La Palma is rumbling - What are the implications of a 40 foot Tsunami along the east coast?

[BoobWhiskers]

This wasn't there an hour ago, and it's spouting flame at the same times as the main opening up top. I think that whole side might be getting weak if it's wearing through like this, further down I could see it being just different little offshoots of lava but this looks like it's a hole worn right through the side of whatever that main chamber looks like in there. Wonder if this is all gonna crumple into one large caldera soon.

 

[The golden neckbeard]

View attachment 2591000
This wasn't there an hour ago, and it's spouting flame at the same times as the main opening up top. I think that whole side might be getting weak if it's wearing through like this, further down I could see it being just different little offshoots of lava but this looks like it's a hole worn right through the side of whatever that main chamber looks like in there. Wonder if this is all gonna crumple into one large caldera soon.

Yeah it looks much worse (or better depending on what you want)

That Caldera is gonna collapse. Question is what happens after that. Thats a huge 50 story mountain of rock gonna made a thud

Even experts admit this eruption is going to continue possibly into next year

 

[NJBear]

Good thing I'm about 200 ft above sea level.

 

[The golden neckbeard]

Good thing I'm about 200 ft above sea level.

Yeah I feel ok on the other coast of Florida

Tho I heard the last time this happened with El Herro Island next door the water went over Florida entirely but i couldn't source that claim out of /pol

I may go to brooksville if it happens. Its 100 feet above sea level and i think the highest point in Florida. Only an hour drive from me

 

[Sped Xing]

Yeah I feel ok on the other coast of Florida

Tho I heard the last time this happened with El Herro Island next door the water went over Florida entirely but i couldn't source that claim out of /pol

I may go to brooksville if it happens. Its 100 feet above sea level and i think the highest point in Florida. Only an hour drive from me

Just surf it out.

 

[RodgerDodger]

Spoiler: Earthquake autism

My favorite wackadoodle earthquake forecaster is all over this. I'm looking forward to seeing if there's an uptick in volcano activity in the next 10ish days.

Ok that was weirdly fascinating. I am not quite sure if that is the worlds most autistic geological conspiracy theorist, or a fairly well read earth scientist with some odd delivery quirks, such as making his shit look like a 90's conspiracy website.

 

[BoobWhiskers]

Well, that little tiny blowhole from earlier appears to have merged with what's sort of been the 'secondary' opening for the last few days. I think all the rock that was there collapsed in at some point; now this seems to be where the action is, and the activity up top isn't nearly the most prominent anymore.

Rough progression of screenshots in chronological order.





Couldnt tell you the timeframe on these since I'm phoneposting so I can't really see the timestamps on the stream, but it's a pretty dramatic progression.

 

[FatalTater]

Pretty volcano tonight. The lava in the top part keeps doing a little spin.

 

[The golden neckbeard]

Pretty volcano tonight. The lava in the top part keeps doing a little spin.

Very explosive wow...less flowy tonight

That sunnabitch started off as a tiny hill maybe 10 feet tall now its massive cus of all that cooled lava

Thats a pretty cool way to add land to your island i guess. Suprised we havent used some sort of technology to replicate it and harness it.

Imagine just making land bridges over water out of lava

 

[John Andrews Stan]

I’m not proud of this but I’m sort of rooting for a mega-tsunami to get me out of some pesky work deadlines.

 

[RodgerDodger]

Pretty volcano tonight. The lava in the top part keeps doing a little spin.

This is natures way of telling you "GET THE FUCK OFF THE ISLAND!"

 

[Kramer on the phone]

I’m not proud of this but I’m sort of rooting for a mega-tsunami to get me out of some pesky work deadlines.

Sometime in the next 10,000 years a comet's going to wipe out all trace of man / I'm banking on it coming before my end of year exams

Also haven't checked in 2 weeks is it still a nothingburger

 

[Sped Xing]

Sometime in the next 10,000 years a comet's going to wipe out all trace of man / I'm banking on it coming before my end of year exams

Also haven't checked in 2 weeks is it still a nothingburger

It's very pretty.

 

[Overly Serious]

Good thing I'm about 200 ft above sea level.

No man is an island,
Entire of itself;
Every man is a piece of the continent,
A part of the main.

If a clod be washed away by the sea,
Europe is the less,
As well as if a promontory were:
As well as if a manor of thy friend's
Or of thine own were.

 

[Fanatical Pragmatist]

I may go to brooksville if it happens. Its 100 feet above sea level and i think the highest point in Florida. Only an hour drive from me

The highest points are in the panhandle along the Alabama border.
Camp Blanding is at least 180ft (55m) above sea level, and the actual Trail Ridge formation itself might be a bit higher.
Some of the hilltops in the Brooksville Ridge formation reach over 200ft (61m).

View attachment Florida Elevation.jpg

 

[MadStan]

So what is the caldera collapses? Minor Tsunami and the east coast would get a few ripples in the water.

The Calcdera would have to entirely collapse allowing mountains of saltwater into an immense cavity to cause any kind of explosion worth a damn. The physics and size of this eruption just do not equate to that happening. There has to be a substantial chamber exposed for the fireworks we dream of.

