US Joe Biden News Megathread - The Other Biden Derangement Syndrome Thread (with a side order of Fauci Derangement Syndrome)

Let's pretend for one moment that he does die before the election, just for the funsies. What happens then? Will the nomination revert to option number 2, aka Bernie Sanders? Or will his running mate automatically replace him just the way Vice-President is supposted to step in after the Big Man in the White House chokes on a piece of matzo? Does he even have a running mate yet?

 

[Puff]

Hey fuck you man
t. retard who is still getting multiple spam emails daily from virtually every major democrat because I overlooked that the email box got auto filled when I dono'd a few dollars to Tulsi

It actually does get annoying as fuck, I gave up reporting them as spam and unsubscribing because it literally doesn't work, so instead sometimes I'll screech into the void and tell Schiff that I hope he ODs on cocaine with a horse dildo up his ass and dies or something.

I successfully unsubscribed from the Trump ones but still get democrat emails someone added me to... Hmmm....

 

[Drag-on Knight 91873]

I successfully unsubscribed from the Trump ones but still get democrat emails someone added me to... Hmmm....

Yeah, the Dems seem more desperate for money and I'm out of expired coupons.

 

[pwnest injun]

I miss getting prepaid envelopes from political parties, and then filling them with dirt and mailing them back at their expense.

 

[Gehenna]

Doesn't Rush more or less represent a solid blue district? I mean, I figure that's the only kind that would elect an unapologetic Black Panther Party member.

Yes, but as can be seen with New Jersey, representative districts are surprisingly vulnerable. Outside of one of the Presidential elections, comparatively few people come out to vote during the mid-terms. Fewer still in a solidly one color or another state where a general feeling of "my vote doesn't matter" affects both sides. It is not that hard at all to drive up support and see enough people in a single district come out to vote for a specific candidate.

Now, does this throw a solid 75% blue vote district to the GOP? No. But now the Democrats -have- to divert funds to actually running a campaign on what was a locked seat due to incumbent advantage. And lord help them if the Progs cause a protracted primary. The damage that could do could nudge even such a safe seat into play if enough issues compound themselves.

And that's what a lot of these seats are doing. They -were- safe and secure without any issues whatsoever. Now, they are suddenly vulnerable if enough additional issues present themselves and have to at least have a token guard. With the Democrats already deeply strapped for cash. And no way to fund them since BBB is dead in all but a -deeply- stripped-down form and their Infrastructure bill was much the same.

But will the progs resist though?

The pundits all over said that the only reason the progs voted against the last infrastructure bill was because it was already secure with some of the republicans support, so they could grandstand without any blowback.

I thought the progs were afraid to end up being blamed if the dems really do get pummeled in the mid terms, will they have the balls to deny any dem win that might save their asses?

Possibly, possibly not. There was a reason it was not a solid yes or no and instead mixed. It comes down to a question we have yet to have answered in any definitive way. Are the progs an actual resistance biding their time for when they can actually do something. Or are they actually lockstep and behind the leaders, only pretending to be a resistance.

While it might be easy to flippantly claim the latter, the reality is less clear. AOC voting as she did ruined her image with the Progs, indicating a level of serious intent behind them. Yet, they have not yet pounced on any serious issue, even when presented the opportunity.

With... one exception. That being the Infrastructure bill you brought up. Right after AOC lost her leadership role. The question as you present it is a proper one, but unanswered. Was that theater or reality? If the cabal gives in to Manchin and grants him all his cuts, we will find out the answer to that question.

 

[GuntPunt]

Will Ron Johnson announce his reelection ever? If we can get someone more reliable than him it woule be great.

 

[Oats12345]

I can understand donating to a campaign (I probably never will, even to myself), but giving them your text number or email like literally what the fuck is wrong with your dumb ass do you listen to nigerian princes too

Hey fuck you man
t. retard who is still getting multiple spam emails daily from virtually every major democrat because I overlooked that the email box got auto filled when I dono'd a few dollars to Tulsi

It actually does get annoying as fuck, I gave up reporting them as spam and unsubscribing because it literally doesn't work, so instead sometimes I'll screech into the void and tell Schiff that I hope he ODs on cocaine with a horse dildo up his ass and dies or something.

I didn't donate to any campaigns. I literally just did a trump approval rating poll to show President Trump that I surpport him for the hell of it back in 2020 and now I get RNC spam.

 

[Gehenna]

Will Ron Johnson announce his reelection ever? If we can get someone more reliable than him it woule be great.

Can't answer that. Boss made it clear I am to not talk on Wisconsin politics specifically unless I can source it to public knowledge.

I can talk about why he hasn't said anything yet though.

And that's what a lot of these seats are doing. They -were- safe and secure without any issues whatsoever. Now, they are suddenly vulnerable if enough additional issues present themselves and have to at least have a token guard. With the Democrats already deeply strapped for cash. And no way to fund them since BBB is dead in all but a -deeply- stripped-down form and their Infrastructure bill was much the same.

