2021 Virginia State election - Federal Beaurocracy and National Establishment vs. Everyone else.

whatever I feel like said:
You know what, I am changing my mind, there were several polls released today that haven't made it into the databases yet, multiple ones of which show Youngkin leads. DKE is also in full on fifty-fifty mode now and I'd also publicly rate it as a pure toss-up. Its extremely close and we don't know how turnout, already mailed ballots, late breaking issues (school stuff and today's tiki torch thing) are going to play out but its a pure tossup to me now.

If forced to choose, I'd still bet McAuliffe but thats because I am a massive pessimist (though there are also multiple reasons to say that either one has a secret edge.)
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Personally, I won't make an official call of this race either way, I underestimated Democrat "electoral fortification" in 2020, I don't want to make that mistake again. That said, this race is obviously in toss-up territory. My main takeaway from this election though is this: It should never have been this close to begin with, the fact that it is this close is really bad news for the Democrats in the coming mid-term elections.
 
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FWIW, here is the latest DKE comments section take on early voting per big/Dem county.


dkevaevresults.PNG


For those who aren't too familiar with VA counties, that means that the rich inner suburbs are over-performing in regards to EV, outer suburbs are middling and the black areas are underperforming. This does not, however, mean that all of those early votes are for Democrats, or that black voters will not show up on election day. Its just another set of tea leaves to try to parse through, filtered through the idea that "voting access", ostensibly for minorities, is actually used most often by rich, white do-good-ers.
 
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lincolnproject.us

The Lincoln Project: Statement from the Lincoln Project

lincolnproject.us lincolnproject.us

The Lincoln Project seems to be claiming they pulled this stunt.

“The Lincoln Project has run advertisements highlighting the hate unleashed in Charlottesville as well as Glenn Youngkin’s continued failure to denounce Donald Trump’s ‘very fine people on both sides.’ We will continue to draw this contrast in broadcast videos, on our social media platforms, and at Youngkin rallies.

“Today’s demonstration was our way of reminding Virginians what happened in Charlottesville four years ago, the Republican Party’s embrace of those values, and Glenn Youngkin’s failure to condemn it.

“The Youngkin campaign is enraged by our reminder of Charlottesville for one simple reason: Glenn Youngkin wants Virginians to forget that he is Donald Trump’s candidate.
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FunPosting101 said:
Personally, I won't make an official call of this race either way, I underestimated Democrat "electoral fortification" in 2020, I don't want to make that mistake again. That said, this race is obviously in toss-up territory. My main takeaway from this election though is this: It should never have been this close to begin with, the fact that it is this close is really bad news for the Democrats in the coming mid-term elections.
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Agreed, the fact that we’re able to even sit here and have a serious discussion about whether or not Youngkin will win shows a major change in trajectory for Virginia.
 
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Hippopatumus said:
Uhhhhhhhh huhhhhhhh

Boy I guess that just wraps it up like a burrito then huh? Just some discredited (read: used up) brand taking even more heat then? Okay wrap it up guys, it's over.
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Nothing to see here I mean it's not like all 5 of the people involved had nothing to do with the Lincoln Project and were active members of the VA DNC

I MEAN NOTHING TO SEE HERE, JUST EVIL REPUBLICAN INFIGHTING, GOT IT?

NO MORE QUESTIONS PLEBIANS QUESTIONS ARE FOR WRONGTHINKERS YOU'RE NOT A WRONGTHINKER ARE YOU?
 
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Imagine being so fucking devoid of common sense that you think this is a good idea. In the age of social media.

These are low level DPVA staffers, but still. I cannot fathom the type of mindless creature that would go along with something like this thinking it would help in any way.
 
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The worse part(for them) is at least two of them had easily found twitter profiles that marked them as Dem operatives. Too much ego, too little IQ.
 
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Trianon said:
This is the email the school board sent out today about it:
https://twitter.com/chrissyclark_/status/1453830527664934914

View attachment 2668877

"Something out of the ordinary..." Like, hello, we are not playing 20 questions with this.
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Who wants to bet the kid who did this wet the bed and tortured animals when he was younger?

Back me up! said:


Even when the Dems have to create white supremacist false flag they include a minority and a woman.
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What do the torches mean? Are they gonna have a tiki party?
 
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whatever I feel like said:
FWIW, here is the latest DKE comments section take on early voting per big/Dem county.


View attachment 2670396

For those who aren't too familiar with VA counties, that means that the rich inner suburbs are over-performing in regards to EV, outer suburbs are middling and the black areas are underperforming. This does not, however, mean that all of those early votes are for Democrats, or that black voters will not show up on election day. Its just another set of tea leaves to try to parse through, filtered through the idea that "voting access", ostensibly for minorities, is actually used most often by rich, white do-good-ers.
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The black vote may be decisive. The dems always take them for granted but the forced vaccines are not playing well with them.
 
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George Lucas said:
Who wants to bet the kid who did this wet the bed and tortured animals when he was younger?



What do the torches mean? Are they gonna have a tiki party?
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Its a reference to Charlottesville, Va about 4 years ago where a bunch of far right people showed up with tiki torches and marched. A woman got run over and it really fucked up VA R's for a little bit.
 
Its my personal opinion that the Democrats have been emboldened by the success of the Biden...program.

I'd say we're going to see a...surprising, even shocking, up-swing in Democratic voters turning out. Mostly via mail in ballot of course. And the mid-terms will show a very untypically strong democrat turn out again via mail in ballots.

Unless the GoP can actually pin down the malfeasance by finding some indisputable evidence (lol, good luck with that) we're going to see a three decade or longer run of sweeping Democratic victory's in formerly red districts all powered by large surplus (like that Nevada district that had 110% of its votes cast) of mail in ballots.

By the will of the people of course.

The mid-terms won't trend like most folks think...I'm betting on a democratic surge hold the House and taking Congress.
 
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