Global Supply Chain Crisis 2021: Megathread - A cozy thread for watching the supply chain fall apart just in time for the holidays

[Xarpho]

One of the things I've been thinking about is some sort of open-source database where everything is coming and going to. I've worked enough crap wagie jobs and have done some autistic research to find some of the plants and distribution centers where some of these are coming from. I mean, think about how widespread something is, like, say, Tabasco sauce, and realize that all of it has to come from a backwater Louisiana town with one way in and out, and the supply chain has to make sure it reaches thousands of miles away and gets to every grocery store and most every convenience store in the country.

 

[Leslie Nielsen]

College BTFO


Learn the trades boys, it's where all the shortages are right now.

This. I pretty much joined my trade because I knew it was one of those jobs where i'd never be out of work. My state was one of the more aggressive ones when it came to lockdowns, and I never lost my job because i was considered an essential worker. There's also the fact that half of the people in my field are set to retire within the next 10 years.

 

[What the shit]

I have noticed lately there isn't much egg products at my store so perhaps that also might be due to the trucking shortage but perhaps I’m putting ny thoughts on something that isn’t even the problem. The fact that trucking companies are giving people out-of-the-blue bonuses and wages of up to $14000 weekly is insane to me especially since all you really need is a CDL and some experience and you could be set for years with something like that if you aren’t some retard.

 

[Liber Pater]

1.5 million missing workers

Sauce? This is now the second time I have heard this claim, and no one ever links me the source.

 

[Jump]

Getting a CDL is very easy, albeit a pain in the ass. If that makes sense. I mean, you have to jump through hoops, but none of those hoops are particularly challenging.

Depending on where you live, there may be a market for local drivers with no experience, especially right now. Bearing in mind *those* jobs tend to be utter shit like salt water disposal or soda delivery.

Ya and if you work for a big company that trains you in exchange for driving for them for X months they hold your hand. School bus companies in my state are paying 3K sign on bonus to green hires (7K for hires already with a CDL). Drive a school bus for a school year and then walk away with the 3K and a free CDL. Massachusetts is using the national guard to drive school buses its so bad.

If you have a CDL now its a license to print money. You don't have to be long haul to use it. Get a job delivering home heating oil and its a normal 9-5 gig.
If your an Owner Operator your fucking getting PAID now. They get to bid on their routes.
If you skip to the 2:00 mark in this vid you can see the apps they use now.

 

[Thomas Highway]

There are definitely shortages of certain items at random times. Also the cost of everything continues to rise.

 

[LatinasAreTheFuture]

Do we have a timeline of when shit would potentially hit the fan?

Two mitre weeks!

 

[likeacrackado]

One of my local grocery chains recently 'temporarily' cut back their hours. Wonder if this has anything to do with that. They've always seemed to be pretty stocked when I've gone there.

It remains to be seen what the true effects of the eviction moratorium, vaccine mandates, etc. have on the supply of workers, but I don't know of a time where a general depression/recession coincided with a shortage of workers. And I have zero faith in the sheltered Ivy League twats' ability to find and implement a solution.

 

[Sir Lurksalot]

The DEF level sensor issue seems to have multiple causes, including possible coolant routing in new International built diesels. It seems that over-heating and accumulation of the crystallized urea are two common causes. I'm guessing that this would have resulted in a few embarrasing recalls and then been forgotten were it not for the fact that the sensors are CAN bus digital sensors which all use semiconductors that are in short supply. Backorders for common MCUs and interface ICs has gone to 18 months (some more some less). Here are a few links I found on the issue cropping up in carious places:

International DEF Sensor Failures

Discussion on RV Travel on DEF Failures

Discussion on RV Travel About DEF Sensor Workarounds

 

[contradiction of terns]

@GuntPunt

I was not able to get specs. My friend said the dealership they were working with got wind of new info and clammed up on them. I found an article about a group working on designing an emulator and added it to the OP for you. It's the best I can do RN. Bebakhshid.

Based on the feedback submitted from other Kiwis so far, I have developed a theory. I believe that due to supply chain triage the major metropolitan areas are receiving the bulk of the goods they would usually have. This may account for why so many Kiwis have reported rising prices, but full or mostly full shelves.

This is how it works, hypothetically;

Apple orders 53 million dollars worth of computer chips to the 23 million or so from the auto industry. Because Apple is the larger, more beneficial account, those chips will go to Apple first and foremost.

