Americans may have guns, many states make that law invalid and the Federal government isn't going to deploy the national guard like they did when they integrated the school to make niggers be in the same classroom as whites. These old beliefs about America's indentiy are really just a cult. All the things you have to accept to be in the cult mean rejecting reality and living in a fantacy that have no basis in physical reality. I can list all the concrete detals of how this is true, but people just get angry and want to argue becaues they're in a cult, which missis the point. Americans are just Nazi who love licencing and love spaying and neuter undesirable peasents (tarnsgenderism) and like to gas light christians by derssing up like Satan. The trend will continue until the United States is indestinguashable from current day India.

Don't like, call it doom positing ... Fuck you. Dink the KoolAid and die. Bceause you are in a cult.
 
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The same thing happened with the video game industry. The MBA's took over and enshittification ensued.
They will have to come crying to the Millennials and younger Gen Z to fix their tech gadgets.
Isn't it usually the other way around? The older Gen Z kids who grew up before the iPad era tend to be somewhat competent with actual computers. It's still a bit of a shit show though.
Electronics industry died the moment this photograph was taken
Eternal September June
 
The same thing happened with the video game industry. The MBA's took over and enshittification ensued.

Isn't it usually the other way around? The older Gen Z kids who grew up before the iPad era tend to be somewhat competent with actual computers. It's still a bit of a shit show though.

Eternal September June
I meant younger Gen X. I fucked up. It will be Millennials and younger Gen X that will have to keep the tech running. Older Gen X (people in their 50's) are no better than Boomers with tech and the Zoomers won't be any better.
 
hen mocked for this Boomerific failure they whine "well no one taught us anything" all while having the knowledge of the world at their finger tips right in their pockets.
Even if it's something they can't Google, they can always ask someone. the little lazy shits are at work to collect a paycheck and not work. some of the smarter ones shape up after an hour long interrogation about why they didn't ask for help and what their thought processes were for not asking.
Consider that Big Tech used to release devices that you didn't *have* to connect to the Internet, so you could use them for your own nefarious purposes...
internet wasn't readily available or reliable as it is today. now it's completely wireless.
Cars were durable, but not people. No crumple zones.
lol no, some models completely disintegrated and the passengers inside did as well. the only way to come to this conclusion is by watching car crashes in films and movies. Those have a roll bar in them to prevent them pancaking btw.
 
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