H. Bergeron
kiwifarms.net
- Joined
- Jun 29, 2021
And once again, that isn't how politics works. In 2028 Desantis will have been retired as Governor of FL for two years, and the only elected office which would make sense for him, Senator wouldn't even be up in 2026. Ask Chris Christie how well that goes. Trump is not owed the nomination, but the main issue is a lot of the hard core going full sunk cost fallacy on him.Milo isn't entirely off base with this one. I think a lot of people really underestimate Trump and as much as I like DeSantis, the establishment protecting or rooting him is only going to hurt DeSantis. I think even amongst the disgruntled non-Trumpers realize by now that it HAS to be Trump and everyone would rather DeSantis run in 2028.
Let's assume Trump wins the primary, runs in 2024, and by some miracle of God wins the presidency. One, he will NOT be a popular president, the country will go through another four years of decent to good policy and horrible fucking resistance narratives along with Trump headlines about the latest shit he decided to drunk tweet. So 2028 comes along, do you really think ANY R is going to have a chance in the follow up to that?
Trump's fans are enthusiastic, the turns out a lot of voters who wouldn't normally vote, but he also turns out more against him. The only reason he won in 2016 was because Hillary was literally the worst presidential candidate in modern times with a huge likability gap vs an outsider. But 2020 was a major wakeup call. Trump has zero ground game. His constantly rotating staff never lets him set up a bulwark and in the end he was beaten by a dementia patient.
And that is because people fucking hate him, and are scared of him in equal measure. He is the big bad boogeyman to the moderates that make up a good part of the country and swing elections. Thet have, and WILL go out to vote against him, and anything he stands for. And we have three elections now that show that on balance, there are more of him than excited maga voters.
And much of the support Trump had is evaporating due to flat out idiotic comments over the last week.