America's population will be given the same treatment. The small towns and independent owners will be the first to be dropped from the delivery schedules. Anyone who can't afford to pay increasingly more for the deliveries will be dropped from the rosters. Etc, etc. Big cities will remain stocked much longer than suburbs and small towns.

Here is a grocery store saying they were only getting 40% of what they ordered back in August.

An article about empty shelves and grocery shortages from one day ago.

I checked the items listed in the second article against the shelves at my local grocery store. This chain of stores re-stocks Mon, Wed, Fri. This was after the store had been re-stocked.

 

[tehpope]

Not the heckin H-E-B!?!?!?!

Stores around here have been fine. Some items seem to drift in and out of stock. Right now its Smart Popcorn. Before it was Snapple Diet Peach Tea, Diet Dr Pepper, A&W Zero Sugar, probably other items i'm forgetting. I'm in a pretty populated suburban area.

 

[contradiction of terns]

Not the heckin H-E-B!?!?!?!

Stores around here have been fine. Some items seem to drift in and out of stock. Right now its Smart Popcorn. Before it was Snapple Ice Tea, Diet Dr Pepper, A&W Zero Sugar, probably other items i'm forgetting. I'm in a pretty populated suburban area.

Since it's only fair, I will say I live in a rural area that is fairly populous by rural area standards. With that said, I am surrounded by farmers, and let me just say the price of feed has doubled. Chicken feed went from $11 for 50lbs to $20-22 for 50lbs, and I wouldn't be surprised to find the same holds true for cattle and horses. If the farmers can't feed themselves because no food is coming into their areas, and they can't afford to feed their livestock, we come back around to where do the goods come from?

Even if the supply chain can correct (which I will concede is possible; I already said it could be fixed in the OP) that doubling of feed prices will be seen by even the suburban and metropolitan consumers.

Edit: Seen on your grocery bill total, that is.

 

[Liber Pater]

I have zero faith in the sheltered Ivy League twats' ability to find and implement a solution.

It probably doesn't help that they're doing a lot of this on purpose

 

[I am the Muffin Maker]

There are definitely shortages of certain items at random times. Also the cost of everything continues to rise.

I have been looking for a particular cut of meat for the last three/four shopping runs. Haven't found it. Finally made a meat order for my drop freezer. I wonder what Thanksgiving will look like.

 

[Jump]

It probably doesn't help that they're doing a lot of this on purpose

Ya meat will only be something you can afford as a special treat. Like for your birthday.
...and for these ivy league elites.
They are happy to see all these hardships on the little people. The system needs to be broken down and become hated so that it may be rebuilt in their image.

 

[LaxerBRO]

Just posted about the shit show going on at the ports and how it will everything worse.

https://kiwifarms.st/threads/us-logistics-crises-on-2021.100834/#post-10042681

Now exactly in the industry by a few guys that I shoot with work to the Port of Lewiston in Idaho. They already have a few people looking to expand in that area.

P.S. If you have not gotten your Christmas present, get them now.

 

[Coccxys]

Should be easy to flash/mess with ECUs no? No need to fuck around at the sensor level. It's very likely the DEF isn't wired into the ignition system but it's the ECU saying no when told to start if it doesn't get the "right" sensor responses.

 

[Neanderthal Guru]

I know ketchup has been difficult to get and/or expensive for several months now. Some news articles about it blaming it on all the people sitting home and ordering takeout, leading to a need for more little ketchup packets.

Another item that has become very difficult to get and/or expensive is charcoal filters for certain water filters (Pur brand in particular... their website has been barren of any item stock for a long time). You can still find them in some home improvement stores, but they're very hard to find on major online retailers. Have to actually drive to a local store to get them.

 

[Balr0g]

Ya meat will only be something you can afford as a special treat. Like for your birthday.
...and for these ivy league elites.
They are happy to see all these hardships on the little people. The system needs to be broken down and become hated so that it may be rebuilt in their image.
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The peasants will get bugs for their protein intake while the elites get fresh meat from hand fed and cared for animals. I mean remember the cicada invasion and the sudden influx of articles of "bugs are healthy for eating"? Though this is slightly older I saw a video a few years ago where professors were discussing how to convince people to eat products made out of bugs

 

[Sped Xing]

Far better to be a free peasant than a serf, or, much worse, urban poor.

Buy land while you still can.