I want to elucidate on this, I'll use some simplified numbers but it will get the idea.

So, 75-25 split, -solidly- Blue. How do issues compound it?

Let's start with Incumbent Advantage, basically "The Devil We Know". It's about a 5-10 point shift, a massively important advantage that is very hard to surpass. Now, when it comes to numbers you always are the most pessimistic for your guy, and the most optimistic for your opponent. So if I were to be judging this as a Democrat, I'd assume a loss of 10 points, but if I were looking at it as a Republican I'd assume a loss of 5. We'll be going with the Democrat view here, pointing out the math they have to do.

So, 75-25 less 10 = 65 - 35. Still far away and solidly blue on its own. But let's add on. A bad Economy is always absolute poison, exactly in the same ballpark as Inbumbency, so another 5-10. Now it's 55 - 45. That's within spitting distance.

It gets worse, Chicago is seeing a crime wave. This won't likely result in a swing of votes, but rather a loss of votes. Approximately 4%, but since it's voter depression and not voter swings, you halve it for the effect. So now it's 53-47. What are some more like this?

Immigration
Student Debt
Lack of Vision


We will say 2% for each, halved to a total of 3%. Now it's 50/50.



Now, these numbers are not strictly accurate, they are very simplified. But the idea should be clear. From the Democrat's point of view, they have to view losing the incumbent advantage as -deadly-, because they have a bunch of other things ranging from large to small all adding up into an increasingly narrow picture. All these are already bringing those safe seats close to a theoretical close-race. And losing such a massive advantage like Incumbency nudges several safe seats into a theoretical tie. They cannot ignore that, even if the actual number is closer to the pessimistic side and thus the seat is actually safe, they have to operate all considerations as if it was in that dead tie.

 

[soy_king]

Can't answer that. Boss made it clear I am to not talk on Wisconsin politics specifically unless I can source it to public knowledge.

I can talk about why he hasn't said anything yet though.



I want to elucidate on this, I'll use some simplified numbers but it will get the idea.

So, 75-25 split, -solidly- Blue. How do issues compound it?

Let's start with Incumbent Advantage, basically "The Devil We Know". It's about a 5-10 point shift, a massively important advantage that is very hard to surpass. Now, when it comes to numbers you always are the most pessimistic for your guy, and the most optimistic for your opponent. So if I were to be judging this as a Democrat, I'd assume a loss of 10 points, but if I were looking at it as a Republican I'd assume a loss of 5. We'll be going with the Democrat view here, pointing out the math they have to do.

So, 75-25 less 10 = 65 - 35. Still far away and solidly blue on its own. But let's add on. A bad Economy is always absolute poison, exactly in the same ballpark as Inbumbency, so another 5-10. Now it's 55 - 45. That's within spitting distance.

It gets worse, Chicago is seeing a crime wave. This won't likely result in a swing of votes, but rather a loss of votes. Approximately 4%, but since it's voter depression and not voter swings, you halve it for the effect. So now it's 53-47. What are some more like this?

Immigration
Student Debt
Lack of Vision


We will say 2% for each, halved to a total of 3%. Now it's 50/50.



Now, these numbers are not strictly accurate, they are very simplified. But the idea should be clear. From the Democrat's point of view, they have to view losing the incumbent advantage as -deadly-, because they have a bunch of other things ranging from large to small all adding up into an increasingly narrow picture. All these are already bringing those safe seats close to a theoretical close-race. And losing such a massive advantage like Incumbency nudges several safe seats into a theoretical tie. They cannot ignore that, even if the actual number is closer to the pessimistic side and thus the seat is actually safe, they have to operate all considerations as if it was in that dead tie.

why hasn't he then?

 

[Gehenna]

why hasn't he then?

Because it enriches him the most to be quiet on it. If he announces he -is- running, it provides fuel to the Democrats to start running against him. If he is going to announce he is -not- running, it removes any reason for the Republicans to continue wining and dining him.

 

[soy_king]

Because it enriches him the most to be quiet on it. If he announces he -is- running, it provides fuel to the Democrats to start running against him. If he is going to announce he is -not- running, it removes any reason for the Republicans to continue wining and dining him.

he's gotta say something soon though, otherwise he's handicapping himself for fundraising in the primaries though, right?

 

[Gehenna]

he's gotta say something soon though, otherwise he's handicapping himself for fundraising in the primaries though, right?

Somewhat, but not as much as you'd think given he is in a known vulnerable seat and therefore fundraising would occur long before now.

 

[Borscht]

Fellas...if someone offered you minimum wage or slightly higher to tweet about how much you love Biden and hate Trump all day...would you do it?

You can bet your sweet bollocks I would, and I am not even an American citizen. I live in a shithole financially challenged country where the minimal wage is less than 200$ a month, so your minimal wage would raise my kids, pay for my house and leave enough dough for cocaine and hookers on top of a modest yet sensibly luxurious lifestyle.