Imagine you (assume 180) pounds are the Tambora 1815 Eruption and your weight equals the volume of material thrown out by that monster. La Palma to date has through out the amount equal to 2 tablespoons of water.

If you were the Tambora eruption 74ka ago, and your weight equaled that eruption, La Palma has thrown out 1/4 of a teaspoon.

I love doom and gloom (honestly) but the only scenario that even slightly bothers me is an impact event - simply because we do not have full monitoring of the sky and despite one thinking we see everything, the reality is I think only a few bolides have ever been detected BEFORE entering Earth's atmosphere - in other words we are likely going to get little warning at all and we right now have our pants down waiting to get caught.

And we just do not have the funds or willingness to develop a means to stop one of these large bolides from impacting; despite it being within 99% degree fo certainty as absolutely happening within a reasonable amount of time.

If we ver get words of a NEO with a degree of probability of impact I will certainly turn into a proper, no doubt about that.

 

[The golden neckbeard]

I’m not proud of this but I’m sort of rooting for a mega-tsunami to get me out of some pesky work deadlines.

We are gonna need a few more months of rumbling but its plausible and not off the cards. This isnt a once in a 10 million years thing. Its a once in 10,000 years

So what is the caldera collapses? Minor Tsunami and the east coast would get a few ripples in the water.

The Calcdera would have to entirely collapse allowing mountains of saltwater into an immense cavity to cause any kind of explosion worth a damn. The physics and size of this eruption just do not equate to that happening. There has to be a substantial chamber exposed for the fireworks we dream of.

Imagine you (assume 180) pounds are the Tambora 1815 Eruption and your weight equals the volume of material thrown out by that monster. La Palma to date has through out the amount equal to 2 tablespoons of water.

If you were the Tambora eruption 74ka ago, and your weight equaled that eruption, La Palma has thrown out 1/4 of a teaspoon.

I love doom and gloom (honestly) but the only scenario that even slightly bothers me is an impact event - simply because we do not have full monitoring of the sky and despite one thinking we see everything, the reality is I think only a few bolides have ever been detected BEFORE entering Earth's atmosphere - in other words we are likely going to get little warning at all and we right now have our pants down waiting to get caught.

And we just do not have the funds or willingness to develop a means to stop one of these large bolides from impacting; despite it being within 99% degree fo certainty as absolutely happening within a reasonable amount of time.

If we ver get words of a NEO with a degree of probability of impact I will certainly turn into a proper, no doubt about that.

There is a real possibility of the local caldera collapses the massive landslide happens

That lava will build pressure elsewhere along the ridgeline. Think of a hose with a leak...plug the leak and the lave begins emerging elsewhere. Repeat the process you probably get that event

The highest points are in the panhandle along the Alabama border.
Camp Blanding is at least 180ft (55m) above sea level, and the actual Trail Ridge formation itself might be a bit higher.
Some of the hilltops in the Brooksville Ridge formation reach over 200ft (61m).

View attachment 2592669

Thanks for correcting me i have never been to the panhandle except when i was in the army as part of a joint program with the coast guard to cross train on generator maintence.. that was in pensacola. And really we never left the base lol.i just know you get some actual mountain looking terrain in that small stretch of area on 275 from brooksville to dade city and it would likely be safe from a mega tsunami.

To be clear im not panicking but i do have a bag ready to go full of clothes, chef boyarderee, a tent and my glock

 

[Leaf Wage Slave]

I love doom and gloom (honestly) but the only scenario that even slightly bothers me is an impact event - simply because we do not have full monitoring of the sky and despite one thinking we see everything, the reality is I think only a few bolides have ever been detected BEFORE entering Earth's atmosphere - in other words we are likely going to get little warning at all and we right now have our pants down waiting to get caught.

And we just do not have the funds or willingness to develop a means to stop one of these large bolides from impacting; despite it being within 99% degree fo certainty as absolutely happening within a reasonable amount of time.

If we ver get words of a NEO with a degree of probability of impact I will certainly turn into a proper, no doubt about that

To steal a line from Armageddon, NASA’s budget covers about 1% of the sky, and it’s a pretty bigass sky. While I unironically root for Team Giant Meteor, I’m not completely willing to write off the possibility that Nature is just getting sick of humanities shit, and I can’t say I’d blame anyone for that.

Do I expect a “Deep Impact” level of fuck huge Tsumami from this, oh fuck no, but at the same time I just hope literally anything happens. At least volcano’s give us some sweet images before they kill us…

Though if we start getting these warning signs near Yellowstone (ie. Shallower and Shallower quakes, to say nothing of the magma) then all bets are off, and I’ll be here Doomposting

 

[John Andrews Stan]

To be clear im not panicking but i do have a bag ready to go full of clothes, chef boyarderee, a tent and my glock

Don’t forget the can opener.

This isnt a once in a 10 million years thing. Its a once in 10,000 years

Those odds are good enough for me! Ain’t doing shit until spring

 

[The golden neckbeard]

Don’t forget the can opener.

They have their own tab!

I think you meant don't forget the tabasco sauce because they are pretty tasteless but store well.

Those odds are good enough for me! Ain’t doing shit until spring

longer it goes on the higher the odds