ORANGE MAN BAD, SENILE MAN BEST THING SINCE SLICED BREAD.

Where do I sign up?

 

[soy_king]

You can bet your sweet bollocks I would, and I am not even an American citizen. I live in a shithole financially challenged country where the minimal wage less than 200$ a month, so your minimal wage would raise my kids, pay for my house and leave enough dough for cocaine and hookers on top of a modest yet sensibly luxurious lifestyle.

ORANGE MAN BAD, SENILE MAN GOOD.

Where do I sign up?

I don't think they'd take you, given how much they've been ranting and raving about Russian interference

 

[Borscht]

I don't think they'd take you, given how much they've been ranting and raving about Russian interference

Oh poop.

 

[Calvin Coolidge]

I don't think they'd take you, given how much they've been ranting and raving about Russian interference

They're only against it when it's not on their payroll. It'd be like Navalny, "one of the good ones".

 

[Salubrious]

Can't answer that. Boss made it clear I am to not talk on Wisconsin politics specifically unless I can source it to public knowledge.

I can talk about why he hasn't said anything yet though.



I want to elucidate on this, I'll use some simplified numbers but it will get the idea.

So, 75-25 split, -solidly- Blue. How do issues compound it?

Let's start with Incumbent Advantage, basically "The Devil We Know". It's about a 5-10 point shift, a massively important advantage that is very hard to surpass. Now, when it comes to numbers you always are the most pessimistic for your guy, and the most optimistic for your opponent. So if I were to be judging this as a Democrat, I'd assume a loss of 10 points, but if I were looking at it as a Republican I'd assume a loss of 5. We'll be going with the Democrat view here, pointing out the math they have to do.

So, 75-25 less 10 = 65 - 35. Still far away and solidly blue on its own. But let's add on. A bad Economy is always absolute poison, exactly in the same ballpark as Inbumbency, so another 5-10. Now it's 55 - 45. That's within spitting distance.

It gets worse, Chicago is seeing a crime wave. This won't likely result in a swing of votes, but rather a loss of votes. Approximately 4%, but since it's voter depression and not voter swings, you halve it for the effect. So now it's 53-47. What are some more like this?

Immigration
Student Debt
Lack of Vision


We will say 2% for each, halved to a total of 3%. Now it's 50/50.



Now, these numbers are not strictly accurate, they are very simplified. But the idea should be clear. From the Democrat's point of view, they have to view losing the incumbent advantage as -deadly-, because they have a bunch of other things ranging from large to small all adding up into an increasingly narrow picture. All these are already bringing those safe seats close to a theoretical close-race. And losing such a massive advantage like Incumbency nudges several safe seats into a theoretical tie. They cannot ignore that, even if the actual number is closer to the pessimistic side and thus the seat is actually safe, they have to operate all considerations as if it was in that dead tie.

TL;DR (respectfully) - Holy shit the Dems almost lost New Jersey, a race nobody thought would even be close.

 

[The Ugly One]

View attachment 2855846View attachment 2855848View attachment 2855849View attachment 2855850

Guys, I believe democracy is in peril. Must be a cohencidence.

It's an understandable confusion. They think "Democracy" means "rule by Democrats." You have to remember that journalists aren't too bright.

 

[soy_king]

They're only against it when it's not on their payroll. It'd be like Navalny, "one of the good ones".

Don't know enough about Navalny, but its not like he doesn't have any internal support. Corruption is a major issue in Russia, and while it's mostly anger against petty apparatchiks in the provinces, Tsar Batyushka keeping them under his wing doesn't help matters.

 

[mandatorylurk]

Now that MTG is banned from twitter and facebook, RINO Crenshaw is going in hard to show he's the real conservative, even swiping at Joe Kent, which makes me wonder just how much action did Crenshaw actually do or is he trying to be SEAL top dog over a Ranger special forces.

He (or his intern handler) has been spamming that reply to a few people

All the while he tries to be tough guy with voting, this example shows when his vote matters he does nothing, because that's what his Con Inc. benefactors demand. The truest example of losing with dignity, can you chip in 20 bucks fellow patriot?

 

[MrJokerRager]

Now that MTG is banned from twitter and facebook, RINO Crenshaw is going in hard to show he's the real conservative, even swiping at Joe Kent, which makes me wonder just how much action did Crenshaw actually do or is he trying to be SEAL top dog over a Ranger special forces.

View attachment 2856857
He (or his intern handler) has been spamming that reply to a few people

View attachment 2856858

View attachment 2856860

All the while he tries to be tough guy with voting, this example shows when his vote matters he does nothing, because that's what his Con Inc. benefactors demand. The truest example of losing with dignity, can you chip in 20 bucks fellow patriot?

View attachment 2856865

I wonder if Pete Davidson mocking him was part of an act. Since that is how everyone really heard of neocon big boss. We need Solid Snake to take